Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 13/10, 00:30

Prediction: Deportivo Capiata vs Club Dr Benjamin Aceval

Team pages: Deportivo Capiata · Club Dr Benjamin Aceval

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.69Total

Deportivo Capiata1.31

Club Dr Benjamin Aceval1.38

1X2

35% 28% 38%

Deportivo Capiata Draw Club Dr Benjamin Aceval

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Deportivo Capiata 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LLDLWLLLDD

Club Dr Benjamin Aceval 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLLWDLLWLL

Head-to-head

Deportivo Capiata 0–1–1 Club Dr Benjamin Aceval (2 last)

Club Dr Benjamin Aceval1-1Deportivo Capiata
Club Dr Benjamin Aceval2-1Deportivo Capiata

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Capiata 1442 · Club Dr Benjamin Aceval 1446

	Deportivo Capiata	Draw	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval
Our model	34%	28%	37%
Market	35%	27%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportivo Capiata	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.6	1.5 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 1	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 5.6	2.3 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.1	4.2 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.30

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.00

2 (0)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
23:28 +30’	2.55	3.30	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Capiata 0–1–1 Club Dr Benjamin Aceval

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/07/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	1-1 HT 1-1	Deportivo Capiata
15/09/24 Paraguay Tercera Division	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	2-1 HT 2-0	Deportivo Capiata

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Deportivo Santaní	27	17	3	7	46	25	54
2	General Caballero JLM	27	16	5	6	54	33	53
3	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	27	14	8	5	36	27	50
4	Independiente FBC	28	11	10	7	43	35	43
5	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	27	12	6	9	42	35	42
6	Carapegua	28	12	6	10	36	41	42
7	Sol de America	28	9	14	5	35	29	41
8	Paraguari AC	28	12	5	11	40	37	41
9	Club Atlético Tembetary	28	10	6	12	39	45	36
10	Resistencia FC	27	9	8	10	31	32	35
11	Fernando de la Mora	28	9	7	12	32	40	34
12	Deportivo Capiata	27	6	11	10	31	37	29
13	3 de Noviembre	28	7	8	13	36	42	29
14	Guairena FC	28	7	7	14	23	36	28
15	Tacuary	28	4	12	12	32	47	24
16	Encarnacion FC	28	6	4	18	25	40	22

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportivo Capiata	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval
Carapegua	1-1 D	0-2 L
12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	0-0 D	1-1 D
Encarnacion FC	1-3 L	3-1 W
Deportivo Santaní	0-1 L	2-3 L
Fernando de la Mora	0-1 L	1-2 L
3 de Noviembre	4-3 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo Capiata

LLDLWLLLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/10	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-1	10	2	D
27/09	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
22/09	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-3	1-3	6	1	L
13/09	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	11	3	L
09/09	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
03/09	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	4-3	2	3	W
28/08	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-2	1-2	7	8	L
21/08	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
16/08	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-1	5	6	L
08/08	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-3	1-4	6	4	L

Club Dr Benjamin Aceval

WLLWDLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/10	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-2	2-3	5	5	L
26/09	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-2	9	7	L
21/09	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	2-1	11	7	W
14/09	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-3	3	3	L
10/09	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-2	11	3	L
06/09	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	2	7	D
31/08	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	3-1	1	4	W
23/08	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-3	6	3	L
15/08	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-2	1	5	L
09/08	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	2-1	7	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Capiata vs Club Dr Benjamin Aceval?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Club Dr Benjamin Aceval win (38%). Probabilities: Deportivo Capiata 35%, draw 28%, Club Dr Benjamin Aceval 38%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Capiata vs Club Dr Benjamin Aceval?

The model expects 2.69 goals (Deportivo Capiata 1.31 · Club Dr Benjamin Aceval 1.38), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Capiata vs Club Dr Benjamin Aceval?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.