Prediction: El Nacional vs Deportivo Santo Domingo
Team pages: El Nacional · Deportivo Santo Domingo
- CD Vargas Torres1-0El Nacional
- El Nacional0-0CD Vargas Torres
- CD Vargas Torres1-1El Nacional
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Santo Domingo (rating 1466 vs 1522).
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| El Nacional | Deportivo Santo Domingo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.6 | 1.2 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.8 | 0.2 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 13/25/63% | 11/67/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.7 | 1.9 / 2.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.3 | 3.8 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · El Nacional 0–2–1 Deportivo Santo Domingo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | CD Vargas Torres | 1-0 HT 0-0 | El Nacional |
| 11/06/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | El Nacional | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CD Vargas Torres |
| 10/04/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | CD Vargas Torres | 1-1 | El Nacional |
Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · Serie B 2026, Relegation Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gualaceo SC | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 32 | 19 | 40 |
| 2 | LDU Portoviejo | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 28 | 40 |
| 3 | CD Vargas Torres | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 28 | 21 | 38 |
| 4 | Cumbaya | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 41 | 31 | 37 |
| 5 | El Nacional | 29 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 25 | 46 | 15 |
| 6 | 22 de Julio | 30 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 65 | 10 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | El Nacional | Deportivo Santo Domingo |
|---|---|---|
| 22 de Julio | 5-2 W | 3-0 W |
| LDU Portoviejo | 2-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Cumbaya | 0-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Gualaceo SC | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Club 9 de Octubre | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo Santo Domingo (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
El Nacional
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | 22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 5-2 | – | – | W |
| 03/10 | LDU Portoviejo Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 26/09 | Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 0-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 18/09 | CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 12/09 | 22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | LDU Portoviejo Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 20/08 | Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 13/08 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 06/08 | Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
Deportivo Santo Domingo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | LDU Portoviejo Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 27/09 | Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 18/09 | El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 11/09 | LDU Portoviejo Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 04/09 | Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 27/08 | 22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 22/08 | Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 13/08 | Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 06/08 | Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 30/07 | Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in El Nacional vs Deportivo Santo Domingo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a El Nacional win (34%). Probabilities: El Nacional 34%, draw 32%, Deportivo Santo Domingo 34%.
How many goals are expected in El Nacional vs Deportivo Santo Domingo?
The model expects 2.15 goals (El Nacional 1.07 · Deportivo Santo Domingo 1.08), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in El Nacional vs Deportivo Santo Domingo?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.

