Football · USA USL League One · 11/10, 04:30

Prediction: Antelope Valley Alta vs Greenville Triumph SC

Team pages: Antelope Valley Alta · Greenville Triumph SC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.99Total

Antelope Valley Alta1.64

Greenville Triumph SC1.35

1X2

44% 25% 31%

Antelope Valley Alta Draw Greenville Triumph SC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Antelope Valley Alta 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LLWLLLLLLL

Greenville Triumph SC 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

DDLWLLLLLL

Head-to-head

Antelope Valley Alta 1–2–0 Greenville Triumph SC (3 last)

Greenville Triumph SC1-2Antelope Valley Alta
Antelope Valley Alta1-1Greenville Triumph SC
Greenville Triumph SC2-2Antelope Valley Alta

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Antelope Valley Alta 1421 · Greenville Triumph SC 1415

	Antelope Valley Alta	Draw	Greenville Triumph SC
Our model	43%	26%	31%
Market	44%	24%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.99 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Antelope Valley Alta	Greenville Triumph SC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2.1	1 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1	0.4 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.6	2.2 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.4 / 0.3	4.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.70

22.88

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.85

2 (+0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 11:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.05▼	Bet365 2.05
X	3.60 → 3.70▲	Bet365 3.70
2	2.50 → 2.88▲	Pinn 3.07 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.6% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
18:45 +13’	2.30	3.60	2.50
11:04 +10’	2.05▼	3.70▲	2.88▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:18 +40’	2.01	3.62	3.15
02:17 +65’	2.05▲	3.59▼	3.07▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.75

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Antelope Valley Alta 1–2–0 Greenville Triumph SC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/06/26 USA USL League One	Greenville Triumph SC	1-2 HT 1-0	Antelope Valley Alta
17/08/25 USA USL League One	Antelope Valley Alta	1-1 HT 1-0	Greenville Triumph SC
18/05/25 USA USL League One	Greenville Triumph SC	2-2 HT 0-1	Antelope Valley Alta

Standings · USA USL League One

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Union Omaha	29	19	4	6	53	31	61
2	Charlotte Independence	29	18	6	5	67	42	60
3	Forward Madison FC	29	15	7	7	50	27	52
4	One Knoxville SC	30	14	9	7	49	34	51
5	AC Boise	29	14	7	8	45	39	49
6	Spokane Velocity FC	27	14	5	8	41	36	47
7	Chattanooga Red Wolves	30	14	4	12	50	43	46
8	Fort Wayne FC	29	11	9	9	45	37	42
9	FC Naples	29	11	4	14	34	44	37
10	Corpus Christi FC	29	9	9	11	33	43	36
11	Westchester SC	29	9	6	14	48	46	33
12	Sarasota Paradise	28	9	6	13	39	43	33
13	Antelope Valley Alta	29	8	8	13	35	42	32
14	Portland Hearts of Pine	29	7	10	12	43	53	31
15	New York Cosmos	28	7	4	17	36	56	25
16	Greenville Triumph SC	28	6	5	17	30	52	23
17	Richmond Kickers	29	6	5	18	30	60	23

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Antelope Valley Alta	Greenville Triumph SC
Forward Madison FC	0-3 L	1-1 D
One Knoxville SC	1-2 L	1-1 D
FC Naples	1-2 L	4-0 W
Fort Wayne FC	3-0 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Greenville Triumph SC (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Antelope Valley Alta

LLWLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Westchester SC USA USL League One	0-2	1-2	12	6	L
20/09	Forward Madison FC USA USL League One	0-1	0-3	4	12	L
14/09	Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One	0-0	0-1	2	8	L
06/09	One Knoxville SC USA USL League One	1-1	1-2	4	5	L
29/08	Charlotte Independence USA USL League One	0-4	0-5	2	4	L
23/08	FC Naples USA USL League One	1-0	1-2	3	5	L
16/08	New York Cosmos USA USL League One	0-0	0-1	2	6	L
09/08	Fort Wayne FC USA USL League One	1-0	3-0	3	5	W
06/08	FC Naples USA USL League One	0-1	1-2	9	8	L
02/08	Richmond Kickers USA USL League One	0-1	2-3	5	8	L

Greenville Triumph SC

DDLWLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	AC Boise USA USL League One	0-1	0-1	5	5	L
27/09	Union Omaha USA USL League One	1-1	1-3	1	5	L
20/09	Sarasota Paradise USA USL League One	0-4	0-6	1	2	L
16/09	Corpus Christi FC USA USL League One	0-1	0-1	3	10	L
13/09	Fort Wayne FC USA USL League One	1-2	1-3	9	7	L
06/09	Chattanooga Red Wolves USA USL League One	0-2	1-3	6	2	L
30/08	FC Naples USA USL League One	1-0	4-0	5	3	W
23/08	Spokane Velocity FC USA USL League One	0-2	1-2	5	5	L
16/08	One Knoxville SC USA USL League One	0-0	1-1	8	4	D
13/08	Forward Madison FC USA USL League One	1-1	1-1	2	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Antelope Valley Alta vs Greenville Triumph SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Antelope Valley Alta win (44%). Probabilities: Antelope Valley Alta 44%, draw 25%, Greenville Triumph SC 31%.

How many goals are expected in Antelope Valley Alta vs Greenville Triumph SC?

The model expects 2.99 goals (Antelope Valley Alta 1.64 · Greenville Triumph SC 1.35), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Antelope Valley Alta vs Greenville Triumph SC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.