Prediction: Aris Limassol vs AEK Larnaca
Team pages: Aris Limassol · AEK Larnaca
- Aris Limassol3-4AEK Larnaca
- AEK Larnaca2-0Aris Limassol
- Aris Limassol1-0AEK Larnaca
- AEK Larnaca3-2Aris Limassol
- Aris Limassol1-0AEK Larnaca
- AEK Larnaca1-1Aris Limassol
| Aris Limassol | Draw | AEK Larnaca | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 27% | 42% |
| Market | 31% | 27% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AEK Larnaca (rating 1485 vs 1566).
- H2H favours AEK Larnaca: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Aris Limassol | AEK Larnaca | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.9 | 1.9 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.9 | 1 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 60/40/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.3 | 1.4 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.3 | 5.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aris Limassol 2–1–3 AEK Larnaca
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05/26 Cyprus Division 1 | Aris Limassol | 3-4 HT 0-1 | AEK Larnaca |
| 25/04/26 Cyprus Division 1 | AEK Larnaca | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Aris Limassol |
| 10/01/26 Cyprus Division 1 | Aris Limassol | 1-0 HT 0-0 | AEK Larnaca |
| 22/09/25 Cyprus Division 1 | AEK Larnaca | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Aris Limassol |
| 27/04/25 Cyprus Division 1 | Aris Limassol | 1-0 HT 1-0 | AEK Larnaca |
| 29/03/25 Cyprus Division 1 | AEK Larnaca | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Aris Limassol |
Standings · Cyprus Division 1
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEL Limassol | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 12 |
| 2 | Omonia Nicosia | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 11 |
| 3 | Pafos FC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | AEK Larnaca | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Apollon Limassol | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 9 |
| 6 | Aris Limassol | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| 7 | Apoel Nicosia | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 7 |
| 8 | Omonia Aradippou | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 9 | Omonia 29is Maiou | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 5 |
| 10 | Nea Salamis Famagusta | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 4 |
| 11 | Olympiakos Nicosia | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 4 |
| 12 | APK Karmotissa | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
| 13 | Anorthosis Famagusta | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 3 |
| 14 | Krasava ENY Ypsonas | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Aris Limassol | AEK Larnaca |
|---|---|---|
| Omonia Nicosia | 1-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Apollon Limassol | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Pafos FC | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Apoel Nicosia | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: AEK Larnaca (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aris Limassol
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Olympiakos Nicosia Cyprus Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 10 | W |
| 20/09 | APK Karmotissa Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 14/09 | Krasava ENY Ypsonas Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 07/09 | Omonia Nicosia Cyprus Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Apollon Limassol Cyprus Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 22/05 | AEK Larnaca Cyprus Division 1 |
0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Apollon Limassol Cyprus Division 1 |
0-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Pafos FC Cyprus Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 06/05 | Apoel Nicosia Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 02/05 | Omonia Nicosia Cyprus Division 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
AEK Larnaca
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Omonia 29is Maiou Cyprus Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 13/09 | Pafos FC Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | Nea Salamis Famagusta Cyprus Division 1 |
2-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | Apoel Nicosia Cyprus Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 22/05 | Aris Limassol Cyprus Division 1 |
1-0 | 4-3 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Pafos FC Cyprus Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 10/05 | Omonia Nicosia Cyprus Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 06/05 | Apollon Limassol Cyprus Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 10 | W |
| 03/05 | Apoel Nicosia Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | Aris Limassol Cyprus Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aris Limassol vs AEK Larnaca?
According to our model, the most likely result is an AEK Larnaca win (42%). Probabilities: Aris Limassol 31%, draw 27%, AEK Larnaca 42%.
How many goals are expected in Aris Limassol vs AEK Larnaca?
The model expects 2.87 goals (Aris Limassol 1.31 · AEK Larnaca 1.56), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Aris Limassol vs AEK Larnaca?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.