Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 11/10, 15:00

Prediction: General Caballero JLM vs Deportivo Santaní

Team pages: General Caballero JLM · Deportivo Santaní

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Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.08Total

General Caballero JLM1.64

Deportivo Santaní1.44

1X2

41% 27% 32%

General Caballero JLM Draw Deportivo Santaní

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

General Caballero JLM 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

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Deportivo Santaní 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

General Caballero JLM 1–2–3 Deportivo Santaní (6 last)

Deportivo Santaní2-1General Caballero JLM
Deportivo Santaní1-0General Caballero JLM
Deportivo Santaní0-0General Caballero JLM
General Caballero JLM5-2Deportivo Santaní
Deportivo Santaní0-0General Caballero JLM
General Caballero JLM1-2Deportivo Santaní

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · General Caballero JLM 1541 · Deportivo Santaní 1562

	General Caballero JLM	Draw	Deportivo Santaní
Our model	41%	26%	33%
Market	41%	27%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 3.08 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Deportivo Santaní: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	General Caballero JLM	Deportivo Santaní
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.1	2.3 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.5	0.9 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.5	2.5 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.2	3.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.30

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.82

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 08:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.20▼	Bet365 2.20
X	3.25 → 3.30▲	Bet365 3.30
2	2.60 → 2.80▲	Pinn 3.49 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
22:54 +3’	2.35	3.25	2.60
04:07 +1’	2.30▼	3.25	2.70▲
07:41 +28’	2.20▼	3.30▲	2.80▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
03:14 +55’	2.08	2.82	3.44
13:03 +85’	2.09▲	2.87▲	3.49▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · General Caballero JLM 1–2–3 Deportivo Santaní

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/07/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Deportivo Santaní	2-1 HT 1-0	General Caballero JLM
10/08/23 Paraguay Cup	Deportivo Santaní	1-0 HT 1-0	General Caballero JLM
20/09/21 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Deportivo Santaní	0-0 HT 0-0	General Caballero JLM
12/06/21 Paraguay Division Intermedia	General Caballero JLM	5-2	Deportivo Santaní
16/07/17 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Deportivo Santaní	0-0	General Caballero JLM
08/04/17 Paraguay Division Intermedia	General Caballero JLM	1-2 HT 0-1	Deportivo Santaní

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Deportivo Santaní	27	17	3	7	46	25	54
2	General Caballero JLM	27	16	5	6	54	33	53
3	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	27	14	8	5	36	27	50
4	Independiente FBC	28	11	10	7	43	35	43
5	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	27	12	6	9	42	35	42
6	Carapegua	28	12	6	10	36	41	42
7	Sol de America	28	9	14	5	35	29	41
8	Paraguari AC	28	12	5	11	40	37	41
9	Club Atlético Tembetary	28	10	6	12	39	45	36
10	Resistencia FC	27	9	8	10	31	32	35
11	Fernando de la Mora	28	9	7	12	32	40	34
12	Deportivo Capiata	27	6	11	10	31	37	29
13	3 de Noviembre	28	7	8	13	36	42	29
14	Guairena FC	28	7	7	14	23	36	28
15	Tacuary	28	4	12	12	32	47	24
16	Encarnacion FC	28	6	4	18	25	40	22

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	General Caballero JLM	Deportivo Santaní
Guairena FC	3-0 W	1-0 W
Resistencia FC	2-1 W	2-1 W
Sol de America	1-1 D	3-0 W
Deportivo Capiata	2-1 W	1-0 W
Independiente FBC	0-0 D	1-2 L
Tacuary	4-1 W	3-0 W
Club Atlético Tembetary	3-1 W	3-4 L
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 0 L	5 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: General Caballero JLM (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

General Caballero JLM

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/10	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	2-0	1	5	W
25/09	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-2	1-3	6	6	L
19/09	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-3	3	7	L
12/09	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	3-0	4	0	W
09/09	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	2-1	8	4	W
04/09	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-1	4	4	D
28/08	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-1	2-1	4	8	W
22/08	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
18/08	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	4-1	6	4	W
11/08	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	3-1	5	4	W

Deportivo Santaní

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/10	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-0	3	1	W
27/09	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	2-1	3	6	W
18/09	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	3-0	2	6	W
13/09	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
09/09	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-2	6	3	L
05/09	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	3-0	4	3	W
29/08	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	3-4	2	5	L
23/08	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	3-2	6	3	W
16/08	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	2-0	4	3	W
08/08	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	3-0	4-2	3	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in General Caballero JLM vs Deportivo Santaní?

According to our model, the most likely result is a General Caballero JLM win (41%). Probabilities: General Caballero JLM 41%, draw 27%, Deportivo Santaní 32%.

How many goals are expected in General Caballero JLM vs Deportivo Santaní?

The model expects 3.08 goals (General Caballero JLM 1.64 · Deportivo Santaní 1.44), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in General Caballero JLM vs Deportivo Santaní?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.