Football · China Division 1 · 27/09, 20:00

Prediction: Shaanxi Union vs Dalian K'un City

Team pages: Shaanxi Union · Dalian K'un City

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.78Total

Shaanxi Union1.62

Dalian K'un City1.16

1X2

47% 27% 26%

Shaanxi Union Draw Dalian K'un City

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Shaanxi Union 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWDLWLWWLD

Dalian K'un City 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LDDLLWWDDW

Head-to-head

Shaanxi Union 2–2–1 Dalian K'un City (5 last)

Dalian K'un City2-2Shaanxi Union
Dalian K'un City3-0Shaanxi Union
Shaanxi Union2-1Dalian K'un City
Dalian K'un City1-1Shaanxi Union
Shaanxi Union2-1Dalian K'un City

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Shaanxi Union 1484 · Dalian K'un City 1513

	Shaanxi Union	Draw	Dalian K'un City
Our model	47%	27%	26%
Market	47%	26%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.78 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Shaanxi Union: 2-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Shaanxi Union	Dalian K'un City
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.7	1.1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.8	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.5	3.3 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.2	3.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.40

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.00

Under 2.751.80

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Pinn 1.95
X	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.42
2	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.64 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 7.9%

Time*	1	X	2
13:25 +3’	1.91	3.40	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:47 +36’	1.96	3.39	3.65
03:21 +7’	1.97▲	3.38▼	3.64▼
07:56 +82’	1.95▼	3.42▲	3.64

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Shaanxi Union 2–2–1 Dalian K'un City

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
01/08/26 China Division 1	Dalian K'un City	2-2 HT 2-1	Shaanxi Union
01/11/25 China Division 1	Dalian K'un City	3-0 HT 1-0	Shaanxi Union
28/06/25 China Division 1	Shaanxi Union	2-1 HT 1-1	Dalian K'un City
28/07/24 China Division 2	Dalian K'un City	1-1 HT 1-1	Shaanxi Union
25/05/24 China Division 2	Shaanxi Union	2-1 HT 2-0	Dalian K'un City

Standings · China Division 1

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Guangdong GZ-Power	24	16	6	2	48	20	54
2	Guangxi Hengchen	24	13	6	5	40	26	45
3	Shenzhen Juniors	24	12	8	4	39	25	44
4	Nantong Zhiyun	23	10	9	4	31	20	39
5	Yanbian Longding	24	9	8	7	33	27	35
6	Shaanxi Union	23	9	6	8	35	26	33
7	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	24	8	7	9	22	25	31
8	Dalian K'un City	23	7	8	8	30	33	29
9	Wuxi Wugo	23	8	5	10	35	29	29
10	Ningbo Professional FC	23	9	5	9	27	29	29
11	Changchun Yatai	23	10	3	10	37	38	29
12	Suzhou Dongwu	24	7	8	9	28	33	26
13	Dingnan Ganlian FC	24	4	11	9	35	46	23
14	Nanjing City	24	5	6	13	20	33	21
15	Meizhou Hakka	24	7	3	14	25	50	15
16	Foshan Nanshi	24	2	7	15	24	49	13

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Shaanxi Union	Dalian K'un City
Suzhou Dongwu	2-2 D	0-0 D
Ningbo Professional FC	0-1 L	1-0 W
Dingnan Ganlian FC	2-1 W	1-2 L
Yanbian Longding	3-1 W	1-3 L
Nantong Zhiyun	1-4 L	3-2 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Shaanxi Union

LWDLWLWWLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1	2-1	2-2	3	4	D
12/09	Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1	0-0	0-1	1	5	L
05/09	Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1	0-0	2-1	8	1	W
29/08	Yanbian Longding China Division 1	2-1	3-1	4	3	W
22/08	Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1	1-3	1-4	2	5	L
14/08	Changchun Yatai China Division 1	0-0	2-1	5	3	W
08/08	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1	0-1	1-2	2	6	L
01/08	Dalian K'un City China Division 1	1-2	2-2	7	5	D
25/07	Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1	2-0	3-0	10	4	W
18/07	Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1	0-0	0-3	3	3	L

Dalian K'un City

LDDLLWWDDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
12/09	Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1	1-1	1-1	2	2	D
05/09	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	0-0	0-0	8	2	D
30/08	Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1	2-0	3-2	6	5	W
22/08	Wuxi Wugo China Division 1	1-0	2-1	3	4	W
15/08	Yanbian Longding China Division 1	0-1	1-3	10	5	L
08/08	Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1	0-2	1-2	11	1	L
01/08	Shaanxi Union China Division 1	2-1	2-2	3	5	D
26/07	Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1	0-0	0-0	1	5	D
18/07	Meizhou Hakka China Division 1	0-2	0-2	9	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shaanxi Union vs Dalian K'un City?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Shaanxi Union win (47%). Probabilities: Shaanxi Union 47%, draw 27%, Dalian K'un City 26%.

How many goals are expected in Shaanxi Union vs Dalian K'un City?

The model expects 2.78 goals (Shaanxi Union 1.62 · Dalian K'un City 1.16), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Shaanxi Union vs Dalian K'un City?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.