Football · Colombia Primera B · 29/10, 02:05

Prediction: Deportes Quindio vs Real Soacha Cundinamarca

Team pages: Deportes Quindio · Real Soacha Cundinamarca

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.94Total

Deportes Quindio1.28

Real Soacha Cundinamarca0.67

1X2

51% 30% 19%

Deportes Quindio Draw Real Soacha Cundinamarca

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 59% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

1-0 17%

Recent form · 10 last

Deportes Quindio 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DDLLWWLDWW

Real Soacha Cundinamarca 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWLDDW

Head-to-head

Deportes Quindio 1–2–3 Real Soacha Cundinamarca (6 last)

Real Soacha Cundinamarca3-1Deportes Quindio
Deportes Quindio0-0Real Soacha Cundinamarca
Real Soacha Cundinamarca3-1Deportes Quindio
Deportes Quindio0-0Real Soacha Cundinamarca
Real Soacha Cundinamarca2-1Deportes Quindio
Deportes Quindio3-2Real Soacha Cundinamarca

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportes Quindio 1513 · Real Soacha Cundinamarca 1553

	Deportes Quindio	Draw	Real Soacha Cundinamarca
Our model	50%	32%	18%
Market	52%	28%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 1.94 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Real Soacha Cundinamarca (rating 1513 vs 1553).
H2H favours Real Soacha Cundinamarca: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportes Quindio	Real Soacha Cundinamarca
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1	1.5 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.4	0.8 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.1	2.1 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.2	5.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.75

X3.30

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)2.02

2 (+0.75)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.02

Under 2.251.77

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 1.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Pinn 1.77
X	3.30 → 3.30	Pinn 3.35
2	4.50 → 4.50	Pinn 4.65 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.7% Pinnacle margin 7.9%

Time*	1	X	2
16:43 +9’	1.75	3.30	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
02:47 +20’	1.77	3.35	4.65

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportes Quindio 1–2–3 Real Soacha Cundinamarca

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/09/26 Colombia Primera B	Real Soacha Cundinamarca	3-1 HT 2-0	Deportes Quindio
17/03/26 Colombia Primera B	Deportes Quindio	0-0 HT 0-0	Real Soacha Cundinamarca
19/09/25 Colombia Primera B	Real Soacha Cundinamarca	3-1 HT 3-0	Deportes Quindio
12/04/25 Colombia Primera B	Deportes Quindio	0-0 HT 0-0	Real Soacha Cundinamarca
06/08/24 Colombia Primera B	Real Soacha Cundinamarca	2-1 HT 1-1	Deportes Quindio
17/02/24 Colombia Primera B	Deportes Quindio	3-2 HT 1-1	Real Soacha Cundinamarca

Standings · Colombia Primera B · Group B

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Deportes Quindio	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Real Cartagena	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Real Soacha Cundinamarca	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Tigres FC	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportes Quindio	Real Soacha Cundinamarca
Tigres FC	2-0 W	0-0 D
Atletico Cali FC	1-0 W	2-1 W
Barranquilla FC	1-4 L	1-0 W
Bogota FC	1-0 W	0-0 D
Patriotas FC	1-2 L	4-1 W
Real San Andres	0-0 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Deportes Quindio (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportes Quindio

DDLLWWLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Tigres FC Colombia Primera B	1-0	2-0	3	0	W
20/10	Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B	0-0	1-0	9	6	W
16/10	Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B	0-0	1-1	3	8	D
12/10	Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B	1-1	1-4	4	4	L
06/10	Orsomarso Colombia Primera B	1-0	1-0	1	6	W
29/09	Bogota FC Colombia Primera B	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
22/09	Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B	0-2	1-3	7	7	L
14/09	Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B	0-1	1-2	11	9	L
09/09	Independiente Yumbo Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
06/09	Real San Andres Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-0	6	3	D

Real Soacha Cundinamarca

WWWWWWLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Independiente Valle del Cauca Colombia Primera B	1-0	1-0	6	7	W
20/10	Tigres FC Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
15/10	Bogota FC Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
09/10	Real San Andres Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-1	6	10	L
03/10	Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B	1-1	2-1	11	4	W
28/09	Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B	1-0	1-0	3	6	W
22/09	Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B	2-0	3-1	2	7	W
13/09	Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B	1-1	2-1	4	2	W
04/09	Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B	1-0	2-0	0	5	W
29/08	Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B	1-1	4-1	7	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportes Quindio vs Real Soacha Cundinamarca?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportes Quindio win (51%). Probabilities: Deportes Quindio 51%, draw 30%, Real Soacha Cundinamarca 19%.

How many goals are expected in Deportes Quindio vs Real Soacha Cundinamarca?

The model expects 1.94 goals (Deportes Quindio 1.28 · Real Soacha Cundinamarca 0.67), with a 58% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportes Quindio vs Real Soacha Cundinamarca?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.