Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · 08/10, 22:30

Prediction: Deportivo Santo Domingo vs LDU Portoviejo

Team pages: Deportivo Santo Domingo · LDU Portoviejo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.8Total

Deportivo Santo Domingo0.94

LDU Portoviejo0.86

1X2

36% 33% 31%

Deportivo Santo Domingo Draw LDU Portoviejo

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 55% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

0-0 18%

Recent form · 10 last

Deportivo Santo Domingo 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LDWDDWWLWL

LDU Portoviejo 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

LDDWDWWDDW

Head-to-head

Deportivo Santo Domingo 1–2 LDU Portoviejo (3 last)

LDU Portoviejo1-0CD Vargas Torres
LDU Portoviejo1-0CD Vargas Torres
CD Vargas Torres3-0LDU Portoviejo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Santo Domingo 1521 · LDU Portoviejo 1519

	Deportivo Santo Domingo	Draw	LDU Portoviejo
Our model	35%	35%	30%
Market	37%	31%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 1.8 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours LDU Portoviejo: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportivo Santo Domingo	LDU Portoviejo
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 0.7	1 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.3	0.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	11/67/22%	38/50/13%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 2.6	1 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.4	4.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.45

X2.90

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.75

Under 1.752.05

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 1.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:42

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45
X	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
2	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
00:32 +11’	2.45	2.90	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Santo Domingo 1–0–2 LDU Portoviejo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/09/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	LDU Portoviejo	1-0 HT 1-0	CD Vargas Torres
25/07/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	LDU Portoviejo	1-0 HT 0-0	CD Vargas Torres
05/05/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	CD Vargas Torres	3-0 HT 1-0	LDU Portoviejo

Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · Serie B 2026, Relegation Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gualaceo SC	28	12	9	7	31	18	39
2	LDU Portoviejo	28	10	9	9	25	26	39
3	CD Vargas Torres	28	10	10	8	26	19	37
4	Cumbaya	28	7	12	9	33	29	33
5	El Nacional	28	3	6	19	20	44	12
6	22 de Julio	28	4	4	20	15	53	10

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportivo Santo Domingo	LDU Portoviejo
Gualaceo SC	0-1 L	0-0 D
El Nacional	1-0 W	3-2 W
Cumbaya	2-1 W	0-0 D
22 de Julio	3-0 W	2-2 D
Vinotinto Ecuador	0-0 D	0-0 D
Atletico FC Guayaquil	1-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Santo Domingo (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo Santo Domingo

LDWDDWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
18/09	El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	1-0	4	6	W
11/09	LDU Portoviejo Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-1	0-1	2	3	L
04/09	Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	2-1	4	6	W
27/08	22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	3-0	3	2	W
22/08	Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	–	0-0	–	–	D
13/08	Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-2	3-3	2	4	D
06/08	Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
30/07	Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
25/07	LDU Portoviejo Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-1	1	8	L

LDU Portoviejo

LDDWDWWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	2-1	3-2	2	4	W
24/09	22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	–	2-2	–	–	D
19/09	Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
11/09	CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	1-0	0	3	W
05/09	El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	2-0	1	3	W
26/08	Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
21/08	22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	–	2-0	–	–	W
13/08	Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-0	1	6	D
08/08	Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-0	4	7	D
30/07	Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-1	0-1	5	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Santo Domingo vs LDU Portoviejo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Santo Domingo win (36%). Probabilities: Deportivo Santo Domingo 36%, draw 33%, LDU Portoviejo 31%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Santo Domingo vs LDU Portoviejo?

The model expects 1.8 goals (Deportivo Santo Domingo 0.94 · LDU Portoviejo 0.86), with a 51% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Santo Domingo vs LDU Portoviejo?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.