Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 02/10, 21:00

Prediction: Encarnacion FC vs Resistencia FC

Team pages: Encarnacion FC · Resistencia FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.23Total

Encarnacion FC1.2

Resistencia FC1.03

1X2

40% 29% 31%

Encarnacion FC Draw Resistencia FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Encarnacion FC 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLLWLWDLWL

Resistencia FC 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WDWDLWLLLL

Head-to-head

Encarnacion FC 0–2–3 Resistencia FC (5 last)

Resistencia FC1-0Encarnacion FC
Resistencia FC2-2Encarnacion FC
Encarnacion FC1-1Resistencia FC
Resistencia FC5-1Encarnacion FC
Encarnacion FC0-1Resistencia FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Encarnacion FC 1463 · Resistencia FC 1464

	Encarnacion FC	Draw	Resistencia FC
Our model	39%	31%	30%
Market	41%	27%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 2.23 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Resistencia FC: 3-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Encarnacion FC	Resistencia FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.3	1.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.9	1.7 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.1	5.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.30

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.85

Under 2.251.95

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
16:50 +3’	2.20	3.30	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Encarnacion FC 0–2–3 Resistencia FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/06/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Resistencia FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Encarnacion FC
26/07/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Resistencia FC	2-2 HT 0-1	Encarnacion FC
23/04/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Encarnacion FC	1-1 HT 0-0	Resistencia FC
27/09/24 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Resistencia FC	5-1 HT 3-0	Encarnacion FC
23/06/24 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Encarnacion FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Resistencia FC

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Deportivo Santaní	26	16	3	7	45	25	51
2	General Caballero JLM	26	15	5	6	52	33	50
3	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	26	14	7	5	35	26	49
4	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	26	12	6	8	40	32	42
5	Sol de America	26	9	13	4	32	24	40
6	Carapegua	26	11	5	10	31	38	38
7	Independiente FBC	26	9	10	7	37	33	37
8	Paraguari AC	26	10	5	11	35	35	35
9	Fernando de la Mora	26	9	7	10	30	35	34
10	Club Atlético Tembetary	26	9	6	11	36	40	33
11	Resistencia FC	26	8	8	10	28	32	32
12	Deportivo Capiata	26	6	10	10	30	36	28
13	3 de Noviembre	26	6	8	12	33	39	26
14	Guairena FC	26	6	7	13	22	35	25
15	Tacuary	26	4	12	10	28	40	24
16	Encarnacion FC	26	6	4	16	25	36	22

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Encarnacion FC	Resistencia FC
Sol de America	0-2 L	0-0 D
Deportivo Capiata	3-1 W	1-0 W
Independiente FBC	0-1 L	1-1 D
Tacuary	1-1 D	3-1 W
Paraguari AC	0-1 L	0-1 L
Deportivo Santaní	0-1 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Resistencia FC (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Encarnacion FC

LLLWLWDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-2	2	3	L
22/09	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	3-0	3-1	1	1	W
15/09	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
09/09	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-1	4	6	D
05/09	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	2-0	1	4	W
31/08	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-2	1-3	14	4	L
23/08	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-1	3-1	6	3	W
14/08	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-2	0-2	2	3	L
08/08	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
02/08	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	4	2	L

Resistencia FC

WDWDLWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-2	7	6	L
19/09	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-2	1-2	5	5	L
12/09	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-2	1-2	7	5	L
09/09	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-2	1-2	1	4	L
05/09	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-1	5	10	W
31/08	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
21/08	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
16/08	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-0	6	6	W
07/08	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-1	1	5	D
01/08	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	3-1	3	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Encarnacion FC vs Resistencia FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Encarnacion FC win (40%). Probabilities: Encarnacion FC 40%, draw 29%, Resistencia FC 31%.

How many goals are expected in Encarnacion FC vs Resistencia FC?

The model expects 2.23 goals (Encarnacion FC 1.2 · Resistencia FC 1.03), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Encarnacion FC vs Resistencia FC?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.