Football · China Division 1 · 06/10, 13:00

Prediction: Wuxi Wugo vs Suzhou Dongwu

Team pages: Wuxi Wugo · Suzhou Dongwu

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.59Total

Wuxi Wugo1.52

Suzhou Dongwu1.08

1X2

46% 28% 26%

Wuxi Wugo Draw Suzhou Dongwu

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Wuxi Wugo 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLLWLWLW

Suzhou Dongwu 5-5-0 (W-D-L)

DDWWDDWWWD

Head-to-head

Wuxi Wugo 2–3 Suzhou Dongwu (5 last)

Suzhou Dongwu1-3Wuxi Wugo
Suzhou Dongwu2-0Wuxi Wugo
Wuxi Wugo0-1Suzhou Dongwu
Wuxi Wugo4-1Suzhou Dongwu
Suzhou Dongwu3-0Wuxi Wugo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wuxi Wugo 1491 · Suzhou Dongwu 1539

	Wuxi Wugo	Draw	Suzhou Dongwu
Our model	46%	28%	26%
Market	47%	27%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.59 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Suzhou Dongwu (rating 1491 vs 1539).
H2H favours Suzhou Dongwu: 3-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wuxi Wugo	Suzhou Dongwu
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.2	1.7 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.7	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 3.4	1.8 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.1	3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.25

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 12:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 1.91▼	Pinn 2.10 ★
X	3.20 → 3.25▲	Bet365 3.25
2	3.10 → 3.40▲	Pinn 3.46

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.6% Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
10:57 +8’	2.05	3.20	3.10
11:54 +12’	1.91▼	3.25▲	3.40▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:01 +2’	2.08	3.22	3.48
13:45 +23’	2.10▲	3.20▼	3.46▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Wuxi Wugo 2–0–3 Suzhou Dongwu

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 China Division 1	Suzhou Dongwu	1-3 HT 1-2	Wuxi Wugo
21/07/24 China Division 1	Suzhou Dongwu	2-0 HT 0-0	Wuxi Wugo
24/03/24 China Division 1	Wuxi Wugo	0-1 HT 0-0	Suzhou Dongwu
13/09/23 China Division 1	Wuxi Wugo	4-1 HT 3-1	Suzhou Dongwu
03/06/23 China Division 1	Suzhou Dongwu	3-0 HT 1-0	Wuxi Wugo

Standings · China Division 1

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Guangdong GZ-Power	24	16	6	2	48	20	54
2	Guangxi Hengchen	24	13	6	5	40	26	45
3	Shenzhen Juniors	24	12	8	4	39	25	44
4	Nantong Zhiyun	24	11	9	4	33	20	42
5	Shaanxi Union	24	10	6	8	38	26	36
6	Yanbian Longding	24	9	8	7	33	27	35
7	Wuxi Wugo	24	9	5	10	36	29	32
8	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	24	8	7	9	22	25	31
9	Changchun Yatai	24	10	3	11	37	40	29
10	Ningbo Professional FC	24	9	5	10	27	30	29
11	Dalian K'un City	24	7	8	9	30	36	29
12	Suzhou Dongwu	24	7	8	9	28	33	26
13	Dingnan Ganlian FC	24	4	11	9	35	46	23
14	Nanjing City	24	5	6	13	20	33	21
15	Meizhou Hakka	24	7	3	14	25	50	15
16	Foshan Nanshi	24	2	7	15	24	49	13

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wuxi Wugo	Suzhou Dongwu
Guangxi Hengchen	0-1 L	3-3 D
Nanjing City	3-0 W	2-0 W
Nantong Zhiyun	1-3 L	0-0 D
Dalian K'un City	1-2 L	0-0 D
Shenzhen Juniors	0-1 L	0-0 D
Foshan Nanshi	2-0 W	3-2 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	2 W 4 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Suzhou Dongwu (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wuxi Wugo

WLLLLWLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/09	Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
25/09	Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1	0-0	0-1	5	0	L
19/09	Nanjing City China Division 1	1-0	3-0	6	2	W
13/09	Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1	0-1	1-3	1	3	L
05/09	Yanbian Longding China Division 1	0-0	2-0	3	3	W
29/08	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1	0-2	0-2	4	3	L
22/08	Dalian K'un City China Division 1	0-1	1-2	3	4	L
15/08	Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1	0-3	0-3	3	1	L
02/08	Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
25/07	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	0-0	2-0	3	4	W

Suzhou Dongwu

DDWWDDWWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Shaanxi Union China Division 1	1-2	2-2	7	4	D
12/09	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	1-0	3-2	1	4	W
06/09	Nanjing City China Division 1	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
29/08	Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1	1-2	4-3	6	1	W
22/08	Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1	0-2	3-3	3	2	D
16/08	Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
08/08	Changchun Yatai China Division 1	0-0	2-1	4	3	W
02/08	Meizhou Hakka China Division 1	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
26/07	Dalian K'un City China Division 1	0-0	0-0	1	5	D
17/07	Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1	0-0	0-0	5	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wuxi Wugo vs Suzhou Dongwu?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Wuxi Wugo win (46%). Probabilities: Wuxi Wugo 46%, draw 28%, Suzhou Dongwu 26%.

How many goals are expected in Wuxi Wugo vs Suzhou Dongwu?

The model expects 2.59 goals (Wuxi Wugo 1.52 · Suzhou Dongwu 1.08), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Wuxi Wugo vs Suzhou Dongwu?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.