Prediction: Cerro vs Montevideo Wanderers
Team pages: Cerro · Montevideo Wanderers
- Montevideo Wanderers1-1Cerro
- Montevideo Wanderers3-0Cerro
- Montevideo Wanderers0-1Cerro
- Cerro1-2Montevideo Wanderers
- Cerro2-1Montevideo Wanderers
- Montevideo Wanderers1-0Cerro
| Cerro | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 32% | 34% |
| Market | 35% | 30% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Montevideo Wanderers: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cerro | Montevideo Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 0.9 | 1 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/70/0% | 22/44/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 2.3 | 2.6 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.2 | 5.3 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cerro 2–1–3 Montevideo Wanderers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09/26 Uruguay Cup | Montevideo Wanderers | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Cerro |
| 28/03/26 Uruguay Apertura | Montevideo Wanderers | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Cerro |
| 27/09/25 Uruguay Clausura | Montevideo Wanderers | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Cerro |
| 02/06/25 Uruguay Torneo Intermedio | Cerro | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Montevideo Wanderers |
| 01/04/25 Uruguay Apertura | Cerro | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Montevideo Wanderers |
| 17/08/24 Uruguay Clausura | Montevideo Wanderers | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Cerro |
Standings · Uruguay Clausura · Primera Division 2026, Torneo Intermedio, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montevideo Wanderers | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 15 |
| 2 | Nacional De Football | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 13 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Torque | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 12 |
| 5 | Juventud De Las Piedras | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
| 6 | Albion FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
| 7 | Club Atletico Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cerro | Montevideo Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| Boston River | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Danubio | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Nacional De Football | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 0 L | 0 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Cerro (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cerro
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Juventud De Las Piedras Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 19/09 | Penarol Uruguay Clausura |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | Club Atletico Progreso Uruguay Clausura |
2-0 | 3-1 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Racing Club de Montevideo Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 29/08 | Boston River Uruguay Clausura |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | Liverpool Montevideo Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-4 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 15/08 | Albion FC Uruguay Clausura |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 09/08 | Danubio Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 09/11 | Boston River Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 01/11 | Nacional De Football Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | D |
Montevideo Wanderers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Danubio Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 12/09 | Nacional De Football Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 05/09 | Deportivo Maldonado Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 29/08 | Central Espanol Uruguay Clausura |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | Torque Uruguay Clausura |
– | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 16/08 | Cerro Largo Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 09/08 | Defensor Sporting Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 08/11 | CA River Plate Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 0-4 | 6 | 10 | L |
| 01/11 | Boston River Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 26/10 | Nacional De Football Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cerro vs Montevideo Wanderers?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cerro win (35%). Probabilities: Cerro 35%, draw 31%, Montevideo Wanderers 35%.
How many goals are expected in Cerro vs Montevideo Wanderers?
The model expects 2.21 goals (Cerro 1.11 · Montevideo Wanderers 1.11), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Cerro vs Montevideo Wanderers?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.