Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · 17/10, 22:30

Prediction: LDU Portoviejo vs Gualaceo SC

Team pages: LDU Portoviejo · Gualaceo SC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.91Total

LDU Portoviejo1

Gualaceo SC0.9

1X2

36% 32% 31%

LDU Portoviejo Draw Gualaceo SC

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 58% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

0-0 16%

Recent form · 10 last

LDU Portoviejo 4-6-0 (W-D-L)

DDWDWWDDWD

Gualaceo SC 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LLDWWWDWWD

Head-to-head

LDU Portoviejo 1–3–2 Gualaceo SC (6 last)

Gualaceo SC0-0LDU Portoviejo
LDU Portoviejo1-0Gualaceo SC
Gualaceo SC2-0LDU Portoviejo
Gualaceo SC1-0LDU Portoviejo
LDU Portoviejo1-1Gualaceo SC
Gualaceo SC0-0LDU Portoviejo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · LDU Portoviejo 1528 · Gualaceo SC 1530

	LDU Portoviejo	Draw	Gualaceo SC
Our model	35%	34%	30%
Market	37%	31%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 1.91 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Gualaceo SC: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	LDU Portoviejo	Gualaceo SC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 0.6	1.6 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.1	0.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	38/63/0%	25/75/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.9 / 2.8	2.5 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0	4.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.40

X2.90

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.75

2 (0)2.05

Line ⓘ

Over 21.88

Under 21.93

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40
X	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
2	2.80 → 2.80	Pinn 4.10 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
16:28 +20’	2.40	2.90	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
11:20 +55’	2.72	2.32	3.43
14:20 +55’	2.35▼	2.37▲	4.10▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · LDU Portoviejo 1–3–2 Gualaceo SC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/09/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	Gualaceo SC	0-0 HT 0-0	LDU Portoviejo
06/06/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	LDU Portoviejo	1-0 HT 0-0	Gualaceo SC
03/04/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	Gualaceo SC	2-0 HT 1-0	LDU Portoviejo
29/09/21 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	Gualaceo SC	1-0 HT 1-0	LDU Portoviejo
04/08/21 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	LDU Portoviejo	1-1 HT 0-1	Gualaceo SC
20/06/21 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	Gualaceo SC	0-0 HT 0-0	LDU Portoviejo

Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · Serie B 2026, Relegation Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gualaceo SC	29	12	10	7	32	19	40
2	LDU Portoviejo	29	10	10	9	27	28	40
3	CD Vargas Torres	29	10	11	8	28	21	38
4	Cumbaya	30	8	13	9	41	31	37
5	El Nacional	29	4	6	19	25	46	15
6	22 de Julio	30	4	4	22	18	65	10

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	LDU Portoviejo	Gualaceo SC
CD Vargas Torres	2-2 D	1-0 W
El Nacional	3-2 W	3-0 W
22 de Julio	2-2 D	4-2 W
Cumbaya	0-0 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 0 L	3 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Gualaceo SC (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

LDU Portoviejo

DDWDWWDDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/10	CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	2-2	3	4	D
03/10	El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	2-1	3-2	2	4	W
24/09	22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	–	2-2	–	–	D
19/09	Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
11/09	CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	1-0	0	3	W
05/09	El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	2-0	1	3	W
26/08	Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
21/08	22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	–	2-0	–	–	W
13/08	Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-0	1	6	D
08/08	Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-0	4	7	D

Gualaceo SC

LLDWWWDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-1	1-1	9	5	D
03/10	22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	–	4-2	–	–	W
27/09	CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
19/09	LDU Portoviejo Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-0	1	3	D
10/09	Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	1-0	8	2	W
29/08	El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	3-0	5	7	W
20/08	CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	3-0	2	7	W
15/08	Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-0	11	6	D
06/08	San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	–	1-2	–	–	L
01/08	Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-1	2-3	5	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in LDU Portoviejo vs Gualaceo SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a LDU Portoviejo win (36%). Probabilities: LDU Portoviejo 36%, draw 32%, Gualaceo SC 31%.

How many goals are expected in LDU Portoviejo vs Gualaceo SC?

The model expects 1.91 goals (LDU Portoviejo 1 · Gualaceo SC 0.9), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in LDU Portoviejo vs Gualaceo SC?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.