Football · Colombia Primera B · 29/10, 22:00

Prediction: Tigres FC vs Real Cartagena

Team pages: Tigres FC · Real Cartagena

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.13Total
Tigres FC1.03
Real Cartagena1.11
1X2
33% 30% 37%
Tigres FC Draw Real Cartagena
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Tigres FC 3-5-2 (W-D-L)
LWDWDWDDDL
Real Cartagena 2-5-3 (W-D-L)
LWLDDLDDWD
Head-to-head
Tigres FC 1–3–2 Real Cartagena (6 last)
  • Real Cartagena0-3Tigres FC
  • Tigres FC0-0Real Cartagena
  • Real Cartagena4-0Tigres FC
  • Tigres FC1-1Real Cartagena
  • Real Cartagena3-0Tigres FC
  • Tigres FC0-0Real Cartagena
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tigres FC 1530 · Real Cartagena 1491
Tigres FCDrawReal Cartagena
Our model32%32%36%
Market34%28%38%
Estimated total (ours) 2.13 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Real Cartagena: 2-3-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Tigres FCReal Cartagena
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 0.71.2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.40.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 5.12 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 0.24.8 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tigres FC 1–3–2 Real Cartagena

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DateHomeScoreAway
30/08/26
Colombia Primera B
Real Cartagena0-3
HT 0-1
Tigres FC
03/03/26
Colombia Primera B
Tigres FC0-0
HT 0-0
Real Cartagena
23/08/25
Colombia Primera B
Real Cartagena4-0
HT 3-0
Tigres FC
11/06/25
Colombia Primera B
Tigres FC1-1
HT 1-1
Real Cartagena
30/05/25
Colombia Primera B
Real Cartagena3-0
HT 2-0
Tigres FC
18/03/25
Colombia Primera B
Tigres FC0-0
HT 0-0
Real Cartagena

Standings · Colombia Primera B · Group B

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Deportes Quindio 000 000
1 Real Cartagena 000 000
1 Real Soacha Cundinamarca 000 000
1 Tigres FC 000 000

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentTigres FCReal Cartagena
Deportes Quindio 0-2 L 1-1 D
Barranquilla FC 2-2 D 1-1 D
Internacional FC de Palmira 1-0 W 1-2 L
Atletico Cali FC 3-0 W 2-2 D
Orsomarso 2-0 W 1-0 W
Patriotas FC 0-1 L 3-0 W
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 2 L 2 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Tigres FC (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tigres FC

LWDWDWDDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/10 Deportes Quindio
Colombia Primera B
0-1 0-2 00 L
20/10 Real Soacha Cundinamarca
Colombia Primera B
0-0 0-0 75 D
15/10 Barranquilla FC
Colombia Primera B
0-2 2-2 76 D
08/10 Independiente Valle del Cauca
Colombia Primera B
0-0 1-1 24 D
04/10 Internacional FC de Palmira
Colombia Primera B
1-0 1-0 42 W
26/09 Real San Andres
Colombia Primera B
0-0 1-1 154 D
22/09 Atletico Cali FC
Colombia Primera B
0-0 3-0 94 W
14/09 Bogota FC
Colombia Primera B
0-0 0-0 32 D
11/09 Orsomarso
Colombia Primera B
1-0 2-0 36 W
07/09 Patriotas FC
Colombia Primera B
0-1 0-1 16 L

Real Cartagena

LWLDDLDDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/10 Barranquilla FC
Colombia Primera B
0-0 1-1 60 D
20/10 Patriotas FC
Colombia Primera B
1-0 3-0 74 W
16/10 Deportes Quindio
Colombia Primera B
0-0 1-1 28 D
08/10 Atletico Cali FC
Colombia Primera B
2-1 2-2 44 D
04/10 Boca Juniors De Cali
Colombia Primera B
0-2 2-3 105 L
30/09 Union Magdalena
Colombia Primera B
1-1 1-1 13 D
22/09 Envigado FC
Colombia Primera B
0-0 0-0 29 D
13/09 Internacional FC de Palmira
Colombia Primera B
0-1 1-2 25 L
05/09 Orsomarso
Colombia Primera B
1-0 1-0 39 W
30/08 Tigres FC
Colombia Primera B
0-1 0-3 94 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tigres FC vs Real Cartagena?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Real Cartagena win (37%). Probabilities: Tigres FC 33%, draw 30%, Real Cartagena 37%.

How many goals are expected in Tigres FC vs Real Cartagena?

The model expects 2.13 goals (Tigres FC 1.03 · Real Cartagena 1.11), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Tigres FC vs Real Cartagena?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.