Football · Cyprus Division 1 · 17/10, 18:00
Prediction: Omonia Nicosia vs Olympiakos Nicosia
Team pages: Omonia Nicosia · Olympiakos Nicosia
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.19Total
Omonia Nicosia2.44
Olympiakos Nicosia0.76
1X2
Omonia Nicosia
Draw
Olympiakos Nicosia
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Omonia Nicosia
7-3-0 (W-D-L)
Olympiakos Nicosia
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Omonia Nicosia
4–1–1
Olympiakos Nicosia
(6 last)
- Omonia Nicosia5-0Olympiakos Nicosia
- Olympiakos Nicosia0-3Omonia Nicosia
- Olympiakos Nicosia0-1Omonia Nicosia
- Omonia Nicosia4-0Olympiakos Nicosia
- Omonia Nicosia1-1Olympiakos Nicosia
- Olympiakos Nicosia3-0Omonia Nicosia
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Omonia Nicosia 1606 · Olympiakos Nicosia 1474
| Omonia Nicosia | Draw | Olympiakos Nicosia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 74% | 18% | 9% |
| Market | 74% | 17% | 9% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.19 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Omonia Nicosia (rating 1606 vs 1474).
- H2H favours Omonia Nicosia: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Omonia Nicosia | Olympiakos Nicosia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 0.5 | 1.5 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 6.5 | 2.2 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.2 | 4.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Omonia Nicosia 4–1–1 Olympiakos Nicosia
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 Cyprus Division 1 | Omonia Nicosia | 5-0 HT 3-0 | Olympiakos Nicosia |
| 06/12/25 Cyprus Division 1 | Olympiakos Nicosia | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Omonia Nicosia |
| 20/02/23 Cyprus Division 1 | Olympiakos Nicosia | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Omonia Nicosia |
| 11/11/22 Cyprus Division 1 | Omonia Nicosia | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Olympiakos Nicosia |
| 20/05/22 Cyprus Division 1 | Omonia Nicosia | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Olympiakos Nicosia |
| 08/04/22 Cyprus Division 1 | Olympiakos Nicosia | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Omonia Nicosia |
Standings · Cyprus Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEL Limassol | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 12 |
| 2 | Omonia Nicosia | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 11 |
| 3 | Pafos FC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | AEK Larnaca | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Apollon Limassol | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 9 |
| 6 | Aris Limassol | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| 7 | Apoel Nicosia | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 7 |
| 8 | Omonia Aradippou | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 9 | Omonia 29is Maiou | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 5 |
| 10 | Nea Salamis Famagusta | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 4 |
| 11 | Olympiakos Nicosia | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 4 |
| 12 | APK Karmotissa | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
| 13 | Anorthosis Famagusta | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 3 |
| 14 | Krasava ENY Ypsonas | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Omonia Nicosia | Olympiakos Nicosia |
|---|---|---|
| Aris Limassol | 4-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Omonia Aradippou | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Pafos FC | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 0 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Omonia Nicosia (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Omonia Nicosia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | APK Karmotissa Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 20/09 | Krasava ENY Ypsonas Cyprus Division 1 |
1-1 | 4-1 | 13 | 5 | W |
| 12/09 | Apollon Limassol Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 07/09 | Aris Limassol Cyprus Division 1 |
1-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 31/08 | Omonia Aradippou Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 22/05 | Apollon Limassol Cyprus Division 1 |
1-1 | 5-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Apoel Nicosia Cyprus Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | AEK Larnaca Cyprus Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 06/05 | Pafos FC Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 02/05 | Aris Limassol Cyprus Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
Olympiakos Nicosia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Aris Limassol Cyprus Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 10 | L |
| 20/09 | Omonia Aradippou Cyprus Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 13/09 | Omonia 29is Maiou Cyprus Division 1 |
1-1 | 3-3 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 07/09 | Pafos FC Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 28/08 | Nea Salamis Famagusta Cyprus Division 1 |
1-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 15/05 | Anorthosis Famagusta Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 9 | W |
| 09/05 | AEL Limassol Cyprus Division 1 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 01/05 | Omonia Aradippou Cyprus Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 26/04 | Ethnikos Achnas Cyprus Division 1 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 19/04 | Akritas Chlorakas Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Omonia Nicosia vs Olympiakos Nicosia?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Omonia Nicosia win (74%). Probabilities: Omonia Nicosia 74%, draw 17%, Olympiakos Nicosia 9%.
How many goals are expected in Omonia Nicosia vs Olympiakos Nicosia?
The model expects 3.19 goals (Omonia Nicosia 2.44 · Olympiakos Nicosia 0.76), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Omonia Nicosia vs Olympiakos Nicosia?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.