Football · Cyprus Division 1 · 17/10, 18:00
Prediction: Omonia Aradippou vs AEL Limassol
Team pages: Omonia Aradippou · AEL Limassol
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.69Total
Omonia Aradippou1.33
AEL Limassol1.36
1X2
Omonia Aradippou
Draw
AEL Limassol
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Omonia Aradippou
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
AEL Limassol
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Omonia Aradippou
1–1–4
AEL Limassol
(6 last)
- Omonia Aradippou0-3AEL Limassol
- AEL Limassol1-2Omonia Aradippou
- Omonia Aradippou1-3AEL Limassol
- Omonia Aradippou1-2AEL Limassol
- Omonia Aradippou2-2AEL Limassol
- AEL Limassol1-0Omonia Aradippou
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Omonia Aradippou 1513 · AEL Limassol 1563
| Omonia Aradippou | Draw | AEL Limassol | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 28% | 37% |
| Market | 35% | 28% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AEL Limassol (rating 1513 vs 1563).
- H2H favours AEL Limassol: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Omonia Aradippou | AEL Limassol | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.2 | 1.4 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 4.8 | 1.8 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.2 | 4.6 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Omonia Aradippou 1–1–4 AEL Limassol
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Cyprus Division 1 | Omonia Aradippou | 0-3 HT 0-1 | AEL Limassol |
| 14/03/26 Cyprus Division 1 | AEL Limassol | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Omonia Aradippou |
| 07/12/25 Cyprus Division 1 | Omonia Aradippou | 1-3 HT 1-2 | AEL Limassol |
| 15/03/25 Cyprus Division 1 | Omonia Aradippou | 1-2 HT 1-0 | AEL Limassol |
| 22/12/24 Cyprus Division 1 | Omonia Aradippou | 2-2 HT 2-0 | AEL Limassol |
| 31/08/24 Cyprus Division 1 | AEL Limassol | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Omonia Aradippou |
Standings · Cyprus Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEL Limassol | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 12 |
| 2 | Omonia Nicosia | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 11 |
| 3 | Pafos FC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | AEK Larnaca | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Apollon Limassol | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 9 |
| 6 | Aris Limassol | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| 7 | Apoel Nicosia | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 7 |
| 8 | Omonia Aradippou | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 9 | Omonia 29is Maiou | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 5 |
| 10 | Nea Salamis Famagusta | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 4 |
| 11 | Olympiakos Nicosia | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 4 |
| 12 | APK Karmotissa | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
| 13 | Anorthosis Famagusta | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 3 |
| 14 | Krasava ENY Ypsonas | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Omonia Aradippou | AEL Limassol |
|---|---|---|
| Olympiakos Nicosia | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Krasava ENY Ypsonas | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Akritas Chlorakas | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Anorthosis Famagusta | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Omonia Aradippou (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Omonia Aradippou
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Olympiakos Nicosia Cyprus Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 12/09 | APK Karmotissa Cyprus Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 05/09 | Krasava ENY Ypsonas Cyprus Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 31/08 | Omonia Nicosia Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 15/05 | Ethnikos Achnas Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Akritas Chlorakas Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 01/05 | Olympiakos Nicosia Cyprus Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | Krasava ENY Ypsonas Cyprus Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 19/04 | Anorthosis Famagusta Cyprus Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 11 | D |
| 04/04 | AEL Limassol Cyprus Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 6 | L |
AEL Limassol
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Omonia 29is Maiou Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 18/09 | Pafos FC Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 11/09 | Nea Salamis Famagusta Cyprus Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 11 | W |
| 06/09 | Apoel Nicosia Cyprus Division 1 |
0-2 | 0-6 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 30/08 | Anorthosis Famagusta Cyprus Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 15/05 | Akritas Chlorakas Cyprus Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Olympiakos Nicosia Cyprus Division 1 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Krasava ENY Ypsonas Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 27/04 | Anorthosis Famagusta Cyprus Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 17/04 | Enosis Paralimni Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Omonia Aradippou vs AEL Limassol?
According to our model, the most likely result is an AEL Limassol win (37%). Probabilities: Omonia Aradippou 35%, draw 28%, AEL Limassol 37%.
How many goals are expected in Omonia Aradippou vs AEL Limassol?
The model expects 2.69 goals (Omonia Aradippou 1.33 · AEL Limassol 1.36), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Omonia Aradippou vs AEL Limassol?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.