Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 10/10, 15:00

Prediction: Independiente FBC vs Club Atlético Tembetary

Team pages: Independiente FBC · Club Atlético Tembetary

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.92Total

Independiente FBC1.69

Club Atlético Tembetary1.23

1X2

47% 27% 26%

Independiente FBC Draw Club Atlético Tembetary

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Independiente FBC 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWDLDWWWLW

Club Atlético Tembetary 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLWWLDLLWW

Head-to-head

Independiente FBC 0–1–3 Club Atlético Tembetary (4 last)

Club Atlético Tembetary2-2Independiente FBC
Independiente FBC2-5Club Atlético Tembetary
Club Atlético Tembetary2-1Independiente FBC
Club Atlético Tembetary2-0Independiente FBC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Independiente FBC 1552 · Club Atlético Tembetary 1493

	Independiente FBC	Draw	Club Atlético Tembetary
Our model	47%	26%	27%
Market	47%	27%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.92 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Independiente FBC (rating 1552 vs 1493).
H2H favours Club Atlético Tembetary: 3-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Independiente FBC	Club Atlético Tembetary
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.1	1.5 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/70/20%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5	2.3 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.1	5.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.30

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.93

Under 2.51.88

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
21:15 +3’	1.91	3.30	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Independiente FBC 0–1–3 Club Atlético Tembetary

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
08/07/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Club Atlético Tembetary	2-2 HT 2-2	Independiente FBC
04/08/24 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Independiente FBC	2-5 HT 1-2	Club Atlético Tembetary
30/04/24 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Club Atlético Tembetary	2-1 HT 1-1	Independiente FBC
26/07/19 Paraguay Cup	Club Atlético Tembetary	2-0 HT 0-0	Independiente FBC

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Deportivo Santaní	27	17	3	7	46	25	54
2	General Caballero JLM	27	16	5	6	54	33	53
3	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	27	14	8	5	36	27	50
4	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	27	12	6	9	42	35	42
5	Sol de America	27	9	14	4	33	25	41
6	Independiente FBC	27	10	10	7	40	35	40
7	Carapegua	27	11	6	10	32	39	39
8	Paraguari AC	27	11	5	11	36	35	38
9	Club Atlético Tembetary	27	10	6	11	39	42	36
10	Resistencia FC	27	9	8	10	31	32	35
11	Fernando de la Mora	27	9	7	11	30	37	34
12	Deportivo Capiata	27	6	11	10	31	37	29
13	3 de Noviembre	27	6	8	13	33	40	26
14	Guairena FC	27	6	7	14	22	36	25
15	Tacuary	27	4	12	11	30	43	24
16	Encarnacion FC	27	6	4	17	25	39	22

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Independiente FBC	Club Atlético Tembetary
Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	3-2 W	1-2 L
Carapegua	0-1 L	1-2 L
12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	4-0 W	1-1 D
Encarnacion FC	1-0 W	0-2 L
Deportivo Santaní	2-1 W	4-3 W
Fernando de la Mora	0-0 D	2-1 W
3 de Noviembre	2-5 L	0-3 L
General Caballero JLM	0-0 D	1-3 L
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Independiente FBC (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Independiente FBC

DWDLDWWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/10	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-1	3-2	2	5	W
25/09	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
20/09	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	4-0	3	1	W
15/09	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	10	4	W
09/09	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-1	4	3	W
04/09	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	3	7	D
28/08	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-3	2-5	7	4	L
22/08	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
15/08	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-1	7	9	W
07/08	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-1	7	5	D

Club Atlético Tembetary

LLWWLDLLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	3-2	3	4	W
28/09	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	2-1	3	9	W
21/09	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-2	4	7	L
15/09	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-2	7	3	L
11/09	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
05/09	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-2	0-2	8	4	L
29/08	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	4-3	3	5	W
22/08	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	2-1	5	6	W
17/08	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-2	0-3	6	6	L
11/08	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-2	1-3	5	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Independiente FBC vs Club Atlético Tembetary?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Independiente FBC win (47%). Probabilities: Independiente FBC 47%, draw 27%, Club Atlético Tembetary 26%.

How many goals are expected in Independiente FBC vs Club Atlético Tembetary?

The model expects 2.92 goals (Independiente FBC 1.69 · Club Atlético Tembetary 1.23), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Independiente FBC vs Club Atlético Tembetary?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.