Football · Armenia Premier League · 30/10, 16:00
Prediction: Pyunik Yerevan vs FC Urartu
Team pages: Pyunik Yerevan · FC Urartu
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.09Total
Pyunik Yerevan1.82
FC Urartu1.27
1X2
Pyunik Yerevan
Draw
FC Urartu
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Pyunik Yerevan
7-3-0 (W-D-L)
FC Urartu
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Pyunik Yerevan
1–2–3
FC Urartu
(6 last)
- FC Urartu2-2Pyunik Yerevan
- Pyunik Yerevan2-1FC Urartu
- FC Urartu1-1Pyunik Yerevan
- Pyunik Yerevan1-2FC Urartu
- Pyunik Yerevan1-4FC Urartu
- Pyunik Yerevan0-3FC Urartu
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pyunik Yerevan 1606 · FC Urartu 1518
| Pyunik Yerevan | Draw | FC Urartu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 25% | 26% |
| Market | 50% | 24% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.09 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pyunik Yerevan (rating 1606 vs 1518).
- H2H favours FC Urartu: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Pyunik Yerevan | FC Urartu | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 0.7 | 1.7 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.2 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.6 | 1.6 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.1 | 4.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pyunik Yerevan 1–2–3 FC Urartu
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/26 Armenia Premier League | FC Urartu | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Pyunik Yerevan |
| 23/04/26 Armenia Premier League | Pyunik Yerevan | 2-1 HT 1-0 | FC Urartu |
| 21/11/25 Armenia Premier League | FC Urartu | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Pyunik Yerevan |
| 29/08/25 Armenia Premier League | Pyunik Yerevan | 1-2 HT 0-1 | FC Urartu |
| 19/04/25 Armenia Premier League | Pyunik Yerevan | 1-4 HT 1-0 | FC Urartu |
| 09/03/25 Armenia Premier League | Pyunik Yerevan | 0-3 HT 0-1 | FC Urartu |
Standings · Armenia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Noah | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 9 | 28 |
| 2 | Ararat Armenia | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 10 | 26 |
| 3 | Pyunik Yerevan | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 27 | 9 | 25 |
| 4 | Alashkert FC | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 8 | 22 |
| 5 | FC Urartu | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 16 |
| 6 | Sardarapat FC | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 18 | 16 |
| 7 | Shirak | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 11 |
| 8 | Ararat Yerevan | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 11 |
| 9 | FC Van | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 10 |
| 10 | BKMA FC | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 8 |
| 11 | Syunik | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 8 |
| 12 | Gandzasar Kapan | 11 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 3 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Pyunik Yerevan | FC Urartu |
|---|---|---|
| Gandzasar Kapan | 3-0 W | 3-0 W |
| FC Noah | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| BKMA FC | 5-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Alashkert FC | 3-3 D | 1-1 D |
| Shirak | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Sardarapat FC | 4-2 W | 0-0 D |
| Syunik | 0-0 D | 3-0 W |
| Ararat Armenia | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Ararat Yerevan | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| FC Van | 3-0 W | 5-2 W |
| Record vs common | 7 W 3 D 0 L | 4 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Pyunik Yerevan (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pyunik Yerevan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Gandzasar Kapan Armenia Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 18/10 | FC Noah Armenia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 12/10 | BKMA FC Armenia Premier League |
3-0 | 5-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | Alashkert FC Armenia Premier League |
2-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 13/09 | Shirak Armenia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/09 | Sardarapat FC Armenia Premier League |
1-1 | 4-2 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 04/09 | Syunik Armenia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 31/08 | Ararat Armenia Armenia Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 21/08 | Ararat Yerevan Armenia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/08 | FC Van Armenia Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
FC Urartu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Sardarapat FC Armenia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 17/10 | FC Van Armenia Premier League |
1-1 | 5-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 11/10 | Ararat Yerevan Armenia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 18/09 | Gandzasar Kapan Armenia Premier League |
3-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 12/09 | FC Noah Armenia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 06/09 | BKMA FC Armenia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 28/08 | Alashkert FC Armenia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 22/08 | Shirak Armenia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 13/08 | Syunik Armenia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 07/08 | Ararat Armenia Armenia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pyunik Yerevan vs FC Urartu?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Pyunik Yerevan win (49%). Probabilities: Pyunik Yerevan 49%, draw 24%, FC Urartu 26%.
How many goals are expected in Pyunik Yerevan vs FC Urartu?
The model expects 3.09 goals (Pyunik Yerevan 1.82 · FC Urartu 1.27), with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Pyunik Yerevan vs FC Urartu?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.