Football · Nicaragua Apertura · 25/10, 02:00

Prediction: CD Walter Ferretti vs Rancho Santana FC

Team pages: CD Walter Ferretti · Rancho Santana FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.2Total

CD Walter Ferretti2.3

Rancho Santana FC0.9

1X2

68% 19% 13%

CD Walter Ferretti Draw Rancho Santana FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

2-0 11%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Walter Ferretti 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWLLDLDWWW

Rancho Santana FC 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LLLWDDLDLL

Head-to-head

CD Walter Ferretti 3–3–0 Rancho Santana FC (6 last)

Rancho Santana FC1-3CD Walter Ferretti
CD Walter Ferretti0-0Rancho Santana FC
Rancho Santana FC2-2CD Walter Ferretti
Rancho Santana FC1-1CD Walter Ferretti
CD Walter Ferretti6-2Rancho Santana FC
Rancho Santana FC2-5CD Walter Ferretti

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Walter Ferretti 1524 · Rancho Santana FC 1434

	CD Walter Ferretti	Draw	Rancho Santana FC
Our model	68%	20%	12%
Market	69%	19%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 3.2 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Walter Ferretti (rating 1524 vs 1434).
H2H favours CD Walter Ferretti: 3-3-0.
High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Walter Ferretti	Rancho Santana FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.7	0.8 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.4	0 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	0/30/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 5.7	3.3 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.2	4.1 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

11.30

X4.75

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.82

2 (+1.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.30 → 1.30	Bet365 1.30
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.3%

Time*	1	X	2
16:17 +12’	1.30	4.75	7.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Walter Ferretti 3–3–0 Rancho Santana FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/08/26 Nicaragua Apertura	Rancho Santana FC	1-3 HT 0-2	CD Walter Ferretti
10/04/26 Nicaragua Clausura	CD Walter Ferretti	0-0 HT 0-0	Rancho Santana FC
08/02/26 Nicaragua Clausura	Rancho Santana FC	2-2 HT 2-0	CD Walter Ferretti
23/10/25 Nicaragua Apertura	Rancho Santana FC	1-1 HT 0-1	CD Walter Ferretti
11/08/25 Nicaragua Apertura	CD Walter Ferretti	6-2 HT 4-0	Rancho Santana FC
07/07/25 Nicaragua Cup	Rancho Santana FC	2-5 HT 2-3	CD Walter Ferretti

Standings · Nicaragua Apertura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Managua FC	13	11	2	0	41	13	35
2	Diriangen	13	9	3	1	26	13	30
3	UNAN Managua	13	7	3	3	17	13	24
4	Real Esteli	13	6	4	3	23	12	22
5	CD Walter Ferretti	13	5	2	6	26	22	17
6	HYH Export Sebaco FC	12	5	2	5	14	21	17
7	San Marcos FC	13	3	2	8	14	22	11
8	Matagalpa FC	12	3	0	9	7	29	9
9	Jalapa	13	2	3	8	11	19	9
10	Rancho Santana FC	13	1	3	9	9	24	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Walter Ferretti	Rancho Santana FC
Real Esteli	3-1 W	1-1 D
Matagalpa FC	5-1 W	1-0 W
Diriangen	4-2 W	0-1 L
Jalapa	2-2 D	1-1 D
Managua FC	2-3 L	1-6 L
HYH Export Sebaco FC	1-1 D	0-2 L
San Marcos FC	0-1 L	1-2 L
UNAN Managua	0-1 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	1 W 3 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: CD Walter Ferretti (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Walter Ferretti

LWLLDLDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/10	Real Esteli Nicaragua Apertura	1-0	3-1	2	8	W
15/10	Matagalpa FC Nicaragua Apertura	1-0	5-1	–	–	W
11/10	Diriangen Nicaragua Apertura	1-1	4-2	3	4	W
04/10	Jalapa Nicaragua Apertura	2-0	2-2	5	3	D
07/09	Managua FC Nicaragua Apertura	2-1	2-3	6	7	L
02/09	HYH Export Sebaco FC Nicaragua Apertura	0-1	1-1	8	6	D
31/08	San Marcos FC Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	0-1	8	4	L
24/08	UNAN Managua Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	0-1	4	8	L
16/08	Rancho Santana FC Nicaragua Apertura	2-0	3-1	10	5	W
08/08	Real Esteli Nicaragua Apertura	1-1	1-4	5	3	L

Rancho Santana FC

LLLWDDLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/10	Diriangen Nicaragua Apertura	0-1	0-1	1	4	L
15/10	HYH Export Sebaco FC Nicaragua Apertura	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
12/10	UNAN Managua Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	1-1	9	7	D
03/10	Managua FC Nicaragua Apertura	0-1	1-6	5	6	L
06/09	Real Esteli Nicaragua Apertura	0-1	1-1	2	5	D
03/09	Jalapa Nicaragua Apertura	0-1	1-1	1	0	D
30/08	Matagalpa FC Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
24/08	San Marcos FC Nicaragua Apertura	0-1	1-2	14	5	L
16/08	CD Walter Ferretti Nicaragua Apertura	0-2	1-3	9	5	L
09/08	Diriangen Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	1-2	5	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Walter Ferretti vs Rancho Santana FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Walter Ferretti win (68%). Probabilities: CD Walter Ferretti 68%, draw 19%, Rancho Santana FC 13%.

How many goals are expected in CD Walter Ferretti vs Rancho Santana FC?

The model expects 3.2 goals (CD Walter Ferretti 2.3 · Rancho Santana FC 0.9), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Walter Ferretti vs Rancho Santana FC?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.