Football · Colombia Primera B · 29/10, 22:00

Prediction: Boca Juniors De Cali vs Union Magdalena

Team pages: Boca Juniors De Cali · Union Magdalena

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.53Total

Boca Juniors De Cali1.27

Union Magdalena1.27

1X2

36% 29% 36%

Boca Juniors De Cali Draw Union Magdalena

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Boca Juniors De Cali 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWWWWDLLLW

Union Magdalena 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LLWDWDDDWW

Head-to-head

Boca Juniors De Cali 1–2–3 Union Magdalena (6 last)

Boca Juniors De Cali1-1Union Magdalena
Union Magdalena0-2Boca Juniors De Cali
Union Magdalena1-0Boca Juniors De Cali
Boca Juniors De Cali0-0Union Magdalena
Union Magdalena3-0Boca Juniors De Cali
Boca Juniors De Cali0-1Union Magdalena

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Boca Juniors De Cali 1523 · Union Magdalena 1519

	Boca Juniors De Cali	Draw	Union Magdalena
Our model	35%	29%	35%
Market	36%	28%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.53 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Union Magdalena: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Boca Juniors De Cali	Union Magdalena
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.3	1.4 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.4	0.9 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.9	2.5 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.2	4.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.25

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.82

Under 2.251.98

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Pinn 3.31 ★
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.2% Pinnacle margin 7.1%

Time*	1	X	2
15:24 +7’	2.55	3.25	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:41 +13’	3.54	3.15	2.12
17:52 +18’	3.31▼	3.12▼	2.23▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Boca Juniors De Cali 1–2–3 Union Magdalena

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
08/10/26 Colombia Primera B	Boca Juniors De Cali	1-1 HT 1-1	Union Magdalena
09/02/26 Colombia Primera B	Union Magdalena	0-2 HT 0-2	Boca Juniors De Cali
23/10/24 Colombia Primera B	Union Magdalena	1-0 HT 0-0	Boca Juniors De Cali
12/05/24 Colombia Primera B	Boca Juniors De Cali	0-0 HT 0-0	Union Magdalena
22/02/23 Colombia Cup	Union Magdalena	3-0 HT 1-0	Boca Juniors De Cali
16/02/23 Colombia Cup	Boca Juniors De Cali	0-1 HT 0-0	Union Magdalena

Standings · Colombia Primera B · Group A

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Boca Juniors De Cali	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Envigado FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Independiente Valle del Cauca	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Union Magdalena	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Boca Juniors De Cali	Union Magdalena
Internacional FC de Palmira	2-1 W	1-0 W
Independiente Valle del Cauca	0-3 L	1-1 D
Atletico Cali FC	0-1 L	1-0 W
Real Cartagena	3-2 W	1-1 D
Patriotas FC	4-1 W	2-1 W
Itagui Leones	2-1 W	2-2 D
Real San Andres	2-0 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 2 L	4 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Boca Juniors De Cali (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Boca Juniors De Cali

DWWWWDLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B	0-0	2-1	5	2	W
20/10	Independiente Valle del Cauca Colombia Primera B	0-1	0-3	3	4	L
17/10	Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-1	5	1	L
12/10	Orsomarso Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
08/10	Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B	1-1	1-1	5	8	D
04/10	Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B	2-0	3-2	1	5	W
27/09	Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B	3-0	4-1	1	7	W
19/09	Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B	1-0	2-1	5	3	W
13/09	Real San Andres Colombia Primera B	1-0	2-0	6	8	W
06/09	Envigado FC Colombia Primera B	1-2	2-2	4	4	D

Union Magdalena

LLWDWDDDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B	1-0	1-0	7	4	W
19/10	Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B	0-0	1-0	4	7	W
16/10	Independiente Valle del Cauca Colombia Primera B	0-1	1-1	3	1	D
12/10	Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B	2-0	2-2	4	1	D
08/10	Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Primera B	1-1	1-1	3	8	D
03/10	Real San Andres Colombia Primera B	2-1	3-1	3	5	W
30/09	Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B	1-1	1-1	5	3	D
19/09	Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B	1-1	2-1	4	9	W
13/09	Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B	1-1	1-2	5	2	L
06/09	Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B	0-1	1-2	10	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Boca Juniors De Cali vs Union Magdalena?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Boca Juniors De Cali win (36%). Probabilities: Boca Juniors De Cali 36%, draw 29%, Union Magdalena 36%.

How many goals are expected in Boca Juniors De Cali vs Union Magdalena?

The model expects 2.53 goals (Boca Juniors De Cali 1.27 · Union Magdalena 1.27), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Boca Juniors De Cali vs Union Magdalena?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.