Football · China Division 1 · 29/09, 13:00

Prediction: Wuxi Wugo vs Ningbo Professional FC

Team pages: Wuxi Wugo · Ningbo Professional FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.67Total

Wuxi Wugo1.66

Ningbo Professional FC1.01

1X2

51% 27% 21%

Wuxi Wugo Draw Ningbo Professional FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Wuxi Wugo 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Ningbo Professional FC 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Wuxi Wugo 1–1–3 Ningbo Professional FC (5 last)

Ningbo Professional FC2-3Wuxi Wugo
Ningbo Professional FC2-0Wuxi Wugo
Wuxi Wugo0-1Ningbo Professional FC
Ningbo Professional FC2-1Wuxi Wugo
Wuxi Wugo0-0Ningbo Professional FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wuxi Wugo 1493 · Ningbo Professional FC 1456

	Wuxi Wugo	Draw	Ningbo Professional FC
Our model	51%	27%	22%
Market	51%	28%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.67 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Ningbo Professional FC: 3-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wuxi Wugo	Ningbo Professional FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.3	0.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	10/80/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.2	1.6 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0.1	3.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.75

X3.20

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 12:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 1.75▼	Bet365 1.75
X	3.10 → 3.20▲	Pinn 3.50
2	3.30 → 4.20▲	Pinn 5.17 ★

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 12.2% Pinnacle margin 6.4%

Time*	1	X	2
16:33 +32’	2.00	3.10	3.30
18:54 +12’	2.10▲	3.10	3.20▼
11:00 +5’	1.80▼	3.20▲	3.90▲
11:58 +7’	1.75▼	3.20	4.20▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:56 +7’	2.09	3.29	3.38
15:32 +34’	2.08▼	3.31▲	3.38
16:48 +16’	2.10▲	3.27▼	3.39▲
22:08 +56’	2.12▲	3.20▼	3.41▲
09:59 +3’	2.04▼	3.29▲	3.52▲
11:02 +3’	1.88▼	3.52▲	4.04▲
11:58 +6’	1.71▼	3.50▼	5.17▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Wuxi Wugo 1–1–3 Ningbo Professional FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/04/26 China Division 1	Ningbo Professional FC	2-3 HT 0-1	Wuxi Wugo
29/09/24 China Division 1	Ningbo Professional FC	2-0 HT 1-0	Wuxi Wugo
12/05/24 China Division 1	Wuxi Wugo	0-1 HT 0-0	Ningbo Professional FC
05/08/23 China Division 1	Ningbo Professional FC	2-1 HT 1-1	Wuxi Wugo
30/04/23 China Division 1	Wuxi Wugo	0-0 HT 0-0	Ningbo Professional FC

Standings · China Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Guangdong GZ-Power	24	16	6	2	48	20	54
2	Guangxi Hengchen	24	13	6	5	40	26	45
3	Shenzhen Juniors	24	12	8	4	39	25	44
4	Nantong Zhiyun	24	11	9	4	33	20	42
5	Shaanxi Union	24	10	6	8	38	26	36
6	Yanbian Longding	24	9	8	7	33	27	35
7	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	24	8	7	9	22	25	31
8	Dalian K'un City	24	7	8	9	30	36	29
9	Wuxi Wugo	23	8	5	10	35	29	29
10	Ningbo Professional FC	23	9	5	9	27	29	29
11	Changchun Yatai	24	10	3	11	37	40	29
12	Suzhou Dongwu	24	7	8	9	28	33	26
13	Dingnan Ganlian FC	24	4	11	9	35	46	23
14	Nanjing City	24	5	6	13	20	33	21
15	Meizhou Hakka	24	7	3	14	25	50	15
16	Foshan Nanshi	24	2	7	15	24	49	13

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wuxi Wugo	Ningbo Professional FC
Guangxi Hengchen	0-1 L	2-4 L
Yanbian Longding	2-0 W	2-3 L
Dalian K'un City	1-2 L	0-1 L
Guangdong GZ-Power	0-3 L	1-2 L
Shenzhen Juniors	0-1 L	0-0 D
Foshan Nanshi	2-0 W	1-0 W
Changchun Yatai	5-1 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 4 L	1 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Wuxi Wugo (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wuxi Wugo

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/09	Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1	0-0	0-1	5	0	L
19/09	Nanjing City China Division 1	1-0	3-0	6	2	W
13/09	Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1	0-1	1-3	1	3	L
05/09	Yanbian Longding China Division 1	0-0	2-0	3	3	W
29/08	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1	0-2	0-2	4	3	L
22/08	Dalian K'un City China Division 1	0-1	1-2	3	4	L
15/08	Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1	0-3	0-3	3	1	L
02/08	Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
25/07	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	0-0	2-0	3	4	W
17/07	Changchun Yatai China Division 1	2-0	5-1	2	1	W

Ningbo Professional FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	Dalian K'un City China Division 1	0-1	0-1	7	5	L
12/09	Shaanxi Union China Division 1	0-0	1-0	0	5	W
05/09	Changchun Yatai China Division 1	0-0	0-2	2	2	L
30/08	Meizhou Hakka China Division 1	1-1	1-1	6	5	D
22/08	Yanbian Longding China Division 1	1-1	2-3	7	5	L
16/08	Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
01/08	Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1	1-1	2-4	7	4	L
25/07	Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1	0-0	1-2	8	2	L
18/07	Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1	0-0	1-0	8	2	W
13/07	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	1-0	1-0	4	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wuxi Wugo vs Ningbo Professional FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Wuxi Wugo win (51%). Probabilities: Wuxi Wugo 51%, draw 27%, Ningbo Professional FC 21%.

How many goals are expected in Wuxi Wugo vs Ningbo Professional FC?

The model expects 2.67 goals (Wuxi Wugo 1.66 · Ningbo Professional FC 1.01), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Wuxi Wugo vs Ningbo Professional FC?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.