Football · Armenia Premier League · 31/10, 14:00
Prediction: Shirak vs BKMA FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.5Total
Shirak1.51
BKMA FC0.99
1X2
Shirak
Draw
BKMA FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Shirak
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
BKMA FC
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Shirak
0–4–2
BKMA FC
(6 last)
- BKMA FC0-0Shirak
- Shirak1-1BKMA FC
- BKMA FC0-0Shirak
- BKMA FC2-1Shirak
- BKMA FC3-2Shirak
- Shirak0-0BKMA FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shirak 1491 · BKMA FC 1429
| Shirak | Draw | BKMA FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 28% | 23% |
| Market | 50% | 26% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.5 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shirak (rating 1491 vs 1429).
- H2H favours BKMA FC: 2-4-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shirak | BKMA FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.4 | 0.9 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 5.2 | 1.5 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.1 | 3.2 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shirak 0–4–2 BKMA FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/26 Armenia Premier League | BKMA FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Shirak |
| 16/04/26 Armenia Premier League | Shirak | 1-1 HT 1-1 | BKMA FC |
| 12/04/26 Armenia Premier League | BKMA FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Shirak |
| 16/08/25 Armenia Premier League | BKMA FC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Shirak |
| 18/04/25 Armenia Premier League | BKMA FC | 3-2 HT 0-0 | Shirak |
| 08/03/25 Armenia Premier League | Shirak | 0-0 HT 0-0 | BKMA FC |
Standings · Armenia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Noah | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 9 | 28 |
| 2 | Ararat Armenia | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 10 | 26 |
| 3 | Pyunik Yerevan | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 27 | 9 | 25 |
| 4 | Alashkert FC | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 8 | 22 |
| 5 | FC Urartu | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 16 |
| 6 | Sardarapat FC | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 18 | 16 |
| 7 | Shirak | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 11 |
| 8 | Ararat Yerevan | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 11 |
| 9 | FC Van | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 10 |
| 10 | BKMA FC | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 8 |
| 11 | Syunik | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 8 |
| 12 | Gandzasar Kapan | 11 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 3 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Shirak | BKMA FC |
|---|---|---|
| Alashkert FC | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| Ararat Yerevan | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Syunik | 0-2 L | 1-4 L |
| Ararat Armenia | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Pyunik Yerevan | 0-2 L | 0-5 L |
| Sardarapat FC | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| FC Van | 4-0 W | 1-2 L |
| FC Urartu | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Gandzasar Kapan | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| FC Noah | 3-4 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 6 L | 2 W 1 D 7 L |
Better against common opponents: Shirak (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shirak
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Alashkert FC Armenia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 17/10 | Ararat Yerevan Armenia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 12/10 | Syunik Armenia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 20/09 | Ararat Armenia Armenia Premier League |
0-3 | 1-3 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | Pyunik Yerevan Armenia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 06/09 | Sardarapat FC Armenia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 29/08 | FC Van Armenia Premier League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 22/08 | FC Urartu Armenia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 14/08 | Gandzasar Kapan Armenia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | FC Noah Armenia Premier League |
1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
BKMA FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Syunik Armenia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 18/10 | Ararat Armenia Armenia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 12/10 | Pyunik Yerevan Armenia Premier League |
0-3 | 0-5 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 19/09 | Sardarapat FC Armenia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 11/09 | FC Van Armenia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | FC Urartu Armenia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 30/08 | Gandzasar Kapan Armenia Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | FC Noah Armenia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | Ararat Yerevan Armenia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 10/08 | Alashkert FC Armenia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shirak vs BKMA FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Shirak win (49%). Probabilities: Shirak 49%, draw 27%, BKMA FC 24%.
How many goals are expected in Shirak vs BKMA FC?
The model expects 2.5 goals (Shirak 1.51 · BKMA FC 0.99), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Shirak vs BKMA FC?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.