Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 06/10, 00:30

Prediction: Fernando de la Mora vs General Caballero JLM

Team pages: Fernando de la Mora · General Caballero JLM

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.88Total

Fernando de la Mora1.22

General Caballero JLM1.65

1X2

27% 26% 46%

Fernando de la Mora Draw General Caballero JLM

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Fernando de la Mora 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DLWLDDWLWW

General Caballero JLM 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWWDWDWWLL

Head-to-head

Fernando de la Mora 1–1–4 General Caballero JLM (6 last)

General Caballero JLM2-3Fernando de la Mora
Fernando de la Mora0-3General Caballero JLM
General Caballero JLM2-0Fernando de la Mora
General Caballero JLM2-1Fernando de la Mora
Fernando de la Mora1-1General Caballero JLM
General Caballero JLM2-1Fernando de la Mora

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fernando de la Mora 1537 · General Caballero JLM 1531

	Fernando de la Mora	Draw	General Caballero JLM
Our model	27%	27%	46%
Market	27%	26%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 2.88 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours General Caballero JLM: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Fernando de la Mora	General Caballero JLM
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.1	2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.4	1.1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/70/20%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 4.5	2.6 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.2	4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.25

X3.40

21.91

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.80

2 (-0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
20:01 +4’	3.25	3.40	1.91

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Fernando de la Mora 1–1–4 General Caballero JLM

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/06/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	General Caballero JLM	2-3 HT 0-1	Fernando de la Mora
14/08/21 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Fernando de la Mora	0-3 HT 0-1	General Caballero JLM
07/05/21 Paraguay Division Intermedia	General Caballero JLM	2-0	Fernando de la Mora
08/09/19 Paraguay Division Intermedia	General Caballero JLM	2-1	Fernando de la Mora
26/05/19 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Fernando de la Mora	1-1 HT 0-0	General Caballero JLM
02/09/18 Paraguay Division Intermedia	General Caballero JLM	2-1 HT 1-1	Fernando de la Mora

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Deportivo Santaní	26	16	3	7	45	25	51
2	General Caballero JLM	26	15	5	6	52	33	50
3	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	26	14	7	5	35	26	49
4	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	26	12	6	8	40	32	42
5	Sol de America	26	9	13	4	32	24	40
6	Carapegua	26	11	5	10	31	38	38
7	Independiente FBC	26	9	10	7	37	33	37
8	Paraguari AC	26	10	5	11	35	35	35
9	Fernando de la Mora	26	9	7	10	30	35	34
10	Club Atlético Tembetary	26	9	6	11	36	40	33
11	Resistencia FC	26	8	8	10	28	32	32
12	Deportivo Capiata	26	6	10	10	30	36	28
13	3 de Noviembre	26	6	8	12	33	39	26
14	Guairena FC	26	6	7	13	22	35	25
15	Tacuary	26	4	12	10	28	40	24
16	Encarnacion FC	26	6	4	16	25	36	22

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fernando de la Mora	General Caballero JLM
Guairena FC	2-0 W	3-0 W
Resistencia FC	2-1 W	2-1 W
Sol de America	2-3 L	1-1 D
Deportivo Capiata	1-0 W	2-1 W
Independiente FBC	0-0 D	0-0 D
Tacuary	1-1 D	4-1 W
Club Atlético Tembetary	1-2 L	3-1 W
Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	2-1 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 2 L	6 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: General Caballero JLM (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fernando de la Mora

DLWLDDWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/09	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	2-0	6	4	W
19/09	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	2-1	4	5	W
13/09	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-3	3	7	L
09/09	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
04/09	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	5	7	D
29/08	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	5	7	D
22/08	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-2	7	6	L
15/08	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	2-1	2	5	W
09/08	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
01/08	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-1	2	3	D

General Caballero JLM

WWWDWDWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/09	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-2	1-3	6	6	L
19/09	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-3	3	7	L
12/09	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	3-0	4	0	W
09/09	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	2-1	8	4	W
04/09	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-1	4	4	D
28/08	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-1	2-1	4	8	W
22/08	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
18/08	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	4-1	6	4	W
11/08	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	3-1	5	4	W
31/07	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	2-0	4	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fernando de la Mora vs General Caballero JLM?

According to our model, the most likely result is an General Caballero JLM win (46%). Probabilities: Fernando de la Mora 27%, draw 26%, General Caballero JLM 46%.

How many goals are expected in Fernando de la Mora vs General Caballero JLM?

The model expects 2.88 goals (Fernando de la Mora 1.22 · General Caballero JLM 1.65), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Fernando de la Mora vs General Caballero JLM?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.