Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 10/10, 15:00

Prediction: 3 de Noviembre vs Fernando de la Mora

Team pages: 3 de Noviembre · Fernando de la Mora

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.8Total

3 de Noviembre1.41

Fernando de la Mora1.39

1X2

37% 27% 36%

3 de Noviembre Draw Fernando de la Mora

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

3 de Noviembre 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Fernando de la Mora 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

3 de Noviembre 0–1–0 Fernando de la Mora (1 last)

Fernando de la Mora2-23 de Noviembre

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · 3 de Noviembre 1548 · Fernando de la Mora 1509

	3 de Noviembre	Draw	Fernando de la Mora
Our model	37%	28%	36%
Market	37%	27%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.8 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	3 de Noviembre	Fernando de la Mora
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.2	1.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.5	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.3	3.1 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.4	5.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.30

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.88

2 (0)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
21:13 +4’	2.45	3.30	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · 3 de Noviembre 0–1–0 Fernando de la Mora

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/07/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Fernando de la Mora	2-2 HT 0-0	3 de Noviembre

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Deportivo Santaní	27	17	3	7	46	25	54
2	General Caballero JLM	27	16	5	6	54	33	53
3	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	27	14	8	5	36	27	50
4	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	27	12	6	9	42	35	42
5	Sol de America	27	9	14	4	33	25	41
6	Independiente FBC	27	10	10	7	40	35	40
7	Carapegua	27	11	6	10	32	39	39
8	Paraguari AC	27	11	5	11	36	35	38
9	Club Atlético Tembetary	27	10	6	11	39	42	36
10	Resistencia FC	27	9	8	10	31	32	35
11	Fernando de la Mora	27	9	7	11	30	37	34
12	Deportivo Capiata	27	6	11	10	31	37	29
13	3 de Noviembre	27	6	8	13	33	40	26
14	Guairena FC	27	6	7	14	22	36	25
15	Tacuary	27	4	12	11	30	43	24
16	Encarnacion FC	27	6	4	17	25	39	22

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	3 de Noviembre	Fernando de la Mora
General Caballero JLM	3-1 W	0-2 L
Guairena FC	1-1 D	2-0 W
Resistencia FC	2-1 W	2-1 W
Sol de America	1-0 W	2-3 L
Deportivo Capiata	3-4 L	1-0 W
Independiente FBC	5-2 W	0-0 D
Tacuary	1-0 W	1-1 D
Club Atlético Tembetary	3-0 W	1-2 L
Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	1-2 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	6 W 1 D 2 L	4 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: 3 de Noviembre (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

3 de Noviembre

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-1	5	3	L
25/09	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	3-1	6	6	W
19/09	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	8	6	D
12/09	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-1	2-1	6	5	W
08/09	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	4	6	W
03/09	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	3-4	5	3	L
28/08	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	3-0	5-2	5	4	W
23/08	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
17/08	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	3-0	3	6	W
09/08	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-2	9	4	L

Fernando de la Mora

LWLDDWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/10	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-2	0-2	11	5	L
29/09	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	2-0	6	4	W
19/09	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	2-1	4	5	W
13/09	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-3	3	7	L
09/09	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
04/09	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	5	7	D
29/08	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	5	7	D
22/08	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-2	7	6	L
15/08	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	2-1	2	5	W
09/08	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-2	4	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in 3 de Noviembre vs Fernando de la Mora?

According to our model, the most likely result is a 3 de Noviembre win (37%). Probabilities: 3 de Noviembre 37%, draw 27%, Fernando de la Mora 36%.

How many goals are expected in 3 de Noviembre vs Fernando de la Mora?

The model expects 2.8 goals (3 de Noviembre 1.41 · Fernando de la Mora 1.39), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in 3 de Noviembre vs Fernando de la Mora?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.