Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 03/10, 15:00

Prediction: Paraguari AC vs 3 de Noviembre

Team pages: Paraguari AC · 3 de Noviembre

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.97Total

Paraguari AC1.62

3 de Noviembre1.35

1X2

42% 27% 31%

Paraguari AC Draw 3 de Noviembre

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Paraguari AC 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWDLWWWWWL

3 de Noviembre 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LLWWWLWWDW

Head-to-head

Paraguari AC 0–1–0 3 de Noviembre (1 last)

3 de Noviembre1-1Paraguari AC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Paraguari AC 1547 · 3 de Noviembre 1546

	Paraguari AC	Draw	3 de Noviembre
Our model	43%	26%	31%
Market	42%	27%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.97 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Paraguari AC	3 de Noviembre
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.3	2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.4	2.9 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.1	4.3 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.30

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
18:41 +8’	2.10	3.30	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Paraguari AC 0–1–0 3 de Noviembre

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/06/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	3 de Noviembre	1-1 HT 1-0	Paraguari AC

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Deportivo Santaní	26	16	3	7	45	25	51
2	General Caballero JLM	26	15	5	6	52	33	50
3	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	26	14	7	5	35	26	49
4	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	26	12	6	8	40	32	42
5	Sol de America	26	9	13	4	32	24	40
6	Carapegua	26	11	5	10	31	38	38
7	Independiente FBC	26	9	10	7	37	33	37
8	Paraguari AC	26	10	5	11	35	35	35
9	Fernando de la Mora	26	9	7	10	30	35	34
10	Club Atlético Tembetary	26	9	6	11	36	40	33
11	Resistencia FC	26	8	8	10	28	32	32
12	Deportivo Capiata	26	6	10	10	30	36	28
13	3 de Noviembre	26	6	8	12	33	39	26
14	Guairena FC	26	6	7	13	22	35	25
15	Tacuary	26	4	12	10	28	40	24
16	Encarnacion FC	26	6	4	16	25	36	22

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Paraguari AC	3 de Noviembre
Club Atlético Tembetary	1-2 L	3-0 W
General Caballero JLM	3-2 W	3-1 W
Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	3-1 W	1-2 L
Guairena FC	3-1 W	1-1 D
Carapegua	3-2 W	0-1 L
Resistencia FC	1-0 W	2-1 W
Sol de America	1-1 D	1-0 W
Deportivo Capiata	2-1 W	3-4 L
Record vs common	6 W 1 D 1 L	4 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Paraguari AC (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Paraguari AC

WWDLWWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/09	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-2	1-2	4	9	L
19/09	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	3-2	4	7	W
14/09	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	3-1	4	3	W
08/09	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	3-1	3	0	W
04/09	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	3-2	3	4	W
31/08	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-0	7	4	W
24/08	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-3	7	7	L
15/08	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	3	5	D
08/08	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
04/08	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	2-1	4	2	W

3 de Noviembre

LLWWWLWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/09	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	3-1	6	6	W
19/09	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	8	6	D
12/09	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-1	2-1	6	5	W
08/09	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	4	6	W
03/09	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	3-4	5	3	L
28/08	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	3-0	5-2	5	4	W
23/08	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
17/08	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	3-0	3	6	W
09/08	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-2	9	4	L
03/08	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	5	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Paraguari AC vs 3 de Noviembre?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Paraguari AC win (42%). Probabilities: Paraguari AC 42%, draw 27%, 3 de Noviembre 31%.

How many goals are expected in Paraguari AC vs 3 de Noviembre?

The model expects 2.97 goals (Paraguari AC 1.62 · 3 de Noviembre 1.35), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Paraguari AC vs 3 de Noviembre?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.