Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 10/10, 00:30

Prediction: Sol de America vs Carapegua

Team pages: Sol de America · Carapegua

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.38Total

Sol de America1.36

Carapegua1.02

1X2

44% 28% 27%

Sol de America Draw Carapegua

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Sol de America 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDDWDLWLWD

Carapegua 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLLWLWWDWD

Head-to-head

Sol de America 2–2–1 Carapegua (5 last)

Carapegua1-1Sol de America
Carapegua1-5Sol de America
Sol de America2-1Carapegua
Carapegua1-0Sol de America
Sol de America1-1Carapegua

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sol de America 1556 · Carapegua 1520

	Sol de America	Draw	Carapegua
Our model	43%	30%	27%
Market	45%	27%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.38 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Sol de America: 2-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sol de America	Carapegua
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1	1.2 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.4	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.8	2.2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.4	2.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.30

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.77

2 (+0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
20:23 +16’	2.00	3.30	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sol de America 2–2–1 Carapegua

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/07/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Carapegua	1-1 HT 1-1	Sol de America
28/07/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Carapegua	1-5 HT 1-1	Sol de America
21/04/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Sol de America	2-1 HT 0-0	Carapegua
23/07/23 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Carapegua	1-0 HT 0-0	Sol de America
16/04/23 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Sol de America	1-1 HT 0-0	Carapegua

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	General Caballero JLM	27	16	5	6	54	33	53
2	Deportivo Santaní	26	16	3	7	45	25	51
3	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	27	14	8	5	36	27	50
4	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	26	12	6	8	40	32	42
5	Sol de America	27	9	14	4	33	25	41
6	Carapegua	27	11	6	10	32	39	39
7	Paraguari AC	27	11	5	11	36	35	38
8	Independiente FBC	26	9	10	7	37	33	37
9	Club Atlético Tembetary	27	10	6	11	39	42	36
10	Resistencia FC	27	9	8	10	31	32	35
11	Fernando de la Mora	27	9	7	11	30	37	34
12	Deportivo Capiata	27	6	11	10	31	37	29
13	3 de Noviembre	27	6	8	13	33	40	26
14	Guairena FC	26	6	7	13	22	35	25
15	Tacuary	27	4	12	11	30	43	24
16	Encarnacion FC	27	6	4	17	25	39	22

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sol de America	Carapegua
12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	1-1 D	1-0 W
Encarnacion FC	2-0 W	1-3 L
Deportivo Santaní	0-3 L	0-2 L
Fernando de la Mora	3-2 W	2-0 W
Paraguari AC	1-1 D	2-3 L
Deportivo Capiata	4-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sol de America

WDDWDLWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/10	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	3	7	D
26/09	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	2-0	9	3	W
18/09	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-3	4	6	L
13/09	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	3-2	7	7	W
08/09	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
04/09	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-1	11	4	D
30/08	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-0	4	7	W
21/08	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
15/08	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	6	5	D
08/08	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	3-0	4-1	2	4	W

Carapegua

WLLWLWWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/10	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-1	3	2	D
25/09	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	2	2	W
20/09	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	9	2	D
15/09	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	2-1	6	3	W
10/09	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	2-0	3	3	W
04/09	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-2	2-3	3	4	L
30/08	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
23/08	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-2	1-3	2	3	L
16/08	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-2	0-2	5	3	L
09/08	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	2-0	5	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sol de America vs Carapegua?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sol de America win (44%). Probabilities: Sol de America 44%, draw 28%, Carapegua 27%.

How many goals are expected in Sol de America vs Carapegua?

The model expects 2.38 goals (Sol de America 1.36 · Carapegua 1.02), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Sol de America vs Carapegua?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.