Prediction: El Nacional vs Deportivo Santo Domingo

Team pages: El Nacional · Deportivo Santo Domingo

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.15Total
El Nacional1.07
Deportivo Santo Domingo1.08
1X2
34% 32% 34%
El Nacional Draw Deportivo Santo Domingo
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
El Nacional 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
WLDLLWLLLW
Deportivo Santo Domingo 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
DWDDWWLWLD
Head-to-head
El Nacional 0–2–1 Deportivo Santo Domingo (3 last)
  • CD Vargas Torres1-0El Nacional
  • El Nacional0-0CD Vargas Torres
  • CD Vargas Torres1-1El Nacional
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Santo Domingo (rating 1466 vs 1522).
  • Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

El NacionalDeportivo Santo Domingo
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.61.2 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.80.2 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)13/25/63%11/67/22%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 3.71.9 / 2.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.4 / 0.33.8 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · El Nacional 0–2–1 Deportivo Santo Domingo

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DateHomeScoreAway
18/09/26
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
CD Vargas Torres1-0
HT 0-0
El Nacional
11/06/26
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
El Nacional0-0
HT 0-0
CD Vargas Torres
10/04/26
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
CD Vargas Torres1-1El Nacional

Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · Serie B 2026, Relegation Round

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Gualaceo SC 2912107 321940
2 LDU Portoviejo 2910109 272840
3 CD Vargas Torres 2910118 282138
4 Cumbaya 308139 413137
5 El Nacional 294619 254615
6 22 de Julio 304422 186510

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentEl NacionalDeportivo Santo Domingo
22 de Julio 5-2 W 3-0 W
LDU Portoviejo 2-3 L 2-2 D
Cumbaya 0-3 L 2-1 W
Gualaceo SC 0-3 L 0-1 L
Club 9 de Octubre 1-0 W 0-0 D
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 3 L 2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Santo Domingo (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

El Nacional

WLDLLWLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/10 22 de Julio
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
– 5-2 –– W
03/10 LDU Portoviejo
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
1-2 2-3 34 L
26/09 Cumbaya
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
– 0-3 15 L
18/09 CD Vargas Torres
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 0-1 36 L
12/09 22 de Julio
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
1-0 3-0 54 W
05/09 LDU Portoviejo
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-1 0-2 43 L
29/08 Gualaceo SC
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-1 0-3 47 L
20/08 Independiente Juniors
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-1 1-1 44 D
13/08 San Antonio FC Cotacachi
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-1 0-1 73 L
06/08 Club 9 de Octubre
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 1-0 27 W

Deportivo Santo Domingo

DWDDWWLWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/10 LDU Portoviejo
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 2-2 24 D
27/09 Gualaceo SC
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 0-1 23 L
18/09 El Nacional
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 1-0 46 W
11/09 LDU Portoviejo
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-1 0-1 23 L
04/09 Cumbaya
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 2-1 46 W
27/08 22 de Julio
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
1-0 3-0 32 W
22/08 Vinotinto Ecuador
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
– 0-0 –– D
13/08 Cumbaya
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
1-2 3-3 24 D
06/08 Atletico FC Guayaquil
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 1-0 24 W
30/07 Club 9 de Octubre
Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
0-0 0-0 36 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in El Nacional vs Deportivo Santo Domingo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a El Nacional win (34%). Probabilities: El Nacional 34%, draw 32%, Deportivo Santo Domingo 34%.

How many goals are expected in El Nacional vs Deportivo Santo Domingo?

The model expects 2.15 goals (El Nacional 1.07 · Deportivo Santo Domingo 1.08), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in El Nacional vs Deportivo Santo Domingo?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.