Football · China Division 1 · 06/10, 13:30
Prediction: Nantong Zhiyun vs Ningbo Professional FC
Team pages: Nantong Zhiyun · Ningbo Professional FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.57Total
Nantong Zhiyun1.79
Ningbo Professional FC0.78
1X2
Nantong Zhiyun
Draw
Ningbo Professional FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Nantong Zhiyun
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Ningbo Professional FC
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Nantong Zhiyun
3–1–1
Ningbo Professional FC
(5 last)
- Ningbo Professional FC1-1Nantong Zhiyun
- Ningbo Professional FC0-1Nantong Zhiyun
- Nantong Zhiyun1-0Ningbo Professional FC
- Ningbo Professional FC2-1Nantong Zhiyun
- Nantong Zhiyun4-0Ningbo Professional FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nantong Zhiyun 1542 · Ningbo Professional FC 1448
| Nantong Zhiyun | Draw | Ningbo Professional FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 25% | 15% |
| Market | 61% | 24% | 15% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.57 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nantong Zhiyun (rating 1542 vs 1448).
- H2H favours Nantong Zhiyun: 3-1-1.
- High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nantong Zhiyun | Ningbo Professional FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1 | 0.8 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 0/90/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 7 | 1.4 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0 | 3.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nantong Zhiyun 3–1–1 Ningbo Professional FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/05/26 China Division 1 | Ningbo Professional FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Nantong Zhiyun |
| 13/07/25 China Division 1 | Ningbo Professional FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Nantong Zhiyun |
| 15/03/25 China Division 1 | Nantong Zhiyun | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Ningbo Professional FC |
| 08/12/22 China Division 1 | Ningbo Professional FC | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Nantong Zhiyun |
| 13/11/22 China Division 1 | Nantong Zhiyun | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Ningbo Professional FC |
Standings · China Division 1
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 24 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 48 | 20 | 54 |
| 2 | Guangxi Hengchen | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 26 | 45 |
| 3 | Shenzhen Juniors | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 25 | 44 |
| 4 | Nantong Zhiyun | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 33 | 20 | 42 |
| 5 | Shaanxi Union | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 38 | 26 | 36 |
| 6 | Yanbian Longding | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 33 | 27 | 35 |
| 7 | Wuxi Wugo | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 36 | 29 | 32 |
| 8 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 25 | 31 |
| 9 | Changchun Yatai | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 37 | 40 | 29 |
| 10 | Ningbo Professional FC | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 30 | 29 |
| 11 | Dalian K'un City | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 30 | 36 | 29 |
| 12 | Suzhou Dongwu | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 33 | 26 |
| 13 | Dingnan Ganlian FC | 24 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 35 | 46 | 23 |
| 14 | Nanjing City | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 33 | 21 |
| 15 | Meizhou Hakka | 24 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 25 | 50 | 15 |
| 16 | Foshan Nanshi | 24 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 24 | 49 | 13 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nantong Zhiyun | Ningbo Professional FC |
|---|---|---|
| Changchun Yatai | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Guangxi Hengchen | 0-1 L | 2-4 L |
| Wuxi Wugo | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Guangdong GZ-Power | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Dalian K'un City | 2-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Shaanxi Union | 4-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Dingnan Ganlian FC | 5-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Nantong Zhiyun (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nantong Zhiyun
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Changchun Yatai China Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 18/09 | Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 14 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | Wuxi Wugo China Division 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 30/08 | Dalian K'un City China Division 1 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Shaanxi Union China Division 1 |
3-1 | 4-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 08/08 | Nanjing City China Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 01/08 | Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1 |
3-0 | 5-1 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 25/07 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
Ningbo Professional FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Wuxi Wugo China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 18/09 | Dalian K'un City China Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | Shaanxi Union China Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | Changchun Yatai China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 30/08 | Meizhou Hakka China Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 22/08 | Yanbian Longding China Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 16/08 | Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 01/08 | Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 18/07 | Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nantong Zhiyun vs Ningbo Professional FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Nantong Zhiyun win (61%). Probabilities: Nantong Zhiyun 61%, draw 25%, Ningbo Professional FC 15%.
How many goals are expected in Nantong Zhiyun vs Ningbo Professional FC?
The model expects 2.57 goals (Nantong Zhiyun 1.79 · Ningbo Professional FC 0.78), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Nantong Zhiyun vs Ningbo Professional FC?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.