Football · Uruguay Clausura · 11/10, 02:30
Prediction: Torque vs Danubio
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.38Total
Torque1.37
Danubio1.01
1X2
Torque
Draw
Danubio
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Torque
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Danubio
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Torque
2–2–2
Danubio
(6 last)
- Torque2-0Danubio
- Torque1-0Danubio
- Danubio1-1Torque
- Danubio2-0Torque
- Danubio3-2Torque
- Torque1-1Danubio
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Torque 1563 · Danubio 1468
| Torque | Draw | Danubio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 30% | 27% |
| Market | 45% | 28% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.38 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Torque (rating 1563 vs 1468).
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Torque | Danubio | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 1 | 0.6 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 44/33/22% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.3 | 3.1 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.8 / 0.3 | 4.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Torque 2–2–2 Danubio
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09/26 Uruguay Cup | Torque | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Danubio |
| 25/07/26 Uruguay Torneo Intermedio | Torque | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Danubio |
| 04/04/26 Uruguay Apertura | Danubio | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Torque |
| 28/09/25 Uruguay Clausura | Danubio | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Torque |
| 07/06/25 Uruguay Torneo Intermedio | Danubio | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Torque |
| 30/03/25 Uruguay Apertura | Torque | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Danubio |
Standings · Uruguay Clausura · Primera Division 2026, Torneo Intermedio, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montevideo Wanderers | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 15 |
| 2 | Nacional De Football | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 13 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Torque | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 12 |
| 5 | Juventud De Las Piedras | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
| 6 | Albion FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
| 7 | Club Atletico Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Torque | Danubio |
|---|---|---|
| Penarol | 1-1 D | 0-4 L |
| Cerro Largo | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Defensor Sporting | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Montevideo Wanderers | 5-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Juventud De Las Piedras | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Club Atletico Progreso | 5-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Torque (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Torque
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Penarol Uruguay Clausura |
1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 27/09 | Deportivo Maldonado Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 22/09 | Central Espanol Uruguay Clausura |
2-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 15/09 | Liverpool Montevideo Uruguay Clausura |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 10 | W |
| 05/09 | Cerro Largo Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 2-1 | 12 | 8 | W |
| 29/08 | Defensor Sporting Uruguay Clausura |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | Montevideo Wanderers Uruguay Clausura |
– | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Juventud De Las Piedras Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 09/11 | Penarol Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 01/11 | Club Atletico Progreso Uruguay Clausura |
3-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
Danubio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Cerro Largo Uruguay Clausura |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 27/09 | Defensor Sporting Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 20/09 | Montevideo Wanderers Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 13/09 | Juventud De Las Piedras Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 05/09 | Penarol Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 0-4 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 29/08 | Club Atletico Progreso Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 23/08 | Racing Club de Montevideo Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 15/08 | Boston River Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 09/08 | Cerro Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 08/11 | Plaza Colonia Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Torque vs Danubio?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Torque win (44%). Probabilities: Torque 44%, draw 29%, Danubio 27%.
How many goals are expected in Torque vs Danubio?
The model expects 2.38 goals (Torque 1.37 · Danubio 1.01), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Torque vs Danubio?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.