Football · Colombia Primera B · 24/10, 22:30

Prediction: Deportes Quindio vs Tigres FC

Team pages: Deportes Quindio · Tigres FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.78Total

Deportes Quindio1.14

Tigres FC0.64

1X2

48% 31% 21%

Deportes Quindio Draw Tigres FC

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 54% Not both to score 55%

Most likely score

0-0 18%

Recent form · 10 last

Deportes Quindio 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WDDLLWWLDW

Tigres FC 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

WLWDWDWDDD

Head-to-head

Deportes Quindio 5–1 Tigres FC (6 last)

Tigres FC0-1Deportes Quindio
Deportes Quindio1-0Tigres FC
Tigres FC0-1Deportes Quindio
Deportes Quindio2-1Tigres FC
Tigres FC2-0Deportes Quindio
Deportes Quindio3-1Tigres FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportes Quindio 1536 · Tigres FC 1523

	Deportes Quindio	Draw	Tigres FC
Our model	46%	34%	19%
Market	49%	28%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 1.78 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Deportes Quindio: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportes Quindio	Tigres FC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1	1.3 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.4	0.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/70/20%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5	1.9 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.7 / 0.2	4.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.20

24.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 21.85

Under 21.95

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 1.85

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 07:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.57▼	Bet365 1.57
X	3.20 → 3.80▲	Bet365 3.80
2	4.10 → 6.00▲	Bet365 6.00

See the full journey (5)

Bet365 margin 6.6% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
19:09 +23’	1.85	3.20	4.10
15:21 +6’	1.70▼	3.25▲	4.75▲
00:02 +9’	1.53▼	3.50▲	5.75▲
03:15 +6’	1.57▲	3.75▲	6.00▲
07:11 +4’	1.57	3.80▲	6.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:24 +50’	1.81	3.24	4.63
10:28 +50’	1.80▼	3.26▲	4.62▼
12:48 +32’	1.76▼	3.28▲	4.84▲
16:49 +33’	1.77▲	3.29▲	4.77▼
23:16 +3’	1.58▼	3.61▲	5.92▲
07:01 +14’	1.52▼	3.56▼	5.92

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportes Quindio 5–0–1 Tigres FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Colombia Primera B	Tigres FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Deportes Quindio
05/05/26 Colombia Primera B	Deportes Quindio	1-0 HT 1-0	Tigres FC
18/04/26 Colombia Primera B	Tigres FC	0-1 HT 0-1	Deportes Quindio
17/10/25 Colombia Primera B	Deportes Quindio	2-1 HT 1-1	Tigres FC
03/05/25 Colombia Primera B	Tigres FC	2-0 HT 2-0	Deportes Quindio
27/07/24 Colombia Primera B	Deportes Quindio	3-1 HT 1-1	Tigres FC

Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Independiente Valle del Cauca	14	8	4	2	20	8	28
2	Real Soacha Cundinamarca	14	7	4	3	19	11	25
3	Tigres FC	14	6	6	2	16	7	24
4	Real Cartagena	14	5	5	4	25	17	20
5	Deportes Quindio	14	5	5	4	12	13	20
6	Real San Andres	14	4	7	3	16	19	19
7	Boca Juniors De Cali	14	5	3	6	18	19	18
8	Patriotas FC	14	5	3	6	17	21	18
9	Atletico Cali FC	14	5	3	6	16	20	18
10	Envigado FC	14	3	8	3	15	13	17
11	Union Magdalena	14	4	5	5	14	15	17
12	Bogota FC	14	4	5	5	10	13	17
13	Internacional FC de Palmira	14	4	4	6	10	15	16
14	Orsomarso	14	3	5	6	9	13	14
15	Itagui Leones	14	3	5	6	11	20	14
16	Barranquilla FC	14	3	4	7	17	21	13

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportes Quindio	Tigres FC
Atletico Cali FC	1-0 W	3-0 W
Real Cartagena	1-1 D	3-0 W
Barranquilla FC	1-4 L	2-2 D
Orsomarso	1-0 W	2-0 W
Bogota FC	1-0 W	0-0 D
Real Soacha Cundinamarca	1-3 L	0-0 D
Patriotas FC	1-2 L	0-1 L
Real San Andres	0-0 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	3 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Tigres FC (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportes Quindio

WDDLLWWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/10	Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B	0-0	1-0	9	6	W
16/10	Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B	0-0	1-1	3	8	D
12/10	Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B	1-1	1-4	4	4	L
06/10	Orsomarso Colombia Primera B	1-0	1-0	1	6	W
29/09	Bogota FC Colombia Primera B	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
22/09	Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B	0-2	1-3	7	7	L
14/09	Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B	0-1	1-2	11	9	L
09/09	Independiente Yumbo Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
06/09	Real San Andres Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
29/08	Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B	0-0	2-0	2	7	W

Tigres FC

WLWDWDWDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/10	Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-0	7	5	D
15/10	Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B	0-2	2-2	7	6	D
08/10	Independiente Valle del Cauca Colombia Primera B	0-0	1-1	2	4	D
04/10	Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B	1-0	1-0	4	2	W
26/09	Real San Andres Colombia Primera B	0-0	1-1	15	4	D
22/09	Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B	0-0	3-0	9	4	W
14/09	Bogota FC Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
11/09	Orsomarso Colombia Primera B	1-0	2-0	3	6	W
07/09	Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B	0-1	0-1	1	6	L
30/08	Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B	1-0	3-0	0	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportes Quindio vs Tigres FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportes Quindio win (48%). Probabilities: Deportes Quindio 48%, draw 31%, Tigres FC 21%.

How many goals are expected in Deportes Quindio vs Tigres FC?

The model expects 1.78 goals (Deportes Quindio 1.14 · Tigres FC 0.64), with a 55% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportes Quindio vs Tigres FC?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.