Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 11/10, 15:00

Prediction: Resistencia FC vs 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes

Team pages: Resistencia FC · 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes

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Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.59Total

Resistencia FC1.02

12 de Junio de Villa Hayes1.58

1X2

24% 27% 49%

Resistencia FC Draw 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Resistencia FC 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DWDLWLLLLW

12 de Junio de Villa Hayes 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LWWLDDWLDD

Head-to-head

Resistencia FC 1–2–2 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes (5 last)

12 de Junio de Villa Hayes3-2Resistencia FC
12 de Junio de Villa Hayes2-2Resistencia FC
Resistencia FC1-112 de Junio de Villa Hayes
Resistencia FC0-412 de Junio de Villa Hayes
12 de Junio de Villa Hayes1-3Resistencia FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Resistencia FC 1465 · 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes 1495

	Resistencia FC	Draw	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes
Our model	23%	28%	49%
Market	24%	26%	50%

Estimated total (ours) 2.59 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes: 2-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Resistencia FC	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.1	1.2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.2	2.5 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0.2	4.6 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

13.75

X3.40

21.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.95

2 (-0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.02

Under 2.51.77

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 04:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 3.75▲	Pinn 4.18 ★
X	3.25 → 3.40▲	Bet365 3.40
2	2.25 → 1.80▼	Bet365 1.80

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.6% Pinnacle margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
22:51 +6’	2.75	3.25	2.25
04:42 +8’	3.75▲	3.40▲	1.80▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
03:13 +55’	3.12	3.05	2.10
04:40 +10’	4.12▲	3.36▲	1.70▼
14:04 +24’	4.18▲	3.39▲	1.73▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Resistencia FC 1–2–2 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/07/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	3-2 HT 3-1	Resistencia FC
19/07/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	2-2 HT 1-2	Resistencia FC
11/04/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Resistencia FC	1-1 HT 1-0	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes
20/07/24 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Resistencia FC	0-4 HT 0-1	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes
14/04/24 Paraguay Division Intermedia	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	1-3 HT 0-0	Resistencia FC

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Deportivo Santaní	27	17	3	7	46	25	54
2	General Caballero JLM	27	16	5	6	54	33	53
3	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	27	14	8	5	36	27	50
4	Independiente FBC	28	11	10	7	43	35	43
5	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	27	12	6	9	42	35	42
6	Carapegua	28	12	6	10	36	41	42
7	Sol de America	28	9	14	5	35	29	41
8	Paraguari AC	28	12	5	11	40	37	41
9	Club Atlético Tembetary	28	10	6	12	39	45	36
10	Resistencia FC	27	9	8	10	31	32	35
11	Fernando de la Mora	28	9	7	12	32	40	34
12	Deportivo Capiata	27	6	11	10	31	37	29
13	3 de Noviembre	28	7	8	13	36	42	29
14	Guairena FC	28	7	7	14	23	36	28
15	Tacuary	28	4	12	12	32	47	24
16	Encarnacion FC	28	6	4	18	25	40	22

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Resistencia FC	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes
Encarnacion FC	3-0 W	2-0 W
Deportivo Santaní	1-2 L	2-4 L
Paraguari AC	0-1 L	3-2 W
Sol de America	0-0 D	1-1 D
Deportivo Capiata	1-0 W	0-0 D
Independiente FBC	1-1 D	0-4 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Resistencia FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Resistencia FC

DWDLWLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/10	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	3-0	2	5	W
27/09	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-2	7	6	L
19/09	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-2	1-2	5	5	L
12/09	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-2	1-2	7	5	L
09/09	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-2	1-2	1	4	L
05/09	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-1	5	10	W
31/08	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
21/08	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
16/08	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-0	6	6	W
07/08	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-1	1	5	D

12 de Junio de Villa Hayes

LWWLDDWLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/10	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	6	7	D
27/09	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
20/09	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-4	3	1	L
16/09	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	2-1	8	7	W
11/09	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-1	4	4	D
06/09	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	4	7	D
30/08	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	9	5	L
24/08	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	3-2	5	7	W
14/08	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	2-0	8	3	W
08/08	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-3	2-4	9	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Resistencia FC vs 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes?

According to our model, the most likely result is an 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes win (49%). Probabilities: Resistencia FC 24%, draw 27%, 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes 49%.

How many goals are expected in Resistencia FC vs 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes?

The model expects 2.59 goals (Resistencia FC 1.02 · 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes 1.58), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Resistencia FC vs 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.