Football · Cyprus Division 1 · 10/10, 18:00
Prediction: Anorthosis Famagusta vs Pafos FC
Team pages: Anorthosis Famagusta · Pafos FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.47Total
Anorthosis Famagusta0.67
Pafos FC1.8
1X2
Anorthosis Famagusta
Draw
Pafos FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
0-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Anorthosis Famagusta
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Pafos FC
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Anorthosis Famagusta
0–2–4
Pafos FC
(6 last)
- Pafos FC0-0Anorthosis Famagusta
- Anorthosis Famagusta1-1Pafos FC
- Anorthosis Famagusta0-2Pafos FC
- Pafos FC3-1Anorthosis Famagusta
- Pafos FC5-1Anorthosis Famagusta
- Anorthosis Famagusta2-3Pafos FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Anorthosis Famagusta 1473 · Pafos FC 1535
| Anorthosis Famagusta | Draw | Pafos FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 12% | 24% | 63% |
| Market | 13% | 22% | 65% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.47 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pafos FC (rating 1473 vs 1535).
- H2H favours Pafos FC: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Anorthosis Famagusta | Pafos FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.4 | 1.4 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 5.4 | 2.8 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.3 | 4.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Anorthosis Famagusta 0–2–4 Pafos FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 Cyprus Division 1 | Pafos FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Anorthosis Famagusta |
| 09/11/25 Cyprus Division 1 | Anorthosis Famagusta | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Pafos FC |
| 02/01/25 Cyprus Division 1 | Anorthosis Famagusta | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Pafos FC |
| 14/09/24 Cyprus Division 1 | Pafos FC | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Anorthosis Famagusta |
| 21/04/24 Cyprus Division 1 | Pafos FC | 5-1 HT 4-1 | Anorthosis Famagusta |
| 10/03/24 Cyprus Division 1 | Anorthosis Famagusta | 2-3 HT 0-1 | Pafos FC |
Standings · Cyprus Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEK Larnaca | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | AEL Limassol | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 9 |
| 3 | Omonia Nicosia | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 8 |
| 4 | Pafos FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Apollon Limassol | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Omonia Aradippou | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Omonia 29is Maiou | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 5 |
| 8 | Aris Limassol | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
| 9 | Nea Salamis Famagusta | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 4 |
| 10 | Olympiakos Nicosia | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 4 |
| 11 | Apoel Nicosia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 4 |
| 12 | APK Karmotissa | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 13 | Anorthosis Famagusta | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
| 14 | Krasava ENY Ypsonas | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Anorthosis Famagusta | Pafos FC |
|---|---|---|
| Apoel Nicosia | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Apollon Limassol | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| AEL Limassol | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Olympiakos Nicosia | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Pafos FC (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Anorthosis Famagusta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Nea Salamis Famagusta Cyprus Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | Apoel Nicosia Cyprus Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Apollon Limassol Cyprus Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 30/08 | AEL Limassol Cyprus Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 15/05 | Olympiakos Nicosia Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 08/05 | Krasava ENY Ypsonas Cyprus Division 1 |
1-1 | 5-2 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Enosis Paralimni Cyprus Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 27/04 | AEL Limassol Cyprus Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 19/04 | Omonia Aradippou Cyprus Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 11 | D |
| 05/04 | Ethnikos Achnas Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Pafos FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | AEL Limassol Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | AEK Larnaca Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 07/09 | Olympiakos Nicosia Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | D |
| 30/08 | APK Karmotissa Cyprus Division 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 22/05 | Apoel Nicosia Cyprus Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 16/05 | AEK Larnaca Cyprus Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 10/05 | Aris Limassol Cyprus Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 06/05 | Omonia Nicosia Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | Apollon Limassol Cyprus Division 1 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 26/04 | Apoel Nicosia Cyprus Division 1 |
1-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Anorthosis Famagusta vs Pafos FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Pafos FC win (64%). Probabilities: Anorthosis Famagusta 13%, draw 23%, Pafos FC 64%.
How many goals are expected in Anorthosis Famagusta vs Pafos FC?
The model expects 2.47 goals (Anorthosis Famagusta 0.67 · Pafos FC 1.8), with a 57% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Anorthosis Famagusta vs Pafos FC?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.