Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · 17/10, 20:00
Prediction: Club 9 de Octubre vs Vinotinto Ecuador
Team pages: Club 9 de Octubre · Vinotinto Ecuador
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.96Total
Club 9 de Octubre1.13
Vinotinto Ecuador0.83
1X2
Club 9 de Octubre
Draw
Vinotinto Ecuador
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 60%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Club 9 de Octubre
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Vinotinto Ecuador
6-4-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Club 9 de Octubre
3–3
Vinotinto Ecuador
(6 last)
- Vinotinto Ecuador1-0Club 9 de Octubre
- Club 9 de Octubre2-1Vinotinto Ecuador
- Vinotinto Ecuador0-1Club 9 de Octubre
- Vinotinto Ecuador5-2Club 9 de Octubre
- Club 9 de Octubre3-2Vinotinto Ecuador
- Vinotinto Ecuador3-1Club 9 de Octubre
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Club 9 de Octubre 1500 · Vinotinto Ecuador 1555
| Club 9 de Octubre | Draw | Vinotinto Ecuador | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 33% | 26% |
| Market | 42% | 31% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.96 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vinotinto Ecuador (rating 1500 vs 1555).
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Club 9 de Octubre | Vinotinto Ecuador | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1 | 1.4 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 11/56/33% | 33/56/11% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.3 | 2.7 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6 / 0.7 | 5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Club 9 de Octubre 3–0–3 Vinotinto Ecuador
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Vinotinto Ecuador | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Club 9 de Octubre |
| 09/06/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Club 9 de Octubre | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Vinotinto Ecuador |
| 08/04/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Vinotinto Ecuador | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Club 9 de Octubre |
| 16/10/24 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Vinotinto Ecuador | 5-2 HT 2-1 | Club 9 de Octubre |
| 01/09/24 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Club 9 de Octubre | 3-2 HT 0-1 | Vinotinto Ecuador |
| 06/06/24 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Vinotinto Ecuador | 3-1 HT 3-1 | Club 9 de Octubre |
Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · Serie B 2026, Promotion Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico FC Guayaquil | 30 | 14 | 13 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 55 |
| 2 | Independiente Juniors | 30 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 36 | 24 | 50 |
| 3 | Vinotinto Ecuador | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 37 | 22 | 48 |
| 4 | Club 9 de Octubre | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 31 | 21 | 45 |
| 5 | CD Cuenca Jrs | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 23 | 34 | 39 |
| 6 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 29 | 34 | 36 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Club 9 de Octubre | Vinotinto Ecuador |
|---|---|---|
| Independiente Juniors | 0-1 L | 3-2 W |
| Atletico FC Guayaquil | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| San Antonio FC Cotacachi | 3-0 W | 0-0 D |
| CD Cuenca Jrs | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Vinotinto Ecuador (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Club 9 de Octubre
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 03/10 | Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 13 | 6 | L |
| 26/09 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 17/09 | Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 04/09 | Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 13 | D |
| 28/08 | CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 20/08 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 15/08 | Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 06/08 | El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
Vinotinto Ecuador
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 5 | D |
| 02/10 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 24/09 | Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 17/09 | Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 11/09 | CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 03/09 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 4-2 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 27/08 | Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 13/08 | LDU Portoviejo Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 08/08 | CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Club 9 de Octubre vs Vinotinto Ecuador?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Club 9 de Octubre win (42%). Probabilities: Club 9 de Octubre 42%, draw 32%, Vinotinto Ecuador 26%.
How many goals are expected in Club 9 de Octubre vs Vinotinto Ecuador?
The model expects 1.96 goals (Club 9 de Octubre 1.13 · Vinotinto Ecuador 0.83), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Club 9 de Octubre vs Vinotinto Ecuador?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.