Football · Colombia Primera B · 24/10, 22:30
Prediction: Union Magdalena vs Atletico Cali FC
Team pages: Union Magdalena · Atletico Cali FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.83Total
Union Magdalena2.16
Atletico Cali FC0.67
1X2
Union Magdalena
Draw
Atletico Cali FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Union Magdalena
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Atletico Cali FC
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Union Magdalena
4–2–0
Atletico Cali FC
(6 last)
- Atletico Cali FC1-3Union Magdalena
- Union Magdalena0-0Atletico Cali FC
- Atletico Cali FC0-2Union Magdalena
- Union Magdalena2-0Atletico Cali FC
- Union Magdalena3-3Atletico Cali FC
- Union Magdalena5-1Atletico Cali FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Union Magdalena 1533 · Atletico Cali FC 1491
| Union Magdalena | Draw | Atletico Cali FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 20% | 9% |
| Market | 72% | 18% | 10% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.83 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Union Magdalena (rating 1533 vs 1491).
- H2H favours Union Magdalena: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Union Magdalena | Atletico Cali FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.1 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.7 | 0.9 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.3 | 4.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Union Magdalena 4–2–0 Atletico Cali FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Colombia Primera B | Atletico Cali FC | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Union Magdalena |
| 05/06/25 Colombia Cup | Union Magdalena | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Atletico Cali FC |
| 17/09/24 Colombia Primera B | Atletico Cali FC | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Union Magdalena |
| 13/04/24 Colombia Primera B | Union Magdalena | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Atletico Cali FC |
| 09/10/21 Colombia Primera B | Union Magdalena | 3-3 HT 2-0 | Atletico Cali FC |
| 07/05/21 Colombia Primera B | Union Magdalena | 5-1 HT 2-1 | Atletico Cali FC |
Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Valle del Cauca | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 8 | 28 |
| 2 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 25 |
| 3 | Tigres FC | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 7 | 24 |
| 4 | Real Cartagena | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 17 | 20 |
| 5 | Deportes Quindio | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 20 |
| 6 | Real San Andres | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 16 | 19 | 19 |
| 7 | Boca Juniors De Cali | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 19 | 18 |
| 8 | Patriotas FC | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 21 | 18 |
| 9 | Atletico Cali FC | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 20 | 18 |
| 10 | Envigado FC | 14 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 17 |
| 11 | Union Magdalena | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 17 |
| 12 | Bogota FC | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 17 |
| 13 | Internacional FC de Palmira | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 16 |
| 14 | Orsomarso | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 14 |
| 15 | Itagui Leones | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 14 |
| 16 | Barranquilla FC | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 21 | 13 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Union Magdalena | Atletico Cali FC |
|---|---|---|
| Internacional FC de Palmira | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Itagui Leones | 2-2 D | 3-0 W |
| Boca Juniors De Cali | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Real Cartagena | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Real Soacha Cundinamarca | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Envigado FC | 1-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Atletico Cali FC (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Union Magdalena
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 16/10 | Independiente Valle del Cauca Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 12/10 | Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 08/10 | Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 03/10 | Real San Andres Colombia Primera B |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 30/09 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 19/09 | Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 13/09 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 06/09 | Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 01/09 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
Atletico Cali FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 17/10 | Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 08/10 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 03/10 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 27/09 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 22/09 | Tigres FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 15/09 | Orsomarso Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 09/09 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 04/09 | Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 29/08 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Union Magdalena vs Atletico Cali FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Union Magdalena win (71%). Probabilities: Union Magdalena 71%, draw 19%, Atletico Cali FC 10%.
How many goals are expected in Union Magdalena vs Atletico Cali FC?
The model expects 2.83 goals (Union Magdalena 2.16 · Atletico Cali FC 0.67), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Union Magdalena vs Atletico Cali FC?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.