Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 17/10, 21:00
Prediction: Columbus Crew II vs New England Revolution II
Team pages: Columbus Crew II · New England Revolution II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.39Total
Columbus Crew II1.77
New England Revolution II1.62
1X2
Columbus Crew II
Draw
New England Revolution II
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Columbus Crew II
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
New England Revolution II
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Columbus Crew II
1–4–1
New England Revolution II
(6 last)
- Columbus Crew II1-1New England Revolution II
- New England Revolution II2-2Columbus Crew II
- Columbus Crew II2-1New England Revolution II
- New England Revolution II2-2Columbus Crew II
- Columbus Crew II1-2New England Revolution II
- New England Revolution II2-2Columbus Crew II
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Columbus Crew II 1482 · New England Revolution II 1491
| Columbus Crew II | Draw | New England Revolution II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 25% | 35% |
| Market | 41% | 24% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.39 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Columbus Crew II | New England Revolution II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.4 | 2.1 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.9 | 1.1 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.8 | 2.1 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.3 | 5.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Columbus Crew II 1–4–1 New England Revolution II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Columbus Crew II | 1-1 HT 0-1 | New England Revolution II |
| 16/07/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | New England Revolution II | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Columbus Crew II |
| 18/04/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Columbus Crew II | 2-1 HT 1-0 | New England Revolution II |
| 11/08/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | New England Revolution II | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Columbus Crew II |
| 05/07/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Columbus Crew II | 1-2 HT 0-0 | New England Revolution II |
| 23/04/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | New England Revolution II | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Columbus Crew II |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 67 | 39 | 58 |
| 2 | Chattanooga FC | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 56 | 39 | 56 |
| 3 | Atlanta United II | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 62 | 46 | 48 |
| 4 | Columbus Crew II | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 49 | 43 | 48 |
| 5 | New England Revolution II | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 47 | 42 | 48 |
| 6 | New York City FC II | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 50 | 44 | 47 |
| 7 | CT United | 28 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 59 | 52 | 46 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls II | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 58 | 48 | 46 |
| 9 | Huntsville City | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 47 | 44 |
| 10 | Orlando City II | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 55 | 56 | 44 |
| 11 | Philadelphia Union II | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 37 | 40 | 43 |
| 12 | Toronto FC II | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 48 | 56 | 39 |
| 13 | Chicago Fire II | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 50 | 48 | 39 |
| 14 | Carolina Core FC | 28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 40 | 53 | 31 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati II | 28 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 32 | 62 | 20 |
| 16 | Inter Miami CF II | 28 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 30 | 74 | 15 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Columbus Crew II | New England Revolution II |
|---|---|---|
| Carolina Core FC | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Toronto FC II | 2-4 L | 3-1 W |
| Philadelphia Union II | 0-1 L | 3-4 L |
| Huntsville City | 0-1 L | 1-4 L |
| New York City FC II | 4-2 W | 1-2 L |
| New York Red Bulls II | 1-2 L | 4-1 W |
| CT United | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 5 L | 3 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: New England Revolution II (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Columbus Crew II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Carolina Core FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 14/09 | New England Revolution II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 08/09 | Toronto FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Philadelphia Union II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Chicago Fire II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 24/08 | Huntsville City USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 16/08 | New York City FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 09/08 | New York Red Bulls II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 27/07 | CT United USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 19/07 | Philadelphia Union II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
New England Revolution II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Toronto FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 14/09 | Columbus Crew II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 05/09 | Carolina Core FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 31/08 | Huntsville City USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-4 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 22/08 | New York City FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 20/08 | Inter Miami CF II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-3 | 2-4 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 17/08 | Philadelphia Union II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-3 | 3-4 | 8 | 9 | L |
| 09/08 | CT United USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 02/08 | New York Red Bulls II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 27/07 | FC Cincinnati II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Columbus Crew II vs New England Revolution II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Columbus Crew II win (41%). Probabilities: Columbus Crew II 41%, draw 24%, New England Revolution II 35%.
How many goals are expected in Columbus Crew II vs New England Revolution II?
The model expects 3.39 goals (Columbus Crew II 1.77 · New England Revolution II 1.62), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Columbus Crew II vs New England Revolution II?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.