Football · USA USL League One · 11/10, 01:00

Prediction: Westchester SC vs Forward Madison FC

Team pages: Westchester SC · Forward Madison FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.81Total

Westchester SC1.27

Forward Madison FC1.55

1X2

31% 26% 43%

Westchester SC Draw Forward Madison FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Westchester SC 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Forward Madison FC 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDWDWDLWLD

Head-to-head

Westchester SC 1–1–2 Forward Madison FC (4 last)

Forward Madison FC2-0Westchester SC
Westchester SC0-1Forward Madison FC
Forward Madison FC1-2Westchester SC
Westchester SC1-1Forward Madison FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Westchester SC 1491 · Forward Madison FC 1520

	Westchester SC	Draw	Forward Madison FC
Our model	30%	27%	43%
Market	31%	25%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 2.81 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Forward Madison FC: 2-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Westchester SC	Forward Madison FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.9	1.2 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1.6 / 0.8	0.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/10/40%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 4.3	2.2 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0	6 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.88

X3.60

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.80

2 (-0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.88 → 2.88	Pinn 3.24 ★
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
18:36 +7’	2.88	3.60	2.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:22 +82’	3.18	3.54	2.02
21:02 +160’	3.24▲	3.56▲	1.99▼
14:49 +13’	3.24	3.59▲	1.98▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Westchester SC 1–1–2 Forward Madison FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/08/26 USA USL League One	Forward Madison FC	2-0 HT 1-0	Westchester SC
29/09/25 USA USL League One	Westchester SC	0-1 HT 0-1	Forward Madison FC
19/06/25 USA USL League One	Forward Madison FC	1-2 HT 1-2	Westchester SC
17/05/25 USA USL League One	Westchester SC	1-1 HT 1-1	Forward Madison FC

Standings · USA USL League One

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Union Omaha	29	19	4	6	53	31	61
2	Charlotte Independence	29	18	6	5	67	42	60
3	Forward Madison FC	29	15	7	7	50	27	52
4	One Knoxville SC	30	14	9	7	49	34	51
5	AC Boise	29	14	7	8	45	39	49
6	Spokane Velocity FC	27	14	5	8	41	36	47
7	Chattanooga Red Wolves	30	14	4	12	50	43	46
8	Fort Wayne FC	29	11	9	9	45	37	42
9	FC Naples	29	11	4	14	34	44	37
10	Corpus Christi FC	29	9	9	11	33	43	36
11	Westchester SC	29	9	6	14	48	46	33
12	Sarasota Paradise	28	9	6	13	39	43	33
13	Antelope Valley Alta	29	8	8	13	35	42	32
14	Portland Hearts of Pine	29	7	10	12	43	53	31
15	New York Cosmos	28	7	4	17	36	56	25
16	Greenville Triumph SC	28	6	5	17	30	52	23
17	Richmond Kickers	29	6	5	18	30	60	23

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Westchester SC	Forward Madison FC
Antelope Valley Alta	2-1 W	3-0 W
One Knoxville SC	0-0 D	1-1 D
Richmond Kickers	5-2 W	2-1 W
Charlotte Independence	4-5 L	1-1 D
Portland Hearts of Pine	1-2 L	2-1 W
Chattanooga Red Wolves	0-1 L	0-1 L
Spokane Velocity FC	1-3 L	0-1 L
Corpus Christi FC	2-2 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 4 L	4 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Forward Madison FC (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Westchester SC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Antelope Valley Alta USA USL League One	2-0	2-1	2	6	W
28/09	One Knoxville SC USA USL League One	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
20/09	New York Cosmos USA USL League One	1-0	2-1	3	3	W
17/09	Richmond Kickers USA USL League One	5-0	5-2	5	4	W
13/09	Charlotte Independence USA USL League One	2-4	4-5	3	7	L
07/09	Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One	0-1	1-2	6	5	L
03/09	Chattanooga Red Wolves USA USL League One	0-1	0-1	9	7	L
30/08	Spokane Velocity FC USA USL League One	1-2	1-3	5	3	L
23/08	Corpus Christi FC USA USL League One	2-0	2-2	2	5	D
16/08	FC Naples USA USL League One	3-0	3-2	4	4	W

Forward Madison FC

WDWDWDLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Fort Wayne FC USA USL League One	0-0	0-0	12	4	D
27/09	Spokane Velocity FC USA USL League One	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
20/09	Antelope Valley Alta USA USL League One	1-0	3-0	6	12	W
17/09	Chattanooga Red Wolves USA USL League One	0-1	0-1	3	7	L
13/09	Sarasota Paradise USA USL League One	0-1	1-1	5	5	D
06/09	Corpus Christi FC USA USL League One	0-0	2-0	2	7	W
03/09	One Knoxville SC USA USL League One	0-0	1-1	4	6	D
30/08	Richmond Kickers USA USL League One	1-0	2-1	5	7	W
23/08	Charlotte Independence USA USL League One	0-1	1-1	7	4	D
17/08	Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One	1-0	2-1	6	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Westchester SC vs Forward Madison FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Forward Madison FC win (43%). Probabilities: Westchester SC 31%, draw 26%, Forward Madison FC 43%.

How many goals are expected in Westchester SC vs Forward Madison FC?

The model expects 2.81 goals (Westchester SC 1.27 · Forward Madison FC 1.55), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Westchester SC vs Forward Madison FC?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.