Football · Colombia Primera B · 20/10, 22:30

Prediction: Atletico Cali FC vs Deportes Quindio

Team pages: Atletico Cali FC · Deportes Quindio

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.32Total

Atletico Cali FC0.92

Deportes Quindio1.41

1X2

24% 29% 48%

Atletico Cali FC Draw Deportes Quindio

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Atletico Cali FC 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWWWWLLLDW

Deportes Quindio 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WWDDLLWWLD

Head-to-head

Atletico Cali FC 0–2–4 Deportes Quindio (6 last)

Deportes Quindio2-1Atletico Cali FC
Deportes Quindio2-1Atletico Cali FC
Atletico Cali FC0-1Deportes Quindio
Deportes Quindio2-2Atletico Cali FC
Atletico Cali FC0-1Deportes Quindio
Atletico Cali FC2-2Deportes Quindio

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atletico Cali FC 1505 · Deportes Quindio 1508

	Atletico Cali FC	Draw	Deportes Quindio
Our model	23%	30%	47%
Market	24%	28%	48%

Estimated total (ours) 2.32 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Deportes Quindio: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Atletico Cali FC	Deportes Quindio
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.3	0.9 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.2 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.8 / 3.1	1.9 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.1	5.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.75

X3.30

21.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.85

2 (-0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.82

Under 2.251.98

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 19:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.20 → 3.75▲	Pinn 4.02 ★
X	3.25 → 3.30▲	Bet365 3.30
2	2.10 → 1.90▼	Bet365 1.90

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 9.6% Pinnacle margin 7.9%

Time*	1	X	2
18:00 +5’	3.20	3.25	2.10
18:59 +7’	3.75▲	3.30▲	1.90▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:28 +38’	4.24	3.37	1.83
20:03 +5’	4.02▼	3.29▼	1.90▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Cali FC 0–2–4 Deportes Quindio

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/04/26 Colombia Primera B	Deportes Quindio	2-1 HT 1-1	Atletico Cali FC
23/08/25 Colombia Primera B	Deportes Quindio	2-1 HT 1-1	Atletico Cali FC
17/03/25 Colombia Primera B	Atletico Cali FC	0-1 HT 0-1	Deportes Quindio
22/09/24 Colombia Primera B	Deportes Quindio	2-2 HT 1-0	Atletico Cali FC
20/04/24 Colombia Primera B	Atletico Cali FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Deportes Quindio
15/09/23 Colombia Primera B	Atletico Cali FC	2-2 HT 1-2	Deportes Quindio

Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Independiente Valle del Cauca	13	7	4	2	17	8	25
2	Real Soacha Cundinamarca	13	7	3	3	19	11	24
3	Tigres FC	13	6	5	2	16	7	23
4	Boca Juniors De Cali	13	5	3	5	18	16	18
5	Patriotas FC	13	5	3	5	17	18	18
6	Atletico Cali FC	13	5	3	5	16	19	18
7	Real Cartagena	13	4	5	4	22	17	17
8	Envigado FC	14	3	8	3	15	13	17
9	Deportes Quindio	13	4	5	4	11	13	17
10	Real San Andres	13	3	7	3	15	19	16
11	Internacional FC de Palmira	13	4	4	5	10	14	16
12	Union Magdalena	13	3	5	5	13	15	14
13	Orsomarso	13	3	5	5	9	12	14
14	Bogota FC	13	3	5	5	9	13	14
15	Itagui Leones	13	3	5	5	11	19	14
16	Barranquilla FC	14	3	4	7	17	21	13

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Atletico Cali FC	Deportes Quindio
Real Cartagena	2-2 D	1-1 D
Real Soacha Cundinamarca	1-2 L	1-3 L
Envigado FC	0-3 L	1-0 W
Orsomarso	2-0 W	1-0 W
Bogota FC	2-1 W	1-0 W
Patriotas FC	0-2 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atletico Cali FC

LWWWWLLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Primera B	0-0	1-0	3	1	W
08/10	Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B	1-2	2-2	4	4	D
03/10	Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B	1-1	1-2	7	4	L
27/09	Envigado FC Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-3	5	4	L
22/09	Tigres FC Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-3	4	4	L
15/09	Orsomarso Colombia Primera B	1-0	2-0	2	5	W
09/09	Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
04/09	Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B	2-0	3-0	2	9	W
29/08	Bogota FC Colombia Primera B	1-0	2-1	0	3	W
25/08	Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B	0-1	0-2	2	5	L

Deportes Quindio

WWDDLLWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B	0-0	1-1	3	8	D
12/10	Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B	1-1	1-4	4	4	L
06/10	Orsomarso Colombia Primera B	1-0	1-0	1	6	W
29/09	Bogota FC Colombia Primera B	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
22/09	Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B	0-2	1-3	7	7	L
14/09	Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B	0-1	1-2	11	9	L
09/09	Independiente Yumbo Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
06/09	Real San Andres Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
29/08	Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B	0-0	2-0	2	7	W
24/08	Envigado FC Colombia Primera B	0-0	1-0	1	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atletico Cali FC vs Deportes Quindio?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Deportes Quindio win (48%). Probabilities: Atletico Cali FC 24%, draw 29%, Deportes Quindio 48%.

How many goals are expected in Atletico Cali FC vs Deportes Quindio?

The model expects 2.32 goals (Atletico Cali FC 0.92 · Deportes Quindio 1.41), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Atletico Cali FC vs Deportes Quindio?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.