Football · Uruguay Clausura · 10/10, 19:30

Prediction: Juventud De Las Piedras vs Racing Club de Montevideo

Team pages: Juventud De Las Piedras · Racing Club de Montevideo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.06Total

Juventud De Las Piedras1.03

Racing Club de Montevideo1.03

1X2

34% 31% 34%

Juventud De Las Piedras Draw Racing Club de Montevideo

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 66% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Juventud De Las Piedras 3-6-1 (W-D-L)

DDLWWDDWDD

Racing Club de Montevideo 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWDWDWLWDL

Head-to-head

Juventud De Las Piedras 3–1–2 Racing Club de Montevideo (6 last)

Juventud De Las Piedras3-0Racing Club de Montevideo
Racing Club de Montevideo2-1Juventud De Las Piedras
Racing Club de Montevideo0-0Juventud De Las Piedras
Juventud De Las Piedras2-1Racing Club de Montevideo
Juventud De Las Piedras1-0Racing Club de Montevideo
Racing Club de Montevideo1-0Juventud De Las Piedras

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Juventud De Las Piedras 1531 · Racing Club de Montevideo 1506

	Juventud De Las Piedras	Draw	Racing Club de Montevideo
Our model	34%	33%	34%
Market	35%	30%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 2.06 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Juventud De Las Piedras: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Juventud De Las Piedras	Racing Club de Montevideo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 0.7	1.2 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5	2 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.3	5.1 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.00

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.02

Under 2.251.77

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 1.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:56

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
22:52 +4’	2.55	3.00	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Juventud De Las Piedras 3–1–2 Racing Club de Montevideo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/09/26 Uruguay Cup	Juventud De Las Piedras	3-0 HT 2-0	Racing Club de Montevideo
04/04/26 Uruguay Apertura	Racing Club de Montevideo	2-1 HT 2-1	Juventud De Las Piedras
20/10/25 Uruguay Clausura	Racing Club de Montevideo	0-0 HT 0-0	Juventud De Las Piedras
08/06/25 Uruguay Torneo Intermedio	Juventud De Las Piedras	2-1 HT 0-1	Racing Club de Montevideo
19/04/25 Uruguay Apertura	Juventud De Las Piedras	1-0 HT 0-0	Racing Club de Montevideo
25/07/22 Uruguay Segunda	Racing Club de Montevideo	1-0 HT 0-0	Juventud De Las Piedras

Standings · Uruguay Clausura · Primera Division 2026, Torneo Intermedio, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Montevideo Wanderers	7	4	3	0	12	4	15
2	Nacional De Football	7	4	1	2	8	8	13
3	Deportivo Maldonado	7	3	3	1	12	6	12
4	Torque	7	4	0	3	11	11	12
5	Juventud De Las Piedras	7	2	2	3	8	11	8
6	Albion FC	7	1	3	3	6	8	6
7	Club Atletico Progreso	7	2	0	5	6	11	6
8	Danubio	7	0	4	3	5	9	4

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Juventud De Las Piedras	Racing Club de Montevideo
Boston River	0-0 D	3-2 W
Cerro	0-0 D	0-1 L
Albion FC	3-1 W	1-0 W
Danubio	1-1 D	0-0 D
Nacional De Football	2-2 D	2-0 W
Deportivo Maldonado	2-0 W	2-2 D
Club Atletico Progreso	1-1 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 5 D 0 L	3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Juventud De Las Piedras (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Juventud De Las Piedras

DDLWWDDWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Boston River Uruguay Clausura	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
27/09	Cerro Uruguay Clausura	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
20/09	Albion FC Uruguay Clausura	2-0	3-1	5	3	W
13/09	Danubio Uruguay Clausura	0-1	1-1	5	3	D
06/09	Nacional De Football Uruguay Clausura	1-1	2-2	5	5	D
29/08	Deportivo Maldonado Uruguay Clausura	2-0	2-0	3	6	W
22/08	Central Espanol Uruguay Clausura	0-0	1-0	3	6	W
15/08	Torque Uruguay Clausura	0-0	0-1	9	7	L
08/08	Cerro Largo Uruguay Clausura	0-1	1-1	8	4	D
09/11	Club Atletico Progreso Uruguay Clausura	0-1	1-1	6	6	D

Racing Club de Montevideo

LWDWDWLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Club Atletico Progreso Uruguay Clausura	0-1	1-2	6	5	L
21/09	Liverpool Montevideo Uruguay Clausura	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
12/09	Boston River Uruguay Clausura	1-0	3-2	2	5	W
06/09	Cerro Uruguay Clausura	0-1	0-1	9	5	L
31/08	Albion FC Uruguay Clausura	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
23/08	Danubio Uruguay Clausura	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
15/08	Nacional De Football Uruguay Clausura	0-0	2-0	4	6	W
11/08	Deportivo Maldonado Uruguay Clausura	2-2	2-2	5	4	D
07/11	Miramar Misiones Uruguay Clausura	1-0	2-0	4	9	W
02/11	Danubio Uruguay Clausura	1-1	1-2	3	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Juventud De Las Piedras vs Racing Club de Montevideo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Juventud De Las Piedras win (34%). Probabilities: Juventud De Las Piedras 34%, draw 31%, Racing Club de Montevideo 34%.

How many goals are expected in Juventud De Las Piedras vs Racing Club de Montevideo?

The model expects 2.06 goals (Juventud De Las Piedras 1.03 · Racing Club de Montevideo 1.03), with a 56% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Juventud De Las Piedras vs Racing Club de Montevideo?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.