Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 10/10, 15:00

Prediction: Guairena FC vs Encarnacion FC

Team pages: Guairena FC · Encarnacion FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.36Total

Guairena FC1.22

Encarnacion FC1.14

1X2

37% 29% 33%

Guairena FC Draw Encarnacion FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Guairena FC 0-2-8 (W-D-L)

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Encarnacion FC 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Guairena FC 2–3 Encarnacion FC (5 last)

Encarnacion FC1-2Guairena FC
Encarnacion FC3-0Guairena FC
Guairena FC3-1Encarnacion FC
Guairena FC2-3Encarnacion FC
Encarnacion FC2-1Guairena FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Guairena FC 1419 · Encarnacion FC 1445

	Guairena FC	Draw	Encarnacion FC
Our model	37%	31%	33%
Market	38%	28%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.36 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Encarnacion FC: 3-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Guairena FC	Encarnacion FC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.4 / 1.6	1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/60/40%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.8	2 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.1	3.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.35

X3.20

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.77

2 (0)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.88

Under 2.251.93

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
21:13 +5’	2.35	3.20	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Guairena FC 2–0–3 Encarnacion FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/07/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Encarnacion FC	1-2 HT 0-0	Guairena FC
21/07/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Encarnacion FC	3-0 HT 1-0	Guairena FC
12/04/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Guairena FC	3-1 HT 2-1	Encarnacion FC
10/08/24 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Guairena FC	2-3 HT 2-1	Encarnacion FC
07/05/24 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Encarnacion FC	2-1 HT 0-0	Guairena FC

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	General Caballero JLM	27	16	5	6	54	33	53
2	Deportivo Santaní	26	16	3	7	45	25	51
3	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	27	14	8	5	36	27	50
4	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	26	12	6	8	40	32	42
5	Sol de America	27	9	14	4	33	25	41
6	Carapegua	27	11	6	10	32	39	39
7	Paraguari AC	27	11	5	11	36	35	38
8	Independiente FBC	26	9	10	7	37	33	37
9	Club Atlético Tembetary	27	10	6	11	39	42	36
10	Resistencia FC	27	9	8	10	31	32	35
11	Fernando de la Mora	27	9	7	11	30	37	34
12	Deportivo Capiata	27	6	11	10	31	37	29
13	3 de Noviembre	27	6	8	13	33	40	26
14	Guairena FC	26	6	7	13	22	35	25
15	Tacuary	27	4	12	11	30	43	24
16	Encarnacion FC	27	6	4	17	25	39	22

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Guairena FC	Encarnacion FC
Paraguari AC	1-3 L	0-1 L
Resistencia FC	1-2 L	0-3 L
Sol de America	0-1 L	0-2 L
Deportivo Capiata	0-0 D	3-1 W
Independiente FBC	1-2 L	0-1 L
Tacuary	0-1 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 5 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Encarnacion FC (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Guairena FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/10	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-1	6	1	L
29/09	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-2	5	4	L
19/09	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	4	6	D
12/09	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-3	3	0	L
08/09	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-3	5	0	L
05/09	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-2	4	10	L
30/08	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-1	2	7	L
21/08	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
15/08	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-2	4	9	L
10/08	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	8	2	L

Encarnacion FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/10	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-3	7	5	L
26/09	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-2	2	3	L
22/09	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	3-0	3-1	1	1	W
15/09	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
09/09	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-1	4	6	D
05/09	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	2-0	1	4	W
31/08	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-2	1-3	14	4	L
23/08	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-1	3-1	6	3	W
14/08	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-2	0-2	2	3	L
08/08	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-1	4	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Guairena FC vs Encarnacion FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Guairena FC win (37%). Probabilities: Guairena FC 37%, draw 29%, Encarnacion FC 33%.

How many goals are expected in Guairena FC vs Encarnacion FC?

The model expects 2.36 goals (Guairena FC 1.22 · Encarnacion FC 1.14), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Guairena FC vs Encarnacion FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.