Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 03/10, 15:00

Prediction: Club Atlético Tembetary vs Tacuary

Team pages: Club Atlético Tembetary · Tacuary

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.93Total

Club Atlético Tembetary1.6

Tacuary1.33

1X2

42% 27% 31%

Club Atlético Tembetary Draw Tacuary

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Club Atlético Tembetary 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DLLWWLDLLW

Tacuary 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLDLDLDW

Head-to-head

Club Atlético Tembetary 0–1–1 Tacuary (2 last)

Tacuary4-2Club Atlético Tembetary
Club Atlético Tembetary1-1Tacuary

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Club Atlético Tembetary 1489 · Tacuary 1469

	Club Atlético Tembetary	Draw	Tacuary
Our model	43%	27%	31%
Market	42%	27%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.93 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Club Atlético Tembetary	Tacuary
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.8	0.8 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.9	1.6 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.1	4.3 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.30

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
18:46 +4’	2.10	3.30	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Atlético Tembetary 0–1–1 Tacuary

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/06/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Tacuary	4-2 HT 1-1	Club Atlético Tembetary
04/11/21 Paraguay Cup	Club Atlético Tembetary	1-1 HT 0-0	Tacuary

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Deportivo Santaní	26	16	3	7	45	25	51
2	General Caballero JLM	26	15	5	6	52	33	50
3	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	26	14	7	5	35	26	49
4	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	26	12	6	8	40	32	42
5	Sol de America	26	9	13	4	32	24	40
6	Carapegua	26	11	5	10	31	38	38
7	Independiente FBC	26	9	10	7	37	33	37
8	Paraguari AC	26	10	5	11	35	35	35
9	Fernando de la Mora	26	9	7	10	30	35	34
10	Club Atlético Tembetary	26	9	6	11	36	40	33
11	Resistencia FC	26	8	8	10	28	32	32
12	Deportivo Capiata	26	6	10	10	30	36	28
13	3 de Noviembre	26	6	8	12	33	39	26
14	Guairena FC	26	6	7	13	22	35	25
15	Tacuary	26	4	12	10	28	40	24
16	Encarnacion FC	26	6	4	16	25	36	22

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Club Atlético Tembetary	Tacuary
Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	1-2 L	2-1 W
Carapegua	1-2 L	0-0 D
12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	1-1 D	1-2 L
Encarnacion FC	0-2 L	1-1 D
Deportivo Santaní	4-3 W	0-3 L
Fernando de la Mora	2-1 W	1-1 D
3 de Noviembre	0-3 L	0-1 L
General Caballero JLM	1-3 L	1-4 L
Guairena FC	0-0 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 5 L	2 W 3 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Tacuary (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Club Atlético Tembetary

DLLWWLDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/09	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	2-1	3	9	W
21/09	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-2	4	7	L
15/09	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-2	7	3	L
11/09	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
05/09	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-2	0-2	8	4	L
29/08	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	4-3	3	5	W
22/08	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	2-1	5	6	W
17/08	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-2	0-3	6	6	L
11/08	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-2	1-3	5	4	L
01/08	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	5	3	D

Tacuary

LWLLDLDLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	2-1	1	7	W
20/09	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
16/09	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-2	4	7	L
09/09	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-1	6	6	D
05/09	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-3	9	3	L
29/08	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	4	7	D
23/08	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	7	4	L
18/08	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-4	2	4	L
10/08	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
01/08	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-3	3	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Club Atlético Tembetary vs Tacuary?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Club Atlético Tembetary win (42%). Probabilities: Club Atlético Tembetary 42%, draw 27%, Tacuary 31%.

How many goals are expected in Club Atlético Tembetary vs Tacuary?

The model expects 2.93 goals (Club Atlético Tembetary 1.6 · Tacuary 1.33), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Club Atlético Tembetary vs Tacuary?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.