Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · 15/10, 22:00
Prediction: Cumbaya vs 22 de Julio
Team pages: Cumbaya · 22 de Julio
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.17Total
Cumbaya2.77
22 de Julio1.4
1X2
Cumbaya
Draw
22 de Julio
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
2-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Cumbaya
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
22 de Julio
0-1-9 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cumbaya
4–2
22 de Julio
(6 last)
- 22 de Julio1-7Cumbaya
- Cumbaya4-022 de Julio
- 22 de Julio2-1Cumbaya
- 22 de Julio1-3Cumbaya
- Cumbaya2-022 de Julio
- 22 de Julio1-0Cumbaya
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cumbaya (rating 1517 vs 1367).
- H2H favours Cumbaya: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cumbaya | 22 de Julio | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.1 | 0.8 / 3.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 13/75/13% | 0/25/75% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4 | 1.7 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.3 | 3.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cumbaya 4–0–2 22 de Julio
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | 22 de Julio | 1-7 | Cumbaya |
| 02/07/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Cumbaya | 4-0 HT 1-0 | 22 de Julio |
| 17/04/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | 22 de Julio | 2-1 | Cumbaya |
| 15/10/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | 22 de Julio | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Cumbaya |
| 16/09/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Cumbaya | 2-0 HT 1-0 | 22 de Julio |
| 10/06/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | 22 de Julio | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Cumbaya |
Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · Serie B 2026, Relegation Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gualaceo SC | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 32 | 19 | 40 |
| 2 | LDU Portoviejo | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 28 | 40 |
| 3 | CD Vargas Torres | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 28 | 21 | 38 |
| 4 | Cumbaya | 29 | 7 | 13 | 9 | 34 | 30 | 34 |
| 5 | El Nacional | 29 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 25 | 46 | 15 |
| 6 | 22 de Julio | 29 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 58 | 10 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cumbaya | 22 de Julio |
|---|---|---|
| Gualaceo SC | 1-1 D | 2-4 L |
| El Nacional | 3-0 W | 2-5 L |
| CD Vargas Torres | 1-2 L | 0-3 L |
| LDU Portoviejo | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| CD Cuenca Jrs | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Cumbaya (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cumbaya
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 26/09 | El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 3-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 17/09 | 22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 7-1 | – | – | W |
| 10/09 | Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 04/09 | CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 26/08 | LDU Portoviejo Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 20/08 | Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-3 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 13/08 | CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
2-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 08/08 | LDU Portoviejo Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 30/07 | CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
22 de Julio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 2-5 | – | – | L |
| 03/10 | Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 24/09 | LDU Portoviejo Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 17/09 | Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 1-7 | – | – | L |
| 12/09 | El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 27/08 | CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 21/08 | LDU Portoviejo Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 14/08 | CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 06/08 | Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 31/07 | El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cumbaya vs 22 de Julio?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cumbaya win (65%). Probabilities: Cumbaya 65%, draw 18%, 22 de Julio 17%.
How many goals are expected in Cumbaya vs 22 de Julio?
The model expects 4.17 goals (Cumbaya 2.77 · 22 de Julio 1.4), with a 58% chance of under 4.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Cumbaya vs 22 de Julio?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.