Football · Armenia Premier League · 24/10, 17:00

Prediction: Shirak vs Alashkert FC

Team pages: Shirak · Alashkert FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.69Total
Shirak0.83
Alashkert FC1.86
1X2
16% 23% 61%
Shirak Draw Alashkert FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
0-2 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Shirak 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
DLWLWWLLLD
Alashkert FC 5-4-1 (W-D-L)
WWLWDWDDDW
Head-to-head
Shirak 2–2–2 Alashkert FC (6 last)
  • Alashkert FC2-0Shirak
  • Shirak1-2Alashkert FC
  • Alashkert FC1-1Shirak
  • Shirak4-0Alashkert FC
  • Alashkert FC1-3Shirak
  • Shirak0-0Alashkert FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Shirak 1471 · Alashkert FC 1560
ShirakDrawAlashkert FC
Our model15%24%61%
Market16%22%62%
Estimated total (ours) 2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alashkert FC (rating 1471 vs 1560).
  • High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ShirakAlashkert FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.32.4 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.51 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)3.4 / 5.43 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.6 / 0.14.5 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Shirak 2–2–2 Alashkert FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
26/05/26
Armenia Premier League
Alashkert FC2-0
HT 2-0
Shirak
17/10/25
Armenia Premier League
Shirak1-2
HT 0-2
Alashkert FC
03/10/25
Armenia Premier League
Alashkert FC1-1
HT 0-1
Shirak
10/05/25
Armenia Premier League
Shirak4-0
HT 2-0
Alashkert FC
04/11/24
Armenia Premier League
Alashkert FC1-3
HT 1-1
Shirak
23/09/24
Armenia Premier League
Shirak0-0
HT 0-0
Alashkert FC

Standings · Armenia Premier League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FC Noah 10910 27728
2 Ararat Armenia 10721 19923
3 Pyunik Yerevan 10640 24922
4 Alashkert FC 10541 24819
5 FC Urartu 11443 191416
6 Sardarapat FC 11443 171816
7 Shirak 10325 121311
8 Ararat Yerevan 10325 91611
9 BKMA FC 10226 8168
10 FC Van 10217 8267
11 Syunik 10127 6225
12 Gandzasar Kapan 10109 9243

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentShirakAlashkert FC
Ararat Yerevan 1-1 D 3-0 W
Syunik 0-2 L 5-1 W
Ararat Armenia 1-3 L 1-1 D
Pyunik Yerevan 0-2 L 3-3 D
Sardarapat FC 2-0 W 1-1 D
FC Van 4-0 W 4-0 W
FC Urartu 0-1 L 1-1 D
Gandzasar Kapan 1-0 W 3-0 W
FC Noah 3-4 L 0-1 L
BKMA FC 0-0 D 3-0 W
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 5 L 5 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Alashkert FC (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Shirak

DLWLWWLLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/10 Ararat Yerevan
Armenia Premier League
0-1 1-1 69 D
12/10 Syunik
Armenia Premier League
0-0 0-2 33 L
20/09 Ararat Armenia
Armenia Premier League
0-3 1-3 104 L
13/09 Pyunik Yerevan
Armenia Premier League
0-0 0-2 –– L
06/09 Sardarapat FC
Armenia Premier League
1-0 2-0 66 W
29/08 FC Van
Armenia Premier League
3-0 4-0 44 W
22/08 FC Urartu
Armenia Premier League
0-0 0-1 63 L
14/08 Gandzasar Kapan
Armenia Premier League
1-0 1-0 53 W
09/08 FC Noah
Armenia Premier League
1-1 3-4 36 L
01/08 BKMA FC
Armenia Premier League
0-0 0-0 –– D

Alashkert FC

WWLWDWDDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/10 Syunik
Armenia Premier League
3-0 5-1 96 W
10/10 Ararat Armenia
Armenia Premier League
1-1 1-1 27 D
19/09 Pyunik Yerevan
Armenia Premier League
1-2 3-3 66 D
13/09 Sardarapat FC
Armenia Premier League
0-1 1-1 112 D
03/09 FC Van
Armenia Premier League
2-0 4-0 63 W
28/08 FC Urartu
Armenia Premier League
0-1 1-1 65 D
21/08 Gandzasar Kapan
Armenia Premier League
1-0 3-0 73 W
17/08 FC Noah
Armenia Premier League
0-0 0-1 36 L
10/08 BKMA FC
Armenia Premier League
2-0 3-0 40 W
03/08 Ararat Yerevan
Armenia Premier League
0-0 3-0 57 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shirak vs Alashkert FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Alashkert FC win (61%). Probabilities: Shirak 16%, draw 23%, Alashkert FC 61%.

How many goals are expected in Shirak vs Alashkert FC?

The model expects 2.69 goals (Shirak 0.83 · Alashkert FC 1.86), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Shirak vs Alashkert FC?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.