Football · Armenia Premier League · 01/11, 12:30

Prediction: Syunik vs FC Noah

Team pages: Syunik · FC Noah

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.24Total

Syunik0.75

FC Noah2.49

1X2

9% 15% 75%

Syunik Draw FC Noah

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

0-2 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Syunik 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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FC Noah 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Syunik 0–1 FC Noah (1 last)

FC Noah3-0Syunik

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Syunik 1455 · FC Noah 1585

	Syunik	Draw	FC Noah
Our model	8%	17%	75%
Market	10%	14%	76%

Estimated total (ours) 3.24 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Noah (rating 1455 vs 1585).
High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Syunik	FC Noah
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2	2.5 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.8	1.1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 6.1	2.8 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.4	4.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

19.00

X6.50

21.18

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2.25)1.82

2 (-2.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.95

Under 3.51.85

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00
X	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50
2	1.18 → 1.18	Bet365 1.18

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
01:34 +24’	9.00	6.50	1.18

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Syunik 0–0–1 FC Noah

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/08/26 Armenia Premier League	FC Noah	3-0 HT 2-0	Syunik

Standings · Armenia Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Noah	11	9	1	1	28	9	28
2	Ararat Armenia	11	8	2	1	21	10	26
3	Pyunik Yerevan	11	7	4	0	27	9	25
4	Alashkert FC	11	6	4	1	25	8	22
5	FC Urartu	11	4	4	3	19	14	16
6	Sardarapat FC	11	4	4	3	17	18	16
7	Shirak	11	3	2	6	12	14	11
8	Ararat Yerevan	11	3	2	6	10	18	11
9	FC Van	11	3	1	7	10	27	10
10	BKMA FC	11	2	2	7	9	20	8
11	Syunik	11	2	2	7	10	23	8
12	Gandzasar Kapan	11	1	0	10	9	27	3

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Syunik	FC Noah
BKMA FC	4-1 W	1-0 W
Alashkert FC	1-5 L	1-0 W
Shirak	2-0 W	4-3 W
Ararat Yerevan	0-1 L	4-0 W
Ararat Armenia	0-3 L	1-2 L
Pyunik Yerevan	0-0 D	1-1 D
Sardarapat FC	1-3 L	5-1 W
FC Van	1-1 D	2-0 W
FC Urartu	0-3 L	3-0 W
Gandzasar Kapan	1-3 L	3-2 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 6 L	8 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Noah (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Syunik

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	BKMA FC Armenia Premier League	0-1	4-1	11	5	W
16/10	Alashkert FC Armenia Premier League	0-3	1-5	3	6	L
12/10	Shirak Armenia Premier League	0-0	2-0	4	3	W
20/09	Ararat Yerevan Armenia Premier League	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
11/09	Ararat Armenia Armenia Premier League	0-1	0-3	4	7	L
04/09	Pyunik Yerevan Armenia Premier League	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
31/08	Sardarapat FC Armenia Premier League	0-0	1-3	9	7	L
20/08	FC Van Armenia Premier League	1-1	1-1	13	4	D
13/08	FC Urartu Armenia Premier League	0-1	0-3	3	4	L
08/08	Gandzasar Kapan Armenia Premier League	0-1	1-3	5	5	L

FC Noah

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/10	Ararat Armenia Armenia Premier League	0-2	1-2	5	8	L
18/10	Pyunik Yerevan Armenia Premier League	0-1	1-1	5	3	D
11/10	Sardarapat FC Armenia Premier League	3-0	5-1	5	3	W
18/09	FC Van Armenia Premier League	0-0	2-0	2	6	W
12/09	FC Urartu Armenia Premier League	2-0	3-0	5	2	W
04/09	Gandzasar Kapan Armenia Premier League	2-2	3-2	10	4	W
30/08	Ararat Yerevan Armenia Premier League	3-0	4-0	2	5	W
23/08	BKMA FC Armenia Premier League	0-0	1-0	8	2	W
17/08	Alashkert FC Armenia Premier League	0-0	1-0	8	6	W
09/08	Shirak Armenia Premier League	1-1	4-3	4	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Syunik vs FC Noah?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Noah win (75%). Probabilities: Syunik 9%, draw 15%, FC Noah 75%.

How many goals are expected in Syunik vs FC Noah?

The model expects 3.24 goals (Syunik 0.75 · FC Noah 2.49), with a 55% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Syunik vs FC Noah?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.