Football · USA USL League One · 11/10, 21:00
Prediction: One Knoxville SC vs Spokane Velocity FC
Team pages: One Knoxville SC · Spokane Velocity FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.93Total
One Knoxville SC1.7
Spokane Velocity FC1.22
1X2
One Knoxville SC
Draw
Spokane Velocity FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
One Knoxville SC
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Spokane Velocity FC
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
One Knoxville SC
3–3–0
Spokane Velocity FC
(6 last)
- Spokane Velocity FC0-4One Knoxville SC
- One Knoxville SC2-0Spokane Velocity FC
- One Knoxville SC1-0Spokane Velocity FC
- Spokane Velocity FC2-2One Knoxville SC
- Spokane Velocity FC0-0One Knoxville SC
- One Knoxville SC1-1Spokane Velocity FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · One Knoxville SC 1537 · Spokane Velocity FC 1516
| One Knoxville SC | Draw | Spokane Velocity FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 26% | 26% |
| Market | 48% | 25% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.93 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours One Knoxville SC: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| One Knoxville SC | Spokane Velocity FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.2 | 1.9 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 5.4 | 1.4 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.3 | 4.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · One Knoxville SC 3–3–0 Spokane Velocity FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/26 USA USL League One | Spokane Velocity FC | 0-4 HT 0-2 | One Knoxville SC |
| 16/11/25 USA USL League One | One Knoxville SC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Spokane Velocity FC |
| 30/08/25 USA USL League One | One Knoxville SC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Spokane Velocity FC |
| 17/03/25 USA USL League One | Spokane Velocity FC | 2-2 HT 1-0 | One Knoxville SC |
| 27/10/24 USA USL League One | Spokane Velocity FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | One Knoxville SC |
| 24/08/24 USA USL League One | One Knoxville SC | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Spokane Velocity FC |
Standings · USA USL League One
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Independence | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 70 | 42 | 63 |
| 2 | Union Omaha | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 53 | 32 | 61 |
| 3 | Forward Madison FC | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 52 | 30 | 52 |
| 4 | AC Boise | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 47 | 40 | 52 |
| 5 | One Knoxville SC | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 34 | 51 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity FC | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41 | 36 | 47 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 50 | 43 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne FC | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 46 | 37 | 45 |
| 9 | FC Naples | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 35 | 44 | 40 |
| 10 | Westchester SC | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 51 | 48 | 36 |
| 11 | Sarasota Paradise | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 45 | 36 |
| 12 | Corpus Christi FC | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 44 | 36 |
| 13 | Antelope Valley Alta | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 44 | 33 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 44 | 55 | 31 |
| 15 | New York Cosmos | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 36 | 59 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph SC | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 32 | 54 | 24 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 32 | 63 | 23 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | One Knoxville SC | Spokane Velocity FC |
|---|---|---|
| Chattanooga Red Wolves | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Westchester SC | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| Union Omaha | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Fort Wayne FC | 3-2 W | 3-1 W |
| Forward Madison FC | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| AC Boise | 2-2 D | 2-2 D |
| Portland Hearts of Pine | 1-1 D | 3-3 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 4 D 1 L | 4 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Spokane Velocity FC (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
One Knoxville SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Chattanooga Red Wolves USA USL League One |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 04/10 | Richmond Kickers USA USL League One |
2-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 28/09 | Westchester SC USA USL League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 20/09 | Union Omaha USA USL League One |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 17/09 | Fort Wayne FC USA USL League One |
0-2 | 3-2 | 12 | 6 | W |
| 12/09 | FC Naples USA USL League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | Antelope Valley Alta USA USL League One |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 03/09 | Forward Madison FC USA USL League One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 23/08 | AC Boise USA USL League One |
2-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 20/08 | Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 3 | D |
Spokane Velocity FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One |
3-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 01/10 | Chattanooga Red Wolves USA USL League One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 27/09 | Forward Madison FC USA USL League One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 21/09 | AC Boise USA USL League One |
0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 16/09 | Union Omaha USA USL League One |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | Sarasota Paradise USA USL League One |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 30/08 | Westchester SC USA USL League One |
2-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | Greenville Triumph SC USA USL League One |
2-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | Corpus Christi FC USA USL League One |
1-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 26/07 | Fort Wayne FC USA USL League One |
0-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in One Knoxville SC vs Spokane Velocity FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a One Knoxville SC win (48%). Probabilities: One Knoxville SC 48%, draw 25%, Spokane Velocity FC 27%.
How many goals are expected in One Knoxville SC vs Spokane Velocity FC?
The model expects 2.93 goals (One Knoxville SC 1.7 · Spokane Velocity FC 1.22), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in One Knoxville SC vs Spokane Velocity FC?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.