Football · USA USL League One · 03/10, 21:00
Prediction: Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Corpus Christi FC
Team pages: Chattanooga Red Wolves · Corpus Christi FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.47Total
Chattanooga Red Wolves1.51
Corpus Christi FC0.96
1X2
Chattanooga Red Wolves
Draw
Corpus Christi FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Chattanooga Red Wolves
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Corpus Christi FC
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chattanooga Red Wolves
0–2
Corpus Christi FC
(2 last)
- Corpus Christi FC2-1Chattanooga Red Wolves
- Chattanooga Red Wolves0-1Corpus Christi FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chattanooga Red Wolves 1478 · Corpus Christi FC 1534
| Chattanooga Red Wolves | Draw | Corpus Christi FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 28% | 23% |
| Market | 50% | 26% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.47 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Corpus Christi FC (rating 1478 vs 1534).
- H2H favours Corpus Christi FC: 2-0-0.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 11.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chattanooga Red Wolves | Corpus Christi FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.4 | 1.2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/10/40% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.7 | 2.2 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.1 | 6.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chattanooga Red Wolves 0–0–2 Corpus Christi FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/26 USA USL League One | Corpus Christi FC | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Chattanooga Red Wolves |
| 26/04/26 USA USL Cup | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Corpus Christi FC |
Standings · USA USL League One
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 53 | 31 | 61 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 64 | 40 | 57 |
| 3 | Forward Madison FC | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 27 | 51 |
| 4 | One Knoxville SC | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44 | 31 | 48 |
| 5 | Spokane Velocity FC | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 38 | 33 | 46 |
| 6 | AC Boise | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 39 | 46 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 28 | 13 | 4 | 11 | 47 | 40 | 43 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne FC | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 42 | 36 | 38 |
| 9 | Corpus Christi FC | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 37 | 36 |
| 10 | Sarasota Paradise | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 37 | 40 | 33 |
| 11 | Antelope Valley Alta | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 34 | 40 | 32 |
| 12 | FC Naples | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 30 | 43 | 31 |
| 13 | Westchester SC | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 46 | 45 | 30 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 40 | 50 | 30 |
| 15 | New York Cosmos | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 35 | 54 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph SC | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 30 | 51 | 23 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 27 | 56 | 20 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chattanooga Red Wolves | Corpus Christi FC |
|---|---|---|
| Spokane Velocity FC | 0-1 L | 3-2 W |
| Portland Hearts of Pine | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Forward Madison FC | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Greenville Triumph SC | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Westchester SC | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| AC Boise | 2-3 L | 2-1 W |
| New York Cosmos | 3-3 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 2 L | 4 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Chattanooga Red Wolves (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chattanooga Red Wolves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Spokane Velocity FC USA USL League One |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 27/09 | FC Naples USA USL League One |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 10 | L |
| 20/09 | Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 17/09 | Forward Madison FC USA USL League One |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 13/09 | Richmond Kickers USA USL League One |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 06/09 | Greenville Triumph SC USA USL League One |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 03/09 | Westchester SC USA USL League One |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 30/08 | AC Boise USA USL League One |
0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 23/08 | New York Cosmos USA USL League One |
2-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 20/08 | Sarasota Paradise USA USL League One |
1-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
Corpus Christi FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | AC Boise USA USL League One |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 16/09 | Greenville Triumph SC USA USL League One |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 10 | W |
| 13/09 | Union Omaha USA USL League One |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | Forward Madison FC USA USL League One |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 23/08 | Westchester SC USA USL League One |
0-2 | 2-2 | 11 | 5 | D |
| 20/08 | New York Cosmos USA USL League One |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 16/08 | Spokane Velocity FC USA USL League One |
0-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 02/08 | AC Boise USA USL League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 26/07 | Greenville Triumph SC USA USL League One |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Corpus Christi FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Chattanooga Red Wolves win (50%). Probabilities: Chattanooga Red Wolves 50%, draw 27%, Corpus Christi FC 23%.
How many goals are expected in Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Corpus Christi FC?
The model expects 2.47 goals (Chattanooga Red Wolves 1.51 · Corpus Christi FC 0.96), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Corpus Christi FC?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.