Football · Colombia Primera B · 20/10, 21:15

Prediction: Tigres FC vs Real Soacha Cundinamarca

Team pages: Tigres FC · Real Soacha Cundinamarca

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.09Total

Tigres FC1.16

Real Soacha Cundinamarca0.93

1X2

41% 31% 29%

Tigres FC Draw Real Soacha Cundinamarca

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Tigres FC 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WWLWDWDWDD

Real Soacha Cundinamarca 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DLWWWWWWLD

Head-to-head

Tigres FC 2–1–3 Real Soacha Cundinamarca (6 last)

Real Soacha Cundinamarca0-2Tigres FC
Tigres FC0-2Real Soacha Cundinamarca
Real Soacha Cundinamarca1-1Tigres FC
Real Soacha Cundinamarca1-0Tigres FC
Tigres FC1-0Real Soacha Cundinamarca
Real Soacha Cundinamarca2-0Tigres FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tigres FC 1572 · Real Soacha Cundinamarca 1523

	Tigres FC	Draw	Real Soacha Cundinamarca
Our model	40%	32%	28%
Market	41%	29%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.09 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tigres FC (rating 1572 vs 1523).
H2H favours Real Soacha Cundinamarca: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tigres FC	Real Soacha Cundinamarca
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 0.5	1.5 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.3	0.8 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.8	2.1 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.2	5.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.10

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 21.80

Under 22.00

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.1

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 19:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.20▲	Pinn 2.29
X	3.00 → 3.10▲	Bet365 3.10
2	3.25 → 3.10▼	Pinn 3.24 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10% Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
18:01 +3’	2.15	3.00	3.25
18:56 +10’	2.20▲	3.10▲	3.10▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:25 +41’	2.29	3.01	3.24

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tigres FC 2–1–3 Real Soacha Cundinamarca

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Colombia Primera B	Real Soacha Cundinamarca	0-2 HT 0-2	Tigres FC
13/09/25 Colombia Primera B	Tigres FC	0-2 HT 0-1	Real Soacha Cundinamarca
09/04/25 Colombia Primera B	Real Soacha Cundinamarca	1-1 HT 0-1	Tigres FC
22/08/24 Colombia Primera B	Real Soacha Cundinamarca	1-0 HT 1-0	Tigres FC
02/03/24 Colombia Primera B	Tigres FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Real Soacha Cundinamarca
24/08/23 Colombia Primera B	Real Soacha Cundinamarca	2-0 HT 1-0	Tigres FC

Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Independiente Valle del Cauca	13	7	4	2	17	8	25
2	Real Soacha Cundinamarca	13	7	3	3	19	11	24
3	Tigres FC	13	6	5	2	16	7	23
4	Boca Juniors De Cali	13	5	3	5	18	16	18
5	Patriotas FC	13	5	3	5	17	18	18
6	Atletico Cali FC	13	5	3	5	16	19	18
7	Real Cartagena	13	4	5	4	22	17	17
8	Envigado FC	14	3	8	3	15	13	17
9	Deportes Quindio	13	4	5	4	11	13	17
10	Real San Andres	13	3	7	3	15	19	16
11	Internacional FC de Palmira	13	4	4	5	10	14	16
12	Union Magdalena	13	3	5	5	13	15	14
13	Orsomarso	13	3	5	5	9	12	14
14	Bogota FC	13	3	5	5	9	13	14
15	Itagui Leones	13	3	5	5	11	19	14
16	Barranquilla FC	14	3	4	7	17	21	13

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tigres FC	Real Soacha Cundinamarca
Barranquilla FC	2-2 D	1-0 W
Internacional FC de Palmira	1-0 W	2-0 W
Real San Andres	1-1 D	0-1 L
Atletico Cali FC	3-0 W	2-1 W
Bogota FC	0-0 D	0-0 D
Orsomarso	2-0 W	0-2 L
Patriotas FC	0-1 L	4-1 W
Union Magdalena	1-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 3 D 1 L	5 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tigres FC

WWLWDWDWDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/10	Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B	0-2	2-2	7	6	D
08/10	Independiente Valle del Cauca Colombia Primera B	0-0	1-1	2	4	D
04/10	Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B	1-0	1-0	4	2	W
26/09	Real San Andres Colombia Primera B	0-0	1-1	15	4	D
22/09	Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B	0-0	3-0	9	4	W
14/09	Bogota FC Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
11/09	Orsomarso Colombia Primera B	1-0	2-0	3	6	W
07/09	Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B	0-1	0-1	1	6	L
30/08	Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B	1-0	3-0	0	4	W
24/08	Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B	1-0	1-0	4	4	W

Real Soacha Cundinamarca

DLWWWWWWLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/10	Bogota FC Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
09/10	Real San Andres Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-1	6	10	L
03/10	Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B	1-1	2-1	11	4	W
28/09	Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B	1-0	1-0	3	6	W
22/09	Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B	2-0	3-1	2	7	W
13/09	Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B	1-1	2-1	4	2	W
04/09	Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B	1-0	2-0	0	5	W
29/08	Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B	1-1	4-1	7	5	W
25/08	Orsomarso Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-2	6	6	L
21/08	Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B	1-0	1-1	3	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tigres FC vs Real Soacha Cundinamarca?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tigres FC win (41%). Probabilities: Tigres FC 41%, draw 31%, Real Soacha Cundinamarca 29%.

How many goals are expected in Tigres FC vs Real Soacha Cundinamarca?

The model expects 2.09 goals (Tigres FC 1.16 · Real Soacha Cundinamarca 0.93), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Tigres FC vs Real Soacha Cundinamarca?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.