Football · Cyprus Division 1 · 10/10, 18:00
Prediction: Olympiakos Nicosia vs Aris Limassol
Team pages: Olympiakos Nicosia · Aris Limassol
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.78Total
Olympiakos Nicosia1.17
Aris Limassol1.61
1X2
Olympiakos Nicosia
Draw
Aris Limassol
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Olympiakos Nicosia
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Aris Limassol
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Olympiakos Nicosia
0–2–4
Aris Limassol
(6 last)
- Olympiakos Nicosia0-0Aris Limassol
- Aris Limassol2-0Olympiakos Nicosia
- Olympiakos Nicosia0-0Aris Limassol
- Aris Limassol5-0Olympiakos Nicosia
- Aris Limassol1-0Olympiakos Nicosia
- Olympiakos Nicosia1-2Aris Limassol
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Olympiakos Nicosia 1526 · Aris Limassol 1463
| Olympiakos Nicosia | Draw | Aris Limassol | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 27% | 46% |
| Market | 26% | 27% | 46% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.78 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Olympiakos Nicosia (rating 1526 vs 1463).
- H2H favours Aris Limassol: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Olympiakos Nicosia | Aris Limassol | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.3 | 1 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.1 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 0/40/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.1 | 2.8 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.2 | 4.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Olympiakos Nicosia 0–2–4 Aris Limassol
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/01/26 Cyprus Division 1 | Olympiakos Nicosia | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Aris Limassol |
| 15/09/25 Cyprus Division 1 | Aris Limassol | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Olympiakos Nicosia |
| 16/12/22 Cyprus Division 1 | Olympiakos Nicosia | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Aris Limassol |
| 02/09/22 Cyprus Division 1 | Aris Limassol | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Olympiakos Nicosia |
| 03/12/21 Cyprus Division 1 | Aris Limassol | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Olympiakos Nicosia |
| 22/08/21 Cyprus Division 1 | Olympiakos Nicosia | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Aris Limassol |
Standings · Cyprus Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEK Larnaca | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | AEL Limassol | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 9 |
| 3 | Omonia Nicosia | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 8 |
| 4 | Pafos FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Apollon Limassol | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Omonia Aradippou | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Omonia 29is Maiou | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 5 |
| 8 | Aris Limassol | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
| 9 | Nea Salamis Famagusta | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 4 |
| 10 | Olympiakos Nicosia | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 4 |
| 11 | Apoel Nicosia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 4 |
| 12 | APK Karmotissa | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 13 | Anorthosis Famagusta | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
| 14 | Krasava ENY Ypsonas | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Olympiakos Nicosia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Omonia Aradippou Cyprus Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 13/09 | Omonia 29is Maiou Cyprus Division 1 |
1-1 | 3-3 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 07/09 | Pafos FC Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 28/08 | Nea Salamis Famagusta Cyprus Division 1 |
1-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 15/05 | Anorthosis Famagusta Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 9 | W |
| 09/05 | AEL Limassol Cyprus Division 1 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 01/05 | Omonia Aradippou Cyprus Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 26/04 | Ethnikos Achnas Cyprus Division 1 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 19/04 | Akritas Chlorakas Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 04/04 | Enosis Paralimni Cyprus Division 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
Aris Limassol
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | APK Karmotissa Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 14/09 | Krasava ENY Ypsonas Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 07/09 | Omonia Nicosia Cyprus Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Apollon Limassol Cyprus Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 22/05 | AEK Larnaca Cyprus Division 1 |
0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Apollon Limassol Cyprus Division 1 |
0-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Pafos FC Cyprus Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 06/05 | Apoel Nicosia Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 02/05 | Omonia Nicosia Cyprus Division 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | AEK Larnaca Cyprus Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Olympiakos Nicosia vs Aris Limassol?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Aris Limassol win (46%). Probabilities: Olympiakos Nicosia 27%, draw 27%, Aris Limassol 46%.
How many goals are expected in Olympiakos Nicosia vs Aris Limassol?
The model expects 2.78 goals (Olympiakos Nicosia 1.17 · Aris Limassol 1.61), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Olympiakos Nicosia vs Aris Limassol?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.