Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · 16/10, 20:00

Prediction: San Antonio FC Cotacachi vs CD Cuenca Jrs

Team pages: San Antonio FC Cotacachi · CD Cuenca Jrs

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.91Total

San Antonio FC Cotacachi0.92

CD Cuenca Jrs0.99

1X2

32% 31% 36%

San Antonio FC Cotacachi Draw CD Cuenca Jrs

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 58% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

0-0 16%

Recent form · 10 last

San Antonio FC Cotacachi 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

WWDDLLLLDL

CD Cuenca Jrs 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LWLDLLWLLD

Head-to-head

San Antonio FC Cotacachi 0–1–2 CD Cuenca Jrs (3 last)

CD Cuenca Jrs1-0San Antonio FC Cotacachi
CD Cuenca Jrs1-0San Antonio FC Cotacachi
San Antonio FC Cotacachi1-1CD Cuenca Jrs

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · San Antonio FC Cotacachi 1450 · CD Cuenca Jrs 1450

	San Antonio FC Cotacachi	Draw	CD Cuenca Jrs
Our model	31%	34%	35%
Market	34%	29%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 1.91 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours CD Cuenca Jrs: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	San Antonio FC Cotacachi	CD Cuenca Jrs
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 1.4	0.4 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.3	0.2 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/56/22%	22/11/67%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 3.3	1.1 / 2.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.2	5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.63

X3.10

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.02

2 (0)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.82

Under 2.251.98

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 1.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.9%

Time*	1	X	2
17:46 +21’	2.63	3.10	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · San Antonio FC Cotacachi 0–1–2 CD Cuenca Jrs

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
16/09/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	CD Cuenca Jrs	1-0 HT 0-0	San Antonio FC Cotacachi
03/07/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	CD Cuenca Jrs	1-0 HT 1-0	San Antonio FC Cotacachi
16/04/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	San Antonio FC Cotacachi	1-1 HT 1-1	CD Cuenca Jrs

Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · Serie B 2026, Promotion Round

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Atletico FC Guayaquil	29	13	13	3	36	19	52
2	Independiente Juniors	29	13	11	5	36	23	50
3	Vinotinto Ecuador	29	13	9	7	37	22	48
4	Club 9 de Octubre	29	11	12	6	31	21	45
5	CD Cuenca Jrs	29	10	9	10	23	32	39
6	San Antonio FC Cotacachi	29	7	12	10	27	34	33

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	San Antonio FC Cotacachi	CD Cuenca Jrs
Atletico FC Guayaquil	1-2 L	0-2 L
Vinotinto Ecuador	0-0 D	1-1 D
Club 9 de Octubre	0-3 L	1-1 D
Independiente Juniors	0-0 D	0-2 L
Gualaceo SC	2-1 W	0-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	0 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: San Antonio FC Cotacachi (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

San Antonio FC Cotacachi

WWDDLLLLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/10	Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	1-2	0	4	L
02/10	Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
26/09	Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-2	0-3	2	4	L
16/09	CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
10/09	Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-1	0-3	4	2	L
03/09	Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	2-4	2	6	L
27/08	Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
20/08	Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-0	2	6	D
13/08	El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	1-0	9	3	W
06/08	Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	–	2-1	–	–	W

CD Cuenca Jrs

LWLDLLWLLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/10	Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	1-1	4	5	D
02/10	Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-1	0-2	0	5	L
24/09	Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-2	0-2	3	3	L
16/09	San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
11/09	Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-2	0-2	3	7	L
04/09	Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-1	0-1	2	4	L
28/08	Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	1-1	1	9	D
20/08	Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-1	0-3	1	7	L
14/08	22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	–	1-0	–	–	W
08/08	Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-1	0-2	1	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in San Antonio FC Cotacachi vs CD Cuenca Jrs?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CD Cuenca Jrs win (36%). Probabilities: San Antonio FC Cotacachi 32%, draw 31%, CD Cuenca Jrs 36%.

How many goals are expected in San Antonio FC Cotacachi vs CD Cuenca Jrs?

The model expects 1.91 goals (San Antonio FC Cotacachi 0.92 · CD Cuenca Jrs 0.99), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in San Antonio FC Cotacachi vs CD Cuenca Jrs?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.