Football · Armenia Premier League · 23/10, 17:00
Prediction: Pyunik Yerevan vs Gandzasar Kapan
Team pages: Pyunik Yerevan · Gandzasar Kapan
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.37Total
Pyunik Yerevan2.65
Gandzasar Kapan0.73
1X2
Pyunik Yerevan
Draw
Gandzasar Kapan
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Pyunik Yerevan
6-4-0 (W-D-L)
Gandzasar Kapan
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Pyunik Yerevan
6–0
Gandzasar Kapan
(6 last)
- Gandzasar Kapan0-2Pyunik Yerevan
- Pyunik Yerevan3-0Gandzasar Kapan
- Pyunik Yerevan2-0Gandzasar Kapan
- Gandzasar Kapan0-1Pyunik Yerevan
- Gandzasar Kapan1-3Pyunik Yerevan
- Pyunik Yerevan1-0Gandzasar Kapan
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pyunik Yerevan 1610 · Gandzasar Kapan 1360
| Pyunik Yerevan | Draw | Gandzasar Kapan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 77% | 15% | 7% |
| Market | 79% | 13% | 8% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.37 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pyunik Yerevan (rating 1610 vs 1360).
- H2H favours Pyunik Yerevan: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Pyunik Yerevan | Gandzasar Kapan | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.2 | 0.5 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.5 | 1.8 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.2 | 4.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pyunik Yerevan 6–0–0 Gandzasar Kapan
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/05/26 Armenia Premier League | Gandzasar Kapan | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Pyunik Yerevan |
| 29/10/25 Armenian Cup | Pyunik Yerevan | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Gandzasar Kapan |
| 25/10/25 Armenia Premier League | Pyunik Yerevan | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Gandzasar Kapan |
| 27/09/25 Armenia Premier League | Gandzasar Kapan | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Pyunik Yerevan |
| 12/04/25 Armenia Premier League | Gandzasar Kapan | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Pyunik Yerevan |
| 02/12/24 Armenia Premier League | Pyunik Yerevan | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Gandzasar Kapan |
Standings · Armenia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Noah | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 7 | 28 |
| 2 | Ararat Armenia | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | Pyunik Yerevan | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 9 | 22 |
| 4 | Alashkert FC | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 8 | 19 |
| 5 | FC Urartu | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 16 |
| 6 | Sardarapat FC | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 18 | 16 |
| 7 | Shirak | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 11 |
| 8 | Ararat Yerevan | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 11 |
| 9 | BKMA FC | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 8 |
| 10 | FC Van | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 7 |
| 11 | Syunik | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 5 |
| 12 | Gandzasar Kapan | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 3 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Pyunik Yerevan | Gandzasar Kapan |
|---|---|---|
| FC Noah | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| BKMA FC | 5-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Alashkert FC | 3-3 D | 0-3 L |
| Shirak | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Sardarapat FC | 4-2 W | 1-2 L |
| Syunik | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| Ararat Armenia | 2-1 W | 3-4 L |
| Ararat Yerevan | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| FC Van | 3-0 W | 0-2 L |
| FC Urartu | 2-2 D | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 6 W 4 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 9 L |
Better against common opponents: Pyunik Yerevan (9 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pyunik Yerevan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | FC Noah Armenia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 12/10 | BKMA FC Armenia Premier League |
3-0 | 5-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | Alashkert FC Armenia Premier League |
2-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 13/09 | Shirak Armenia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/09 | Sardarapat FC Armenia Premier League |
1-1 | 4-2 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 04/09 | Syunik Armenia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 31/08 | Ararat Armenia Armenia Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 21/08 | Ararat Yerevan Armenia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/08 | FC Van Armenia Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 02/08 | FC Urartu Armenia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
Gandzasar Kapan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Sardarapat FC Armenia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 10/10 | FC Van Armenia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 18/09 | FC Urartu Armenia Premier League |
0-3 | 0-3 | 5 | 10 | L |
| 12/09 | Ararat Yerevan Armenia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 04/09 | FC Noah Armenia Premier League |
2-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | BKMA FC Armenia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 21/08 | Alashkert FC Armenia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 14/08 | Shirak Armenia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Syunik Armenia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 01/08 | Ararat Armenia Armenia Premier League |
1-2 | 3-4 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pyunik Yerevan vs Gandzasar Kapan?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Pyunik Yerevan win (78%). Probabilities: Pyunik Yerevan 78%, draw 14%, Gandzasar Kapan 8%.
How many goals are expected in Pyunik Yerevan vs Gandzasar Kapan?
The model expects 3.37 goals (Pyunik Yerevan 2.65 · Gandzasar Kapan 0.73), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Pyunik Yerevan vs Gandzasar Kapan?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.