Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 06/10, 22:00

Prediction: Club Dr Benjamin Aceval vs Independiente FBC

Team pages: Club Dr Benjamin Aceval · Independiente FBC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.65Total

Club Dr Benjamin Aceval1.42

Independiente FBC1.23

1X2

40% 28% 32%

Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Draw Independiente FBC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Club Dr Benjamin Aceval 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWLLWDLLWL

Independiente FBC 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DDWDLDWWWL

Head-to-head

Club Dr Benjamin Aceval 1–0 Independiente FBC (1 last)

Independiente FBC1-2Club Dr Benjamin Aceval

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Club Dr Benjamin Aceval 1458 · Independiente FBC 1530

	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	Draw	Independiente FBC
Our model	40%	28%	31%
Market	41%	27%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 2.65 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Independiente FBC (rating 1458 vs 1530).
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	Independiente FBC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.8	1.3 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.2 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	0/70/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.9	2.9 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.6	4.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.30

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.82

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
19:54 +12’	2.20	3.30	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Dr Benjamin Aceval 1–0–0 Independiente FBC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/06/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Independiente FBC	1-2 HT 1-1	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Deportivo Santaní	26	16	3	7	45	25	51
2	General Caballero JLM	26	15	5	6	52	33	50
3	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	26	14	7	5	35	26	49
4	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	26	12	6	8	40	32	42
5	Sol de America	26	9	13	4	32	24	40
6	Carapegua	26	11	5	10	31	38	38
7	Independiente FBC	26	9	10	7	37	33	37
8	Paraguari AC	26	10	5	11	35	35	35
9	Fernando de la Mora	26	9	7	10	30	35	34
10	Club Atlético Tembetary	26	9	6	11	36	40	33
11	Resistencia FC	26	8	8	10	28	32	32
12	Deportivo Capiata	26	6	10	10	30	36	28
13	3 de Noviembre	26	6	8	12	33	39	26
14	Guairena FC	26	6	7	13	22	35	25
15	Tacuary	26	4	12	10	28	40	24
16	Encarnacion FC	26	6	4	16	25	36	22

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	Independiente FBC
Carapegua	0-2 L	0-1 L
12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	1-1 D	4-0 W
Encarnacion FC	3-1 W	1-0 W
Deportivo Santaní	2-3 L	2-1 W
Fernando de la Mora	1-2 L	0-0 D
3 de Noviembre	2-1 W	2-5 L
General Caballero JLM	0-2 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 4 L	3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Independiente FBC (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Club Dr Benjamin Aceval

LWLLWDLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-2	9	7	L
21/09	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	2-1	11	7	W
14/09	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-3	3	3	L
10/09	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-2	11	3	L
06/09	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	2	7	D
31/08	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	3-1	1	4	W
23/08	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-3	6	3	L
15/08	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-2	1	5	L
09/08	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	2-1	7	4	W
31/07	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-2	8	3	L

Independiente FBC

DDWDLDWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/09	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
20/09	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	4-0	3	1	W
15/09	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	10	4	W
09/09	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-1	4	3	W
04/09	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	3	7	D
28/08	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-3	2-5	7	4	L
22/08	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
15/08	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-1	7	9	W
07/08	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-1	7	5	D
02/08	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-1	6	8	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Club Dr Benjamin Aceval vs Independiente FBC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Club Dr Benjamin Aceval win (40%). Probabilities: Club Dr Benjamin Aceval 40%, draw 28%, Independiente FBC 32%.

How many goals are expected in Club Dr Benjamin Aceval vs Independiente FBC?

The model expects 2.65 goals (Club Dr Benjamin Aceval 1.42 · Independiente FBC 1.23), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Club Dr Benjamin Aceval vs Independiente FBC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.