Football · Uruguay Clausura · 10/10, 20:00
Prediction: Montevideo Wanderers vs Boston River
Team pages: Montevideo Wanderers · Boston River
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.85Total
Montevideo Wanderers1.47
Boston River1.39
1X2
Montevideo Wanderers
Draw
Boston River
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Montevideo Wanderers
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Boston River
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Montevideo Wanderers
0–1–5
Boston River
(6 last)
- Boston River4-1Montevideo Wanderers
- Montevideo Wanderers2-2Boston River
- Boston River1-0Montevideo Wanderers
- Boston River3-2Montevideo Wanderers
- Montevideo Wanderers0-2Boston River
- Montevideo Wanderers0-2Boston River
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Boston River (rating 1478 vs 1521).
- H2H favours Boston River: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Montevideo Wanderers | Boston River | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.7 | 1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/33/33% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.6 | 1.8 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.6 | 5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Montevideo Wanderers 0–1–5 Boston River
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/26 Uruguay Apertura | Boston River | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Montevideo Wanderers |
| 01/11/25 Uruguay Clausura | Montevideo Wanderers | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Boston River |
| 03/05/25 Uruguay Apertura | Boston River | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Montevideo Wanderers |
| 05/10/24 Uruguay Clausura | Boston River | 3-2 HT 0-2 | Montevideo Wanderers |
| 01/04/24 Uruguay Apertura | Montevideo Wanderers | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Boston River |
| 12/11/23 Uruguay Clausura | Montevideo Wanderers | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Boston River |
Standings · Uruguay Clausura · Primera Division 2026, Torneo Intermedio, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montevideo Wanderers | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 15 |
| 2 | Nacional De Football | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 13 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Torque | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 12 |
| 5 | Juventud De Las Piedras | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
| 6 | Albion FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
| 7 | Club Atletico Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Montevideo Wanderers | Boston River |
|---|---|---|
| Albion FC | 2-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Danubio | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Nacional De Football | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Boston River (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Montevideo Wanderers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Albion FC Uruguay Clausura |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 20/09 | Danubio Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 12/09 | Nacional De Football Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 05/09 | Deportivo Maldonado Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 29/08 | Central Espanol Uruguay Clausura |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | Torque Uruguay Clausura |
– | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 16/08 | Cerro Largo Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 09/08 | Defensor Sporting Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 08/11 | CA River Plate Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 0-4 | 6 | 10 | L |
| 01/11 | Boston River Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
Boston River
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Juventud De Las Piedras Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 26/09 | Penarol Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | Club Atletico Progreso Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | Racing Club de Montevideo Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 07/09 | Liverpool Montevideo Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 29/08 | Cerro Uruguay Clausura |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 21/08 | Albion FC Uruguay Clausura |
2-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 15/08 | Danubio Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 09/08 | Nacional De Football Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 09/11 | Cerro Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Montevideo Wanderers vs Boston River?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Montevideo Wanderers win (38%). Probabilities: Montevideo Wanderers 38%, draw 27%, Boston River 35%.
How many goals are expected in Montevideo Wanderers vs Boston River?
The model expects 2.85 goals (Montevideo Wanderers 1.47 · Boston River 1.39), with a 57% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Montevideo Wanderers vs Boston River?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.