Football · China Division 1 · 07/10, 13:00

Prediction: Shenzhen Juniors vs Guangdong GZ-Power

Team pages: Shenzhen Juniors · Guangdong GZ-Power

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.29Total

Shenzhen Juniors1.08

Guangdong GZ-Power1.21

1X2

32% 29% 39%

Shenzhen Juniors Draw Guangdong GZ-Power

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Shenzhen Juniors 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DLWWDWWWDD

Guangdong GZ-Power 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

WWDWWWWDDW

Head-to-head

Shenzhen Juniors 2–1–2 Guangdong GZ-Power (5 last)

Guangdong GZ-Power0-0Shenzhen Juniors
Guangdong GZ-Power1-0Shenzhen Juniors
Shenzhen Juniors2-1Guangdong GZ-Power
Shenzhen Juniors2-1Guangdong GZ-Power
Guangdong GZ-Power1-0Shenzhen Juniors

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Shenzhen Juniors 1549 · Guangdong GZ-Power 1594

	Shenzhen Juniors	Draw	Guangdong GZ-Power
Our model	31%	31%	38%
Market	33%	27%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 2.29 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guangdong GZ-Power (rating 1549 vs 1594).
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Shenzhen Juniors	Guangdong GZ-Power
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 0.7	2.1 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.2	1.1 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	60/40/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.9 / 6.5	2.3 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.4	3.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.30

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.77

2 (-0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.88

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
12:34 +32’	2.70	3.30	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Shenzhen Juniors 2–1–2 Guangdong GZ-Power

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/05/26 China Division 1	Guangdong GZ-Power	0-0 HT 0-0	Shenzhen Juniors
05/10/25 China Division 1	Guangdong GZ-Power	1-0 HT 1-0	Shenzhen Juniors
26/05/25 China Division 1	Shenzhen Juniors	2-1 HT 2-0	Guangdong GZ-Power
23/06/24 China Division 2	Shenzhen Juniors	2-1 HT 1-0	Guangdong GZ-Power
10/04/24 China Division 2	Guangdong GZ-Power	1-0 HT 1-0	Shenzhen Juniors

Standings · China Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Guangdong GZ-Power	24	16	6	2	48	20	54
2	Guangxi Hengchen	24	13	6	5	40	26	45
3	Shenzhen Juniors	24	12	8	4	39	25	44
4	Nantong Zhiyun	24	11	9	4	33	20	42
5	Shaanxi Union	24	10	6	8	38	26	36
6	Yanbian Longding	24	9	8	7	33	27	35
7	Wuxi Wugo	24	9	5	10	36	29	32
8	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	24	8	7	9	22	25	31
9	Changchun Yatai	24	10	3	11	37	40	29
10	Ningbo Professional FC	24	9	5	10	27	30	29
11	Dalian K'un City	24	7	8	9	30	36	29
12	Suzhou Dongwu	24	7	8	9	28	33	26
13	Dingnan Ganlian FC	24	4	11	9	35	46	23
14	Nanjing City	24	5	6	13	20	33	21
15	Meizhou Hakka	24	7	3	14	25	50	15
16	Foshan Nanshi	24	2	7	15	24	49	13

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Shenzhen Juniors	Guangdong GZ-Power
Changchun Yatai	1-1 D	3-0 W
Meizhou Hakka	5-1 W	5-1 W
Foshan Nanshi	2-1 W	1-1 D
Nanjing City	3-1 W	1-0 W
Ningbo Professional FC	0-0 D	2-1 W
Yanbian Longding	1-0 W	2-1 W
Wuxi Wugo	1-0 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 0 L	6 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Guangdong GZ-Power (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Shenzhen Juniors

DLWWDWWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Changchun Yatai China Division 1	0-0	1-1	11	6	D
13/09	Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China Division 1	0-0	0-0	1	7	D
06/09	Meizhou Hakka China Division 1	0-0	5-1	8	2	W
29/08	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	2-0	2-1	6	4	W
23/08	Nanjing City China Division 1	1-0	3-1	7	8	W
16/08	Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1	0-0	0-0	10	4	D
09/08	Yanbian Longding China Division 1	1-0	1-0	1	5	W
02/08	Wuxi Wugo China Division 1	0-0	1-0	8	3	W
25/07	Shaanxi Union China Division 1	0-2	0-3	6	4	L
17/07	Suzhou Dongwu China Division 1	0-0	0-0	7	4	D

Guangdong GZ-Power

WWDWWWWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	Yanbian Longding China Division 1	1-0	2-1	3	5	W
12/09	Dalian K'un City China Division 1	1-1	1-1	6	2	D
05/09	Nantong Zhiyun China Division 1	0-0	1-1	2	4	D
30/08	Changchun Yatai China Division 1	2-0	3-0	7	6	W
22/08	Meizhou Hakka China Division 1	2-0	5-1	3	2	W
15/08	Wuxi Wugo China Division 1	3-0	3-0	2	1	W
09/08	Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1	0-0	2-0	7	5	W
01/08	Foshan Nanshi China Division 1	1-0	1-1	6	3	D
25/07	Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1	0-0	2-1	6	2	W
18/07	Nanjing City China Division 1	1-0	1-0	1	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shenzhen Juniors vs Guangdong GZ-Power?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Guangdong GZ-Power win (39%). Probabilities: Shenzhen Juniors 32%, draw 29%, Guangdong GZ-Power 39%.

How many goals are expected in Shenzhen Juniors vs Guangdong GZ-Power?

The model expects 2.29 goals (Shenzhen Juniors 1.08 · Guangdong GZ-Power 1.21), with a 58% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Shenzhen Juniors vs Guangdong GZ-Power?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.